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Race Key: 🌅= early mail selection ⛪= South Australian Analyst
📫= Extra Selection 👿=Bad Beat BB=Blackbooker 🔰=Guest Tipster
⭐=Rocktober Special Selection
🏆 = 0-3 units profit 🏆🏆🏆 = 4 or more units profit
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆
Sun 31 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
No official selections though a couple of unofficial selections
SSSS Non Official Selections - Official Price - Outlay 4.17 Units. Return 22.15 Units. Profit 17.98 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 15.53 Units / 11.36 Units and Betfair 16.90 Units / 12.72 Units.
Excludes exotic winner - Exacta paid $21.10, Trifecta paid $94.60 (mid tote)
Rocktober - No selections today
Well today unofficial selections showed the SSSS team still have it. Don’t forget to follow for April - hopefully this is the turn around we’ve been waiting for.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets)
*SUN 31/03/2019 NON OFFICIAL RATED SELECTIONS - 5 Unit Profit
🏆🏆🏆SALE R1 #5 Not Enough Effort @ $5.00 FU today with a recent trial win under the belt with a decent jump out also. WINS.
Result: 1st at SP $4.00, Best Tote $4.90, Betfair $4.33. Outcome +6.25 Units
🏆🏆🏆PENOLA R2 #1 Bear Pass @ $7.00 Second up today with a recent jump out to get him fitter for this. RB 1,8> 2,5 Ex/TT. WINS + EXOTICS
Result: 1st at SP $5.50, Best Tote $6.70, Betfair $7.79. Exacta paid $21.10, Trifecta paid $94.60 (mid tote). Outcome (ex Exotics) +5.19 Units.
SUNSHINE COAST R4 #4 Staying Black A recent barrier trial and a gear change should get him back to winning form from 2018.
Result: Scratched
SALE R6 RB 4,7>2,3,8 WIN/Ex/TT
Result: Nil
🏆🏆🏆SALE R8 #1 Obscura @ $8.50 (1x3 BET) A little birdie whisper. WINS
Result: Equal 1st at SP $7.50, Best Tote $8.40, Betfair $9.50. Mid place tote $4.20. Outcome +10.71 Units
SALE R9 #12 Polisher @ $26.00 (1x3 BET). I have been waiting for this oversized Helmet offspring to get back into gear. Back from a long break and i dont want her to get away with a win or a nice place without being on her. Keep a watchful eye on this girl.
Result: Scratched
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆
Sat 30 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 6.68 Units. Return 6.39 Units. Loss 0.29 Units. Best Tote return / loss was 6.67 Units / 0.01 Units and Betfair 6.29 Units / 0.39 Units.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 26.21 Units. Return 6.39 Units. Loss 19.82 Units (4% SR, 76% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 6.67 Units / 19.54 Units and Betfair 6.29 Units / 19.92 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 92.38 Units. Return 53.29 Units. Loss 39.09 Units (10% SR, 42% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 51.56 Units / 40.83 Units and Betfair 54.46 Units / 37.92 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 2.34 Units. Return 5.85 Units. Profit 3.51 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 5.70 Units / 3.36 Units and Betfair 6.09 Units / 3.75 Units.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 5.74 Units. Return 11.61 Units. Profit 5.87 Units (40% SR, 102% POT). Best Tote return / profit was 11.53 Units / 5.79 Units and Betfair 12.335 Units / 6.62 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 20.61 Units. Return 19.12 Units. Loss 1.49 Units (25% SR, 7% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 20.38 Units / 0.23 Units and Betfair return / profit was 21.34 Units / 0.72 Units.
Well it was to be back in the winners circle with two winners, one from the SSSS team and one from the Rocktober selections so hopefully everyone finished in front for the day.
Of course, that doesn’t mean we hide from our month to date results which are outlined above. Hopefully know we have broken our drought of no winners, we can make April a really positive month.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1804 29/3)
*SAT 30/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
DOOMBEN R3 #1 Eminent @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN). Goes well at doomben and rates well for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.30. Rated $5.60. In the field of seven, Eminent settled in third on the rails a couple of lengths away from the leader. On the turn started to pick up the leaders but in the final 200m Eminent fell away to finish at the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.
MORPHETTVILLE R1 #3 Royal Rumble @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Will handle this drop in grade here for an overs win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00. Rated $5.20. Settled towards the tail of the field though was on the rails. On the turn, looked to accelerate but wasn’t making ground or positions up and in the final stages dropped further back to finish a long last. Outcome -0.77 Units.
🏆🏆🏆⛪MORPHETTVILLE R2 #3 Lake District Girl @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Impressive winner of first 2 starts this prep before taking on Flem Straight 1100m last start. With leaders until fading late and will appreciate being back around the bend and over 1000m here.
Result: 1st at SP $4.00, Best Tote $4.80, Betfair $4.53. Rated $6.30. Settled midfield, one off the rails. On the turn was in a bit of traffic so had a bit of zig zag run up the straight. When finally found clean air in the final 100m, Lake District Girl really flew home and was able to stick its head out in front when it counted, on the post. Good win!!! Outcome +6.39 Units.
BENDIGO R5 #1 Twitchy Frank @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Three from 6 so far and should be able to go one more here at a good overs price.
Result: 3rd at SP $7.50. Rated $5.50. Nice little overlay. Settled in the lead on the rails. Upon straightening, Twitch Frank left the rails to find the better ground and Miss Siska took that run and took victory (SP $4.00). Though Twitch Frank was outclassed though hit the line well to hold third. Outcome -0.77 Units.
WARREN R5 #1 Dead Reckoning @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Last start fav for a 2nd, Drops 4kg and down in class here and overs for a win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $12.00. Rated $5.70. Nice overlay but was also a drifter in the marketplace. From the inside barrier, went forward to hold the rails in second about a length or so behind the leader. On the turn as pressure was applied, Dead Reckoning looked to be struggling and with about 200m to go dropped away to finish towards the tail of the field. Outcome -0.77 Units.
BENDIGO R7 #10 Mantastic @ $9.50 (0.59 UNITS WIN). A good horse at a good price today I reckon.
Result: 2nd at SP $12.00. Rated $9.20. Settled towards the tail of the field on the rails. On the turn eased out to be one of the widest runners upon straightening. In the straightening keep on finding and even though grabbed second on the line, never really looked like winning, as was too far back. Outcome -0.59 Units.
BENDIGO R8 #17 Smart Horse @ $10.00 (0.56 UNITS WIN). The name says it all with a good time to boot.. Way overs for a win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Rated $5.20. Had market support until jump. Went forward to settle in about third though was never closer than three wide the trip. Upon straightening was struggling and dropped out to finish in the last part of the field. Outcome -0.56 Units.
WYONG R6 #5 Continuation @ $6.00 (1 UNITS WIN). Has shown the ability to be a good horse last prep. A good price today to find out.
Result: Unplaced at SP $16.00. Rated $6.03. No market supported and drifter in the market. Settled in the last part of the field on the rails. In the turn peeled out to make its run but upon straightening didn’t really find anything and from then on only whacked away to the line to finish towards the tail. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
Rocktober Selections
🏆🏆🏆BENDIGO Race 6 No. 10 Mosh Music @ $3.90 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.70, Best Tote $3.80, Betfair $4.06. Coming from just behind the leader, upon straightening was under pressure but responded well and kept finding to hit the line well to score an impressive victory. Outcome +5.85 Units.
BENDIGO Race 8 No. 5 Saccharo @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $8.00. Coming from the back, as one of the widest runners and really flew home in the final 200m though need another 50m or so in order to claim victory. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Fri 29 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 4.15 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 4.15 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
The tough run continues with another day of a couple of placings but no winners.
While we are finding value and market movers, we just can’t get over the line in first.
Surely this will change in the near future.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2251 28/3)
*FRI 29/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
SAPPHIRE COAST R2 #4 Stolen Gift @ $8.00 (0.72 UNITS WIN). Bullocked is way off leaders heels to win his mdn last start and should be able to come close again at overs.
Result: 4th at SP $14.00. Rated $9.20. Drifter but nice overlay on the final price. Settled towards the tail of the field, on the rails but was a compacted field. In the straight took a while to get going but finished off strongly to grab 4th on the line though was well beaten by the winner. Outcome -0.72 Units.
MUSWELLBROOK R1 #1 Galina @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). This race looks right for her to after a couple of unlucky but good runs.
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.50. Settled towards the tail of the field, on the rails a long way back from the leaders. In the straight had a zig zaging run to get room but was always too far back to challenge the winners despite hitting the line well. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
WARRNAMBOOL R2 #8 Saint Peter @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Come in with a chance here second up from a spell with blinkers for the first time.
Result: 3rd at SP $15.00. Drifter in the market. From the wide barrier, settled slightly worse than midfield though was three wide with cover. Upon straightening really let down well and had a great final 100m but was too late to reign in the winners, finish about a length behind. Outcome -0.77 Units.
3.50
SAPPHIRE COAST R6 #9 Jaws Of Life @ $17.00 (0.32 UNITS WIN). Getting better with age this bloke and handles the going and the distance range. Way down in weight and worth another go at these over the odds.
Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00. Rated $8.70. Settled towards the tail, one off the rails. In the straight, never got going and finished out towards the tail of the field. Never sighted. Outcome -0.32 Units.
MUSWELLBROOK R6 #4 Phuket @ $11.00 (0.50 UNITS WIN). On a winning streak and looks like he could go four straight here today at an overs win price. SAVER RB Banker 4, 14>7,9,11,13.
Result: Unplaced at SP $18.00. Rated $10.40. Settled slightly worse than midfield on the rails. Despite looking to be struggling on the turn, picked up upon straightening and plugged away to the line respectably but never a threat to the leaders. No success on the banker as didn’t have the winner. Outcome -0.50 Units.
WARRNAMBOOL R7 #7 Annalysium @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN). Has had a rest and should find this drop in class easier than last run. Overs for a win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.50. Rated $8.70. Market mover so much that it started favourite. After being three wide in the initial stages, slotted into a share of fourth, one off the rails, a couple of lengths from the leaders. On the turn eased up nicely to the leaders to make a line of four upon straightening. Unfortunately soon after, dropped out to finish towards the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Thu 28 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 8.09 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 8.09 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
A note from the boss
In regards the tough run on the SSSS tips at the moment. It's an extreme example of variance and "it happens" .... but just as this is tough, I expect a solid run of good results very soon. I remember Darren Beadman (in his prime) rode 55 races without a winner at Rosehill. Those who want an extra edge may look at the Win Without Form book which I'm authoring and releasing in a week or so ... these selections are provide the night before so you can get an edge on the prices but you also have the chance to monitor the market if that is your thing - close to the race - as professionals still take the market into consideration to a 30-40% degree no matter what else. Personally I'm taking a little sneaky multi across the tips for the next few days hoping to jag 2 or more winners at good prices.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2114 27/3)
*THU 28/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
HAWKESBURY R1 #1 Banteux @ $3.40 (1.50 UNITS WIN). Showed a bit of dash last prep and a forward showing here is expected.
Result: 4th at SP $4.60. Rated $5.40. In the small field of four, Banteux settled in fourth on the rails. On the turn, was placed under pressure and quickly gave ground and finished in fourth. Got going late again though. Outcome -1.50 Units.
HAWKESBURY R3 #3 Yulong Wain @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Does look good for this with a drop in weight and touch of overs for the win.
Result: 4th at SP $7.00. Rated $2.30. Nice value but a drifter. In the field of four again, Yulong Wain settled in a share of third, one off the rails, getting a nice trail from the leading pair. Three wide on the turn as it started to make its run but quickly dropped out to finish a long last. Outcome -1.39 Units.
DONALD R6 #3 Dark Villain @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN). Has won FU with a good turn of foot to boot.
Result: 4th at SP $3.90. Rated $5.50. Settled in a share of the lead, one off the rails. Upon straightening eased out towards the middle of the track and ran on respectably but no match for the winner who cleared out to score a nice win. Outcome -1.32 Units.
HAWKESBURY R7 #14 King Of Seas @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN). Has been looking for a little longer IMO and should come to hand quickly here today. Nice overs.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.10. Rated $4.00. Put in early speed to move forward and eventually settled in third, one off the rails, just behind the leader. On the home turn seemed to be struggling and dropped back through the field and never recovered from then on to finish towards the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.
DONALD R8 #3 Entourage @ $4.40 (1.47 UNITS WIN). Meech sticks after her mdn win on this girl and should go well again.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.90. Rated $2.50. Settled in fourth on the rails. Eased out on the turn to make its run but was immediately under pressure being overtaken by some of the midfielders and was a bit way ward in the straight and finished towards the tail. Possible forgive run as didn’t look the healthiest as it crossed the line. Outcome -1.47 Units.
PAKENHAM R8 #4 Gretzki @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Back from the city and will be fitter second up here today. Comes in well at overs for the win.
Result: 3rd at SP $3.50. Rated $2.05. Settled alone in second. On the turn, peeled out to make its run however didn't have the finishing speed to take out the win and finished a close third. Outcome -1.57 Units.
Wed 27 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 5.44 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 5.44 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 2.68 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 2.68 Units.
Not the greatest days in terms of single selections with no winners, our best result was two seconds.
However hopefully you took the advice in Strathalbyn Race 4 as we picked up the quinella ($8.70), exacta ($8.50) and trifecta ($92.30) [UBET prices].
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2114 26/3)
*WED 27/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
⛪STRATHALBYN R4 #5 Good Nic @ $17.00 (0.32 UNITS WIN). Selection is a 19 start maiden but among recent runs was a strong 2nd at Naracoorte on 10/2/19 when ridden by J Holder. Next run was a solid 5th to He Will Boom (won last Sat at Morph) when forced wide and then out to 1600m which was too far. Back to 1350m here and Holder back on. No standouts in this field. Has 2 placings from 3 runs at Strath and can settle near lead and be hard to hold out at good overs. Suggest also a Reward Bet incl 5,4,3,and whatever is Fav by start time.
Result: 2nd at SP $9.00. Rated $7.40. Settled in second, just outside the leader. On the turn and took the lead easily. Upon straightening, had a one length lead but could not hold off the fast finishing favorite Floriana (SP $2.50) and finished a clear second. Hopefully you took the advice with exotics as we scored the quinella ($8.70), exacta ($8.50) and trifecta ($92.30) [UBET prices]. Outcome -0.32 Units
TOOWOOMBA R2 #6 Brazen Choice @ $5.50 PLACE (1.12 UNITS PLACE). Decent place getter and did work very well to line for 3rd last start. At this pl price he’s worth a $$ or two.
Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00. Rated $14.40. On a deteriorating track, Brazen Choice was three wide early but moved forward to have a share of the lead pretty comfortably after a couple of hundred meters. On the home turn, leader kicked and Brazen Choice couldn’t keep up and dropped back through the field and finished towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.12 Units.
SANDOWN R3 #7 Cozhecancan @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN) Has won once this prep already and should not be far off the win today.
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50. Rated $6.30. Settled at the tail of the field. Straightened up a fair way from the leader and hard ridden but was a never a winning threat and finished towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.12 Units.
STRATHALBYN R7 #1 Spectate @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN). Has won FU and a recent trial suggests a forward showing at overs here today.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Rated $3.25. Settled in fifth, a couple of lengths from the field though was no closer than three wide the trip. On the turn, got shuffled back into the pack but put in a brave effort in the straight to finish midfield. Tough run. Outcome -1.25 Units.
⛪STRATHALBYN R9 #1 Column @ $9.00 (0.63 UNITS WIN). Good record 2nd up and drops 2kg on last start 3rd at Warrnambool. Drawn outside to keep out of trouble and finish hard for win at overs.
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.50. Rated $4.65. Nice overlay. From the wide barrier, showed early speed and settled two pairs back in a share of fifth, one off the rails. On the turn moved up to the leaders to make its presence felt but upon straightening, lost touch and Column started to struggled and finished a little worse than midfield. Outcome -0.63 Units.
TOOWOOMBA R6 #2 Boiling @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Geez she was very unlucky last start bouncing off heels and held up. With some luck in the running here today she will be very hard to run down.
Result: 2nd at SP $3.30. Rated $8.70. Settled midfield, one off the rails. Tracked into the race nicely and even found clean running at the top of the straight after being in a pocket on the turn. Unfortunately in the heave conditions, Boiling couldn’t pick up the winner, Angel Dane ($6.50 SP), who raced towards the front. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
Rocktober Selections
SEYMOUR Race 4 No. 5 Sunbelt @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Coming from the tail of the field, was never a winning threat, getting busy when it was all over. Outcome -1.25 Units.
SEYMOUR Race 5 No. 3 Swiss Hero @ $4.50 (1.43 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Always out the back, never a winning threat. Disappointing. Outcome -1.43 Units.
Wed 26 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 1.88 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.88 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
Quiet day today with two of the selections finishing out of the placings and the third runner being scratched.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2101 25/3)
*TUE 26/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
COFFS HARBOUR R5 #3 Weigela @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS Win). Forget last run where he sweated up before the jump and run 9th after leading. Im going of his mdn win previously where he took off and they couldnt catch him.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated $4.70. Lead on the rails by about a length. On the turn was joined in the lead and at the 200m mark had enough and dropped back through the field to finish midfield. Outcome -1.25 Units.
GEELONG R6 #3 Immelmann @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN). Good effort to win last start and J Noonan retains the ride for another crack at the winners cheque.
Result: Scratched
COFFS HARBOUR R7 #7 Rock The World @ $9.00 (0.63 UNITS WIN). Goes well over this distance range and rated nicely for a win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00. Rated $9.90. From an inside barrier, went forward and settled on the rails in a share of third a couple of lengths from the leaders. Kept to the inside upon straightening but didn’t have the finishing speed to finish off the race to finish a couple of lenghts from the winners who came towards the back of the field. Outcome -0.63 Units.
Mon 25 Mar 2019
No selections today
🏆🏆🏆
Sun 24 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - No selections today
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 0.72 Units. Return 5.76 Units. Profit 5.04 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 5.83 Units / 5.11 Units and Betfair was 6.26 Units / 5.54 Units.
Quiet Sunday with only one Rocktober selection which put in a nice consistent effort to claim a hard fought win.
Rocktober Selections
🏆🏆🏆BALLARAT Race 6 No. 6 Greycliffe @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $7.00, Best Tote $8.10, Betfair $8.70. Settled fifth one off the rails a number of lengths from the lead who was setting a true speed. On the turn, three wide looking to make its run. Found clean air when straightening, making good ground and after looking to just be battling away managed to get its head in front in the final stages to claim victory. Nice ground, hard fought victory. Outcome +5.76 Units.
Sat 23 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 9.27 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 9.27 Units.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 16.52 Units. Return 4.38 Units. Loss 12.14 Units (6% SR, 73% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 5.40 Units / 11.12 Units and Betfair 6.19 Units / 10.33 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 66.18 Units. Return 46.91 Units. Loss 19.27 Units (13% SR, 29% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 44.89 Units / 21.29 Units and Betfair 48.17 Units / 18.00 Units.
Rocktober - No Qualifiers today.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 2.82 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 2.82 Units (0% SR, 100% LOT).
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 14. 88 Units. Return 7.51 Units. Loss 7.37 Units (18% SR, 50 % LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 8.85 Units / 6.03 Units and Betfair 8.99 Units / 5.89 Units.
On Golden Slipper day 2019, we unfortunately experienced disappointing day to end a disappointing week. We had three seconds, two thirds and a fourth but couldn’t pick up with that elusive victory.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2358 22/3)
*SAT 23/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
MORNINGTON R1 #3 Kaching @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN). I have been impressed with recent efforts and a good team today to get him across the line. Nice overs for the win here today.
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Rated $2.80. Nice overlay. Settled in the second half of the field, one off the rails. On the turn, half off the field was off the bit and chasing including Kaching though unfortunately Kaching only got going late to finish in the second half of the field. Outcome -1.25 Units.
MORNINGTON R3 #3 Call It A Day @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN). Big drop in weight here tomorrow, looks suited.
Result: 3rd at SP $6.00. Rated $12.00. Settled in a share of third on the rails, just sitting behind the leaders. Kept to the inside looking for its run to the line as the gap opened but just couldn’t match the speed of the winners in a finish dominated by the on pacers. Outcome -1.25 Units.
⛪MORPHETTVILLE R3 #3 Defiant Dancer @ $4.00 (1.50 UNITS WIN). First starter here for in form P Stokes stable was very impressive in winning a 900m trial at M Bridge recently. Nicely drawn in Br 2 to enjoy easy lead /sit and should prove too good for known opposition.
Result: 2nd at SP $3.80. Settled in a share of fourth, one off the rails, just behind the leaders. When they straightened, was the widest runner in the straight and was had a good final 200m but the winner was just going too well for Defiant Dancer. Outcome -1.50 Units.
MORPHETTVILLE R4 #2 Girls Got Spirit @ $8.50 (0.67 UNITS WIN). A tad unlucky caught wide the first to runs back from a spell, an improvement last start 3rd. Rated spot on for win here today.
Result: 2nd at SP $8.50. Lead on the rails. Kicked on the turn to put up a four to five length lead though tired in the final stages and couldn’t hold on for the win. Good run though. Outcome -0.67 Units.
AVOCA R5 #8 Mosarbe @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN). Has won third up and looks ready to bounce here at overs for a win.
Result: 3rd at SP $5.50. Rated $3.70. Used a bit of early speed to find the rails in the lead by a length or so. At the top of the straight maintained that length lead and ran quite well to the run and was only collared in the final 100m or so to finish a respectable 3rd. Outcome -1.48 Units.
MORNINGTON R7 #5 Stars Of Carrum @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Drop down in class and looks a suitable race to run for a winners cheque.
Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Rated $9.10. Settled a little worse than midfield, on the rails. Speed and pressure went up a notch or two as they entered the home turn where Stars Of Carrum moved up to a prominent position though still a couple of lengths from the leaders. Couldn’t make up this gap in the straight despite hitting the line well to grab 4th in the final stages. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
AVOCA R6 #11 Rouse @ $9.00 (0.63 UNITS WIN). Won going away last run. Jumps up a peg but is in it for the win i reckon.
Result: Unplaced at SP $18.00. Rated $10.90. Settled towards the tail of the field on the rails a number of lengths from the leader and the main pack. Was always out the back and was too far back to make an impression on the leaders despite hitting the line well in the straight. Outcome -0.63 Units.
⛪MORPHETTVILLE R6 #2 Chivadahli @ $3.70 (1.50 UNITS WIN). Racing well with 2nds against higher grade opposition at his last two and should find a good position in running from Br2 and be able to outsprint his opposition here.
Result: 2nd at SP $3.70. Rated $4.70. Settled in 3rd, just behind the leaders on the rail. As they approached the turn, field bunched as a result of the slow tempo. Speed went up as they hit the turn and into the home straight where Chivadahli founds gap to have an uninterrupted run to the line though was done by a horse who had a rails run coming from the back. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Fri 22 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 2.01 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 2.01 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
With Albury abandoned we only had the two selections at Terang which both finished out of the placings.
Don’t forget there are a number of bonus available on various races at Rosehill, Eagle Farm and Mornington. Take advantage where you can.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2120 22/3)
*FRI 22/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
ALBURY R4 #2 Funding @ $9.50 (0.59 UNITS WIN). Has won SU and will be fitter after fu third at Corowa. Nice overs win bet.
Result: Meeting Abandoned
TERANG R5 #7 Belle Prix @ $16.00 (0.34 UNITS WIN). Has won 2nd up in the slow and distance. Comes in at overs for a win.
Result: 4th at SP $18.00. Rated $12.90. Nice overlay. In the field of seven, after being slow out of the gates Belle Prix settled in fourth on the rails a couple of lengths from the leader who was setting a decent pace. Under pressure a long way out with the fast tempo though only made ground late to overcome the leaders who tired late to finish a long fourth. Never a winning hope. Outcome -0.34 Units.
ALBURY R5 #3 Inglesias @ $11.00 (0.50 UNITS WIN). A quick back up here and racing well. Looks like a suitable race to win at overs IMO.
Result: Meeting Abandoned
TERANG R6 #2 Roar @ $4.00 (1.67 UNITS WIN). A good horse out of luck last start when the saddle slipped for 2nd. Racing against better horses than these and would be my bet of the day.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Rated $7.70. Settled in a share of third, one off the rails just behind the leaders. On the turn, lost touch with the leaders as the speed and pressure went up a notch and from there battled away to the line to finish in the second half of the field. Outcome -1.67 Units.
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Thu 21 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 3.05 Units. Return 4.38 Units. Profit 1.33 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 5.40 Units / 2.35 Units and Betfair 6.19 Units / 3.15 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
A nice winner to ensure a profitable day as American In Paris let the speed battle unfold in front of it, swooped up on the turn and scored a nice victory.
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Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2039 21/3)
*THU 21/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
NEWCASTLE R2 #1 Miss Quaintly @ $6.50 (0.91 UNITS WIN). Resumes here and down in class. Has won FU previously and has the Lees polish. Well over the odd for a win bet.
Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50. Rated $6.60. Settled slightly worse than midfield, one off the rails. At the top of the straight was looking for a run and when the gaps appeared, Miss Quaintly didn’t have a turn of foot to match the winners and finished in the last part of the field. Outcome -0.91 Units.
DONALD R5 #8 Montevideo @ $13.00 (0.42 UNITS WIN). Ran a good 2nd last run and has won SU. Should appreciate the extra distance and is overs for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00. Rated $8.20. Nice overlay. Sat in 4th in the run, three wide for the majority of trip. As pressure was applied on the turn, Montevideo lost touch with the leaders and dropped back but did well to hit the line respectably despite finishing slightly worse than midfield. Outcome -0.42 Units.
ALBURY R5 #1 Fireman Sam I Am @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Good form 3rd up winning two from four and looks ready to win here over the rated odds.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Rated $8.20. From the wide, went three wide early to eventually set in 3rd, one off the rails though was a couple of lengths off the leader. On the turn got to the middle of the track and whacked away to the line without ever really looking threatening for the win. Outcome -1.00 Unit
🏆🏆🏆DONALD R7 #4 American In Paris @ $8.00 (0.72 UNITS WIN). Lightly raced Ex Weir galloper now with the Wilde stable. Does have the ability here to figure at well rated win odds.
Result: 1st at SP $7.50, Best Tote $7.50, Betfair $8.60. Rated $6.50. 7.5In the eight horse field, settled in second last, one off the rails as the speed and battle was on for 1st. On the turn slowly went up three wide and eased up to the leaders at about the 150m mark, went past them easily and ran away for a length and a bit victory. Outcome +4.38 Units after deductions.
Wed 20 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 2.20 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 2.20 Units.
Rocktober - No qualifiers today
Only the two official selections and unfortunately one of our selections, Ocean Deep in the last at Sandown, going down by a very narrow margin despite a good battle up the straight.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2012 20/3)
*WED 20/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
BALAKLAVA R6 #2 In The Fast Lane @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Definitely rated to win here. Has been racing well and deserves a win at a nice overs win price.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.60. Rated $2.50. Nice little overlay. From the inside barrier, held the rails as it went forward to settle in a share of third just behind the leader. Bunched field as they straightened, though In the Fast Land found nothing and fell behind to finish at the tail of the field. Outcome -1.57 Units.
SANDOWN R8 #4 Ocean Deep @ $9.00 (0.63 UNITS WIN). Lightly raced this lady and in a weaker class. Has had a month off and has won FU. Gets her chance here to notch up another win at an overs price.
Result: 2nd at SP $7.50. Rated $9.70. Settled in second, one off the rails, about a length off the leader and eventual winner, I Remember You (SP $5.00). Straightened up and set it sights on the leader and despite a good two horse battle up the straight, I Remember You just proved a little to strong to score a narrow victory. Outcome -0.63 Units.
Rocktober Selections
KYNETON Race 3 No. 1 Jack On The Rocks @ $6.50 (0.91 UNIT WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $8.50
KYNETON Race 8 No. 6 Astrological @ $9 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $8.50
Tue 19 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - No selections today
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 1.32 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.32 Units.
On a Tuesday, only one Rocktober selection which finished in third though was no match for the winner and leader.
Rocktober Selections
BENDIGO Race 8 No. 8 Ocean Essence @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $5.50. After sitting outside the leader, one off the rails, for the whole race, went up to the leader upon straightening but leader kicked and put in a winning margin while Ocean Essence could only hang on for 3rd. Outcome -1.32 Units
Mon 18 Mar 2019
No selections today.
Sun 17 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - No selections today
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 1.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.50 Units.
Quiet Sunday with only one Rocktober selection which finished out of the placings.
Rocktober Selections
BENALLA Race 1 No. 1 Absolut Artie @ $3.40 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. Settled in third, one off the rails in a nice trail from the leaders. Rolled forward prior to the turn sitting three wide in a share of the lead however it hit its peak early in the straight and finished with the other leaders towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Sat 16 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 5.31 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 5.31 Units.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 16.51 Units. Return 5.88 Units. Loss 10.63 Units (7% SR, 64% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 7.50 Units / 9.01 Units and Betfair 6.60 Units / 9.91 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 49.66 Units. Return 42.53 Units. Loss 7.13 Units (15% SR, 14% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 39.49 Units / 10.17 Units and Betfair 41.98 Units / 7.68 Units.
Rocktober - No Qualifiers today.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 6.00 Units. Return 4.20 Units. Loss 1.80 Units (25% SR, 30% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 5.25 Units / 0.75 Units and Betfair 5.21 Units / 0.80 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 12.06 Units. Return 7.51 Units. Loss 4.55 Units (22% SR, 38% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 8.85 Units / 3.21 Units and Betfair 8.99 Units / 3.08 Units.
Well a disappointing day to end a disappointing week. Unfortunately we were one bound away from a winner in a week that lacked winners which mean our month to date results moved us into the negative.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1822 15/3)
*SAT 16/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
ROSEHILL R1 #4 You Make Me Smile @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Handles the going here today and seems to win more when carrying around this weight. Spot on rated price for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Rated $6.20. In an early four way speed and leader battle, eventually settled in 2nd outside the leader. On the turn went for home but at around the 200m mark, You Make Me Smile had enough and dropped out to finish towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
MORPHETTVILLE R4 #5 Resurge @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Back from a decent spell and has won FU. Has had a trial and a jump out recently and could make the frame IMO.
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Rated $8.10. Settled at the tail of the field. On the turn hooked out to make its run and straightened up to be the widest runner. Ran well to the line but was too far back to be a threat to the winners. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
ROSEHILL R5 #12 Zalette @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN). If there is a winner to be had on a soft track its this girl. Should settle handy from a good draw and power home late.
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Rated $6.90. Settled in the last part of the field, one off the rails. Tried to pick up on the turn but the horse who didn’t really look comfortable in the ground made little ground and finished towards the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.
FLEMINGTON R6 #5 Main Stage @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). Comes down in grade here and has been racing in stronger company. CW sticks and should be very handy when it counts.
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Rated $9.60. Settled in the last part of the field, one off the rails in a strung out field. Was the the widest runner when straightened and initially made ground on the leaders but seemed to hit its peak early and finished a little worse than midfield. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
GOLD COAST R9 #10 Malvern Estate @ $13.00 (0.42 UNITS WIN). Had the lung buster at 1400m last start beaten 1.3L 3rd and comes back -200m here with B Stewart aboard. Blinkers on a positive and a juicy overs for a win.
Result: Meeting abandoned
⛪MORPHETTVILLE R8 #4 Master Chum @ $ 4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN). Win Lightly raced 4yo has finished right on heels of opposition last two. Fitter now and up to 1250m here will be to his liking.
Result: 2nd at SP $3.70. Rated $4.00. Settled towards the tail of the field. Ridden along prior to the turn and straightened up with clear running room. Ran on strongly to the line and in another bound it wins but almost equals zero. Outcome -1.48 Units.
Rocktober Selections
FLEMINGTON Race 2 No. 5 Write Your Name @ $6.50 (0.91 UNIT WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at $8.50.
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Fri 15 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 3.82 Units. Return 5.88 Units. Profit 2.06 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 7.50 Units / 3.68 Units and Betfair 6.60 Units / 2.78 Units.
Rocktober - No qualifiers today
Well we asked for luck today and we received luck with our one winner, San Marco via the SSSS team at Taree, coming from a clear last and winning on the line. That’s where out luck ran out today though we finished in front, so can’t really complain.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2022 14/3)
*FRI 15/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
🏆🏆🏆TAREE R5 #5 San Marco @ $6.00 (1 UNIT WIN). A decent claim today should help the cause. Comes home like a rocket and just needs a bit of luck, as do we all!
Result: 1st at SP $6.00, Best Tote $7.50, Betfair $6.60. Rated $6.80. Settled a clear last on the rails. Went four / five wide on the turn to find clean air to make its run home. Made good steady ground on the field and managed to get its head in front on the line to claim a good victory despite being a bit wayward in the straight. Outcome +5.88 Units after deductions.
2.00
MOONEE VALLEY R3 #1 Vainstream @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Just missed last start as fav. Should bounce today at overs for the win.
Result: 4th at SP $4.40. Rated $3.80. In the field of six, settled last on the rails. Got to the outside on the turn and ran well in the straight but never really looked likely for the win. Outcome -1.57 Units.
MOONEE VALLEY R4 #4 Herecomesmybaby @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN). A huge chance here tonight with Oli back on board and a positive gear change/blinkers IMO.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Rated $7.50. Settled last one off the rails. In the straight, kept to the inside looking for a run which never really came and finished towards the tail, though was only two lengths from the winner. With a bit more luck and room in the straight, could have been a different story. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Rocktober Selections
M.VALLEY (N) Race 7 No. 4 Declares War @ $8.50 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $11.00.
10.70
Thu 14 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - No bet today due to Goulburn being abandoned
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 1.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.50 Units.
With Goulburn abandoned due to the heavy rain, only the one runner via Rocktober which finish unplaced.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2138 13/3)
*THU 14/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
GOULBURN R4 #1 Carruthers @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Stormed home last start to win going away so this extra 200m and the cut in the ground should suit. Well over the rated odds for a win.
Result: Meeting abandoned.
Rocktober Selections
WARRNAMBOOL Race 4 No. 1 Abraded @ $3.50 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. Sat outside the leader though at the turn was headed and dropped out to finish midfield. Every chance. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Wed 13 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 5.15 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 5.15 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 1.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.50 Units.
Not the greatest of days today, with our best result a head bobber 2nd via the Rocktober selection. The remaining selections were off the pace today and didn’t run up to expectations.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2156 12/3)
*WED 13/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
WARWICK FARM R1 #3 Bondi Boy @ $8.50 (0.67 UNITS WIN). Two very good trials recently suggest he should go well FU at good odds.
Result: Unplaced at SP $10.00. In the small field of five, settled in third on the rails, just behind the leaders. On the turn, went up three wide but as they entered the straight, quickly dropped out of contention and finished at the tail of the field. Outcome -0.67 Units.
WARWICK FARM R2 #3 Enforcement @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). A little green first start and drops a grade here. Two decent trials recently put him right on the mark.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Settled in a three way share of third, just behind the speed on the rails. While making up some ground in the straight, hits its peak and dropped out in the final 100m to finish around midfield. Outcome -1.39 Units.
SANDOWN R3 #11 Yes I Do @ $8.00 PLACE (0.72 UNITS PLACE). First up win after being slow away. Should run a place in this at odds.
Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00. Rated $18.00. Settled in fifth, one off the rails. Was a touch keen and in the straight battled away for an event effort to finish around midfield. Outcome -0.72 Units.
⛪Narracoorte R6 #7 I Am The Key @$5.00 1.25u Win Solid T/D record (7-2-4) and a good 2nd last start. Has had a freshen up 6 wks and J Maund engaged here on this S Jaensch runner. Up in grade but down in weight and looks a good chance in what is not a strong race.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.20. Rated $5.20. In the field of six, settled behind the speed one off the rails in fourth. Hard ridden from just prior to the turn and soon after dropped out to finish towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.25 Units.
WARWICK FARM R6 #4 Bull Market @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Two wins previous to last place 4th which was still a good run. Nicely rated win price here for this.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated $8.90. On a deteriorating track due to rain, Bull Market contested the lead with three others and after a few hundred meters, settled in second one off the rails a length or so behind the leader. On the turn was immediately put under pressure and dropped out quickly and finished at the tail of the field. Outcome -1.12 Units.
DOOMBEN R5 #3 Saturn Ops @ $6.50 PLACE (0.91 UNITS PLACE). Just when he looked like having a go last run he was blocked severely. I think he will be better this time to at least run a drum.
Result: Scratched
Rocktober Selections
SANDOWN HILLSIDE Race 1 No. 6 Convict Sam @ $3.20 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $4.20. In the field of five, came from the back as was hard ridden 600m out. Saved ground on the turn and went for inside runs. In the final 100m or so it was a battle between Convict Sam and Smiling City (SP $2.40) and on the line Smiling City head was down, Convict Sam head was up. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Tue 12 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 2.24 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 2.24 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
Relatively quiet day today with only the two selections at Coffs Harbour. Unfortunately one of the selections, Titus, was collared in the final 50m and ran a close third.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1919 11/3)
*TUE 12/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
COFFS HARBOUR R3 #3 Man With A Plan @ $8.50. (0.67 UNITS WIN). Good FU win over this distance and should be able to go close.
Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50. Rated $11.80. In the 800m scamper, sat midfield, no closer than three wide the trip. Entered the straight with open spaces but had nothing to give and ended towards the tail of the field. Outcome -0.67 Units.
COFFS HARBOUR R8 #2 Titus @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Prolific place getter but should be able to get the job done here today. Rated to win.
Result: 3rd at SP $4.80. Rated $4.20. Lead on the rails with company on its outside and a length or so to third. Field was fairly spread out in the run. In the straight went a couple of the rails and kept on coming but was collared in the final 50m to go down by half a length. Outcome -1.57 Units.
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Mon 11 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - No official selections today.
Unofficial selections - Outlay 5.61 Units. Return 7.25 Units. Profit 1.64 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 8.00 Units / 2.39 Units and Betfair 10.18 Units / 4.57 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 3.00 Units. Return 4.20 Units. Profit 1.20 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 5.25 Units / 2.25 Units and Betfair 5.21 Units / 2.21 Units.
A public holiday in some parts of Australia today proved to be quite a successful day. Rocktober selections hit one from two selections which ensured a profit and the unofficial SSSS selections for Adelaide Cup day proved successful as well including just missing out on the cup winner at double figure odds.
Unofficial SA Analyst Tips
🏆🏆🏆Morphettville R1#3 Despatch @$2.90 2.5u Win Has won 2 trials in prep for 1st up here for T McEvoy and his new found gun rider B Vorster (rode Sunlight to win Newmarket last Sat). Winner of 3/7 incl 2 here and though short should win.
Result: 1st at SP $3.60, Best Tote $3.20, Betfair $4.07. Rated $3.20 Outcome +7.25 Units.
1.70
Morphettville R4 #1 The Executioner @ $3.60 1.9u Win Very impressive winner at his 1st start here on 22.2.19 and in well on weights here (2Kg less) against 2yo field on set weights.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.00. Outcome -1.90 Units.
Above are short so suggest a small wager on each to win and one winner will cover the outlay of a Multi on both at $10.44.(0.53u).
Result: 1 leg loss. Outcome -0.50 Units.
Adelaide Cup R7 #10 Top of the Range @$ 15.00 0.36u Win Looking for value here with the Moroney trained runner with plenty of K's in the legs and the added value of W Pike to ride, Form is sound and can race well back here and finish hard. Will take in exotics with 16 17 and 3.
Result: 2nd at SP $10.00. Outcome -0.36 Units
3.40
Ps I will also follow R3# 12 He Will Boom @$19.00 0.3u Win My pick from last Sat was Scr and saved for this race. Looks a bit harder assignment here but well drawn in Br3 and sure to give a good sight at odds.
Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00. Outcome -0.30 Units.
Rocktober Selections
MORPHETTVILLE Race 2 No. 5 Dane Thunder @ $4.40 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Coming from just behind the speed, had joined the lead at the 200m mark. From then, weakened out to finish 3rd. No excuses, good run in transit, just couldn’t finish it off. Outcome -1.50 Units.
9.95
🏆🏆🏆BALLARAT Race 3 No. 2 Lamington Drive @ $2.80 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.40, Best Tote $3.50, Betfair $3.47. Coming from third, just behind the speed, joined in from the 200m and proved too strong in the run to line winning a tight contest by a head. Outcome +4.20 Units.
5.60 / 1.40
Sun 10 Mar 2019
No selections today
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Sat 09 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 6.15 Units. Return 5.85 Units. Loss 0.30 Units. Best Tote return / loss was 3.06 Units / 3.09 Units and Betfair 3.57 Units / 2.57 Units.
Weekly Summary - Outlay 20.83 Units. Return 18.33 Units. Loss 2.50 Units (16% SR, 12% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 18.13 Units / 2.70 Units and Betfair 18.97 Units / 1.96 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 33.14 Units. Return 36.65 Units. Profit 3.50 Units (19% SR, 11% POT). Best Tote return / loss was 31.99 Units / 1.15 Units and Betfair return / profit was 35.38 Units / 2.24 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - No selections today
Weekly Summary - Outlay 1.56 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.56 Units (0% SR, 100% LOT).
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 6.06 Units. Return 3.31 Units. Loss 2.75 Units (20% SR, 45% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 3.60 Units / 2.46 Units and Betfair 3.78 Units / 2..28 Units.
Only the one winner today which was absolutely crunched in betting from its advertised price of $6.50 into its Starting Price of $3.40. It won easily too, backing up the punter confidence. Hopefully you all got on the fixed price reducing today loss to a minimum.
While we had a small losing week, we are still slightly ahead for the month.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1648 08/3)
*SAT 09/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
FLEMINGTON R2 #4 Bravo Tango @ $5.00. (1.25 UNITS WIN). Going for the hat trick and with the guts and turn of foot I reckon he can do it.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Rated $4.70. Settled at the tail of the field. In the straight ran okay to the line to finish around midfield but was too far back to be in winning contention in a race dominated by those on pace. Outcome -1.25 Units.
RANDWICK R2 #2 Sandbar @ $5.50. (1.12 UNITS WIN). Two good trials before his last run 4th beaten by under a L. He can win this at overs.
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Rated $3.40. Settled one out, one back in third. Out in clean air at the top of the straight but never gave a sight in a fast run race and finished towards the tail of the field. Outcome -1.12 Units.
FLEMINGTON R4 #2 Sunset Watch @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN). Going along way this gelding. Beat Ringerdingding when FU last prep with an all the way run. Very nice overs for a win here today.
Result: 2nd at SP $4.80. Rated $2.20. In the straight race, lead up the middle of the track. Headed at the 100m but kept going soundly to hold second narrowly. Made the running, just couldn’t hold on. Decent run. Outcome -1.32 Units.
1.80
RANDWICK R9 #5 Casterton @ $7.00. (0.84 UNITS WIN). Very hard to beat on best form SU from spell and fitter here. JMac sticks which is a good sign. Big chance! #3 One Foot In Heaven caught the eye FU also and drawn well. SAVER RB BANKER 5,3>6,9,1,2,10 for mine!
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Rated $8.00. From the wide barrier, went forward to settle in fifth though was three wide no cover. Stoked up on the turn but never made ground and early in the straight, horse had nothing left to give and dropped back through the field to finish at the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.
EAGLE FARM R9 #1 Eminent @ $8.00 (0.72 UNITS WIN). A strong win FU and won two from three SU. Great overs for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $9.00. Rated $6.20. Settled in a share of fifth on the rails a couple of lengths from the leader. At the top of the straight, had no room and was cluttered up. Found room late when the winner was off and gone but kept on going to hit the line to hold fifth. Outcome -0.72 Units.
Morphettville R8 # 15 He Will Boom @$8.50 0.67u Win Strong maiden winner at just 4th start last run and looked set for bigger things. Has weight advantage over most of these and proven at 1300m. Can win here at good odds.
Result: Scratched
🏆🏆🏆Morphettville R6 #8 Equal Love @$6.50 0.9u Win Had a bit in hand when won last start this grade and distance at Balaclava to make it 2 wins from 4 starts. In the in form Stokes stable and drawn well to lead or sit close and finish off.
Result: 1st at SP $3.40. Best Tote $3.40. Betfair $3.97. Rated $9.05. In the run sat behind the leading pair in third. In the straight kept to the rails as the leaders moved out. Easily went past the leaders and in the final 200m ran away to score a comfortable two length win. Nice easy run and took full advantage. Outcome +5.85 Units.
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Fri 08 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 3.49 Units. Return 5.80 Units. Profit 2.31 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 7.22 Units / 3.74 Units and Betfair 5.54 Units / 2.06 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - No selections today
The one winner today via Coach at the Sunshine Coast. Looking the replay, I’m still surprised it won given its tough run in transit and looking plain up the straight. Though can’t complain. The other two selections both grabbed minor placings.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2151 07/3)
*FRI 08/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
ARARAT R8 #11 Lelia’s Star @ $8.50. (0.67 UNITS WIN). The form looks ordinary here but I still think she has a show in this class race. Willing to have a crack at the overs for a win.
Result: 3rd at SP $8.00. Rated $10.60. Settled at the tail of the field, one off the rails. On the turn, ramped up and was the widest runner making ground. Really did make ground especially in the final 150m or so to dead heat for third, about a length from the winner. Just that little too far back to get the win. Outcome -0.67 Units.
CRANBOURNE R3 #3 Accredit @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN). Overdue for a win and gets a good chance here to do just that.
Result: 2nd at SP $5.00. Rated $7.70. Settled midfield, one off the fence. At the turn got to the outside and was ridden hard to find necessary speed though unfortunately winner, Voodoo Queen ($4.80 SP) who came from a similar position to Accredit was just going that bit better to score a neck win. Outcome -1.25 Units.
1.90
🏆🏆🏆SUNSHINE R7 #2 Coach @ $4.20. (1.57 UNITS WIN). Riden well as fav last start but not much luck. Right in it against this lot.and comes in well rated to win.
Result: 1st at SP $3.30, Best Tote $4.60, Betfair $3.53. Rated $2.40. Settled in the last part of the field though was three wide no cover. Moved up gradually half way through the race to settle one off the fence in fifth, a length or two from the leader. On the turn went up four five wide to make it run. Had clear air in the straight and even with the tough run and looking ordinary in the straight it was able to score a head victory on the line. Think the only time it was in front was just prior to the post. Outcome +5.80 Units.
Thu 07 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 0.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 0.50 Units.
Rocktober - Outlay 0.72 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 0.72 Units.
A quiet day today with only the two selections. The best result was a third so no return today.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1951 06/3)
*THU 07/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
HAMILTON R8 #5 Minoan Spirit @ $11.00 (0.50 UNITS WIN). Proven track and distance and inform Meech aboard could bring him home at overs for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Rated $5.60. Settled in a midfield position on the rails. Eased out on the turn looking desperately for a run which came at just before the 200m though when the ran came, Minoan Sirit had nothing to give and finished in the last part of the field. Outcome -0.50 Units.
PAKENHAM R8 #14 Tarwin @ $10.00 (0.56 UNITS WIN). Is very impressive this fella with a FU win on soft. The horse he beat that day won recently and is overs for the win.
Result: Scratched
Rocktober Selections
HAMILTON Race 5 No. 3 Jack On The Rocks @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $6.50. Coming just off the speed was four wide on the turn, trailing the winner but proved to be no match for the winner in the straight going down by a bit over a length. Outcome -0.72 Units.
Wed 06 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 7.30 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 7.30 Units.
Rocktober - No selections today
Well that was an ordinary day, one to forget and hopefully quickly recover quickly from. From the seven selections today, we could only manage two placings.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1814 05/3)
*WED 06/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
Randwick R1 #5 Rexx @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Over raced last start but fitter today and every chance from B1. Save with #1 Costas in RB Banker.
Result: 2nd at SP $5.50. In the run was fourth on the rails, though didn’t like being restrained and raced for much of the race with its mouth open and head shaking about. On the turn eased out to make it run and wandered a little but never really threatened for the win. Outcome -1.39 Units.
DARWIN R1 #4 Black Haze @ $5.50. (1.12 UNITS WIN). Going for the hat trick today and very capable. Overs for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Rated $8.00. From the wide barrier went forward and after initially being three wide, settled one off the fence in a battle for third. On the turn, the leader and winner, Meazza (SP $4.00) kicked and Black Haze couldn’t respond and ended finishing midfield, over ten lengths from the winner. Outcome -1.12
RANDWICK R7 #9 Cisco Bay @ $7.50. (0.77 UNITS WIN). Excellent record over this distance. Came home strong last start over the mile to win going away. Rated to win this today. I will also have a RB with 2,3 and a few others but they are my main ones.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated $6.10. From the inside, eased out of the early speed battle and settled in fifth, on the rails. In the straight went for inside runs but couldn’t find anything and ended up easing up and finished a long last. Outcome -0.77 Units.
BENDIGO R5 #8 The Delphi @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Racing in top form and due for another win. Should be there all the way today at a well rated win price.
Result: 3rd at SP $7.00. Rated $8.00. Settled at the tail of the field. Was hustled prior to the turn and initially didn’t look like making any ground but going late when it was all over and grabbed 3rd. Outcome -0.77 Units.
DOOMBEN R6 #1 Proud Captain @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Won easily last start and Lloyd back up today. Rated well to win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Rated $4.80. From the outside barrier, jumped towards the outside barrier before trekking forward to settled one off the rails in a midfield position. When speed went up on the turn, Proud Captain dropped back to near last and never recovered from then on to finish in the last part of the field. Unusual running action in the straight. Outcome -1.12 Units
MURRAY BRIDGE R8 #1 Knotted @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Just pipped last start when had no peace in the lead and winner sat behind pace. Is backing up 3days later here in lower grade and should be able to control race from good draw. Overs for a win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.80. Rated $3.60. Settled outside the leader in second. Hard ridden on the turn as it was chasing the leader who kicked on the turn but faded in the last 200m to drop and finished in the quarter of the field. Outcome -1.57 Units.
DOOMBEN R8 #9 Speedgun @ $9.50 (0.59 UNITS WIN). Working nicely through this prep and a recent trial suggests aw in is imminent. Rated to win.
Result: Unplaced at $17.00. Rated $7.40. Settled towards the tail of the field, one off the rails. On the turn eased out to make its run home down the middle of the track but always too far back and never made an impression on the winners. Never a hope. Outcome -0.59 Units.
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Tue 05 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 3.40 Units. Return 6.68 Units. Profit 3.28 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 7.85 Units / 4.45 Units and Betfair 9.85 Units / 6.45 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 0.84 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 0.84 Units.
No dreaming today thanks to Firstclass Dreamer saluting meaning we showed a nice overall profit today from our three selections between SSSS and Rocktober.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1903 04/3)
*TUE 05/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
KEMBLA R1 #3 Sergeant @ $3.90. (1.73 UNITS WIN). Drops down a class to a winnable race. He was unlucky last run but will make up for it here today.
Result: 2nd at SP $3.50. Rated $9.50. In the field of five, Sergeant pushed forward to sit in second, one outside the leader. In the straight, the running order in the run proved the order at the finish with Sergeant never really threatened to take the lead at any stage. Outcome -1.73 Units.
🏆🏆🏆SEYMOUR R6. #11 Firstclass Dreamer @ $4.00. (1.67UNITS WIN). Jumps up a peg but I'm sure he will handle this race with Douglas aboard to give him that extra boost.
Result: 1st at SP $4.80, Best Tote $4.70, Betfair $5.90. Rated $4.30. Settled in fourth, on the rails about two lengths from the leader. At the top of the straight, joined in the lead as it stayed to the inside and kept on going to well to hold off the challenges from the back to score by about a length. Outcome +6.68 Units.
Rocktober Selections
SEYMOUR Race 6 No. 10 Mighty Quinn @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $7.00. From midfield, went forward with a trail and hooked out on the turn but unable to run down the leader despite going respectably in the straight. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Mon 04 Mar 2019
No Selections today
Sun 03 Mar 2019
No Selections today
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Sat 02 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 8.23 Units. Return 13.06 Units. Profit 4.83 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 10.56 Units / 2.33 Units and Betfair 13.13 Units / 4.90 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 12.31 Units. Return 18.32 Units. Profit 6.00 Units (23% SR, 49% POT). Best Tote return / profit was 13.86 Units / 1.55 Units and Betfair 16.41 Units / 4.10 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 1.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss 1.50 Units.
Month To Date Summary - Outlay 4.50 Units. Return 3.31 Units. Loss 1.19 Units (33% SR, 26% LOT). Best Tote return / loss was 3.60 Units / 0.90 Units and Betfair 3.78 Units / 0.72 Units.
A nice start to the month continues today with two winners via the SSSS team. Odyssey, the Brisbane selection, shortened from $4.60 into at SP $2.35. Despite this shortening, all players should have shown a profit today.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 1647 01/3)
*SAT 02/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
FLEMINGTON R3 #6 Moonlover @ $12.00 (0.46 UNITS WIN). Brings very good here with 2 form 4 when fresh. Has had a BT and a jump out to get ready so should go well.
Result: Unplaced at SP $12.00. Rated $17.60. Lead in the straight race in the middle of track. Under pressure with 300m to go and steadily dropped back through the field to finish towards the tail, four lengths from the winner. Outcome -0.46 Units.
FLEMINGTON R4 #6 Khulaasa @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Won and won well last start FU and looks primed to win here again IMO.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.20. Rated $8.90. Dipped at the start but quickly speed up to sit in second in the middle of the track. Struggled from the 400m mark and dropped back through the field to finish towards the tail. Bad start didn’t help its chances. Outcome -1.57 Units.
FLEMINGTON R6 #1 Grunt @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN). Winner of multiple G1’s, has won FU, won at the distance and on this track. Should go well.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Rated $4.10. Settled in fifth, one off the rails. Under pressure from the turn and only held its position and ground to finish midfield. Outcome -1.57 Units.
🏆🏆🏆DOOMBEN R3 #1 The Odyssey @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Looked passed the last run here and he has the form on the board to take this out.
Result: 1st at SP $2.35, Best Tote $2.20, Betfair $2.49. Jumped well and immediately held the lead and rails. Had them stacked on the turn and Odyssey went go and put up a couple length lead and was never headed, winning comfortably. Outcome +6.39 Units.
RANDWICK R7 #14 Zalatte @ $14.00 (0.39 UNITS WIN). Certainly a decent jump in grade but its hard to knock winning form. Reckon she’s good enough and rated well for the win.
Result: Unplaced at SP $15.70. Rated $9.60. Settled midfield, one off the rails. Clean run in the straight but only really got going when race was all over from Zalatte point of view and finished midfield. Outcome -0.39 Units.
RANDWICK R8 #2 Noire @ $7.00 (0.84 units win). Generally strong second up with 3 wins from 4 starts. Does possess a good turn of foot and can power home late. Looks good.
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated $9.30. Settled towards the tail of the field, one off the rails. Ramped up on the turn and was the widest runner but never came on from there and finished at the tail of the field. Disappointing. Outcome -0.84 Units
RANDWICK R9 #7 Spin @ $16.00 (0.34 UNITS WIN). In a weaker class race here where he is very capable of a good race 2nd up and at these overs im willing to bet he goes very close.
Result: 3rd at SP $9.50. Rated $11.50. Was three wide with cover behind the leaders though it didn’t settle during the run in which many horses tried to lead. Eventually found clean room in the straight with 200m to go as one of the widest runners and gained ground late to share 3rd. Outcome -0.34 Units
🏆🏆🏆⛪Morphettville R8#3 Kabini @$4.00 1,67u Win A winner here 2 starts ago in higher grade. Blinkers first time and down in grade is drawn well and ready to win again at overs here.
Result: 1st at SP $4.40, Best Tote $4.50, Betfair $5.80. Rated $2.40. Settled towards the tail of the field on the rails. Stoked up three wide on the turn to sit behind the leaders. Sustained a long run to win by just under a length. Nice win. Outcome +6.68 Units.
Rocktober Selections
FLEMINGTON Race 5 No. 10 Write Your Name @ $10 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - 4th at SP $13.00
MORPHETTVILLE Race 7 No. 10 Sylpheed @ $4.40 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $3.80. Slightly worse than midfield during the run. Midrace move, three wide to join lead by the turn. Winner just too strong and came a clear 2nd. Outcome -1.50 Units.
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Fri 01 Mar 2019
Daily Summary:
SSSS - Official Price - Outlay 4.09 Units. Return 5.26 Units. Profit 1.17 Units. Best Tote return / loss was 3.30 Units / 0.78 Units and Betfair 3.29 Units / 0.80 Units.
Rocktober - Official Price - Outlay 3.00 Units. Return 3.31 Units. Profit 0.31 Units. Best Tote return / profit was 3.60 Units / 0.60 Units and Betfair 3.78 Units / 0.78 Units.
A new month and various returns depending on whether you are a fixed or variable player.
On the SSSS side, Incubus at Port Lincoln won at $9.39 ($10 before deductions) though the variable paid around $5.00. So fixed punters finished in the positive on SSSS while variable showed a small loss.
On the Rocktober side, Mosh Music saluted. Though the favourite was scratched at the barrier which meant the fixed price after deduction was $2.21 ($3.20 before deductions). The variable price was around $2.40 which meant all punters showed a small profit.
Don’t forget the early start for Flemington on Saturday and utilise bonus bets where available.
Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets) (Provided via Slack at 2118 28/2)
*FRI 01/03/2019 RATED SELECTIONS
