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October 2018

To view our methodology (including staking advice) and see our Custom Reward Levels please view this page.

NB: We take advantage of bookie offers where available and will take them where there's a tactical advantage. Sometimes, these offers influence our decision to bet into a race. If you can't take up these offers, then it is up to you whether you bet into that race or not. We will include those offers in our result, if applicable. 

 

Race Key: 🌅= early mail selection ⛪= South Australian Analyst

📫= Extra Selection  👿=Bad Beat  BB=Blackbooker   🔰=Guest Tipster

  🏆 = 0-3 units profit   🏆🏆🏆 = 4 or more units profit

Rocktober Special Selections

During October, to add value to your membership we will also be providing our “Rocktober” selections (to give them a name) - this will appear separately on this page and hopefully will provide additional profits. These selections are derived from some intel I’ve gathered from speaking to a few industry people and hopefully these selection will not only ‘beat the handicapper’ but also provide some good returns. We always bet them to PROFIT 5 units like our regular selections and they only qualify if the SP is less than $8.50.


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Wed 31 October

{Selections and prices @ 10 am Wed}

Daily Summary:

SSSS - Outlay 10.87 Units. Return 13.05 Units. Profit of 2.18 Units. For Best Tote players your return / profit was higher at 15.64 Units / 4.77 Units and Betfair 20.66 Units / 9.79 Units thanks to drift on Whisky Shooter.

Rocktober - Outlay 10.61 Units. Return 11.43 Units. Profit of 0.82 Units. For Best Tote players your return / profit was higher at 12.21 Units / 1.61 Units and Betfair 14.28 Units / 3.67 Units thanks to two of the watch bets that paid slightly higher than Official Price.

Well that was a good way to finish off the month with four profitable official days from the last five days. Unfortunately we couldn’t finish the month in profit, with SSSS showing a loss of 3.51 Units and Rocktober showing a loss of 21.19 Units. Lets hope we can continue this good run and profit for the month of November. Hopefully a few people took advantage of the Five Point Specials which appear most days via the Facebook page. Today from the nine selections there were six winners

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

BENDIGO R1 #4 Kwott Rocky @ $5.50  (1.12 UNITS WIN). Jumped slowly FU and had to burn some juice to run just off the lead and run 3rd. He should be fitter now 2nd up and has good market support this AM.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Settled in the lead. In the straight, was quickly under pressure and couldn’t find much and dropped out. Outcome -1.12 Units.

🏆🏆🏆BENDIGO R5 #2 As It Lies @ $3.80  (1.79 UNITS WIN). Has some ability and just went under in the heavy over 1300. Drops some weight and 200m and is rated overs for the win here today  - significant pro money this AM as well which is always a good sign.

Result: 1st at SP $3.50, Best Tote $3.50, Betfair $3.86. Rated at $2.21. Settled in the lead and was never headed. Comfortable victory. As Rick McIntosh said ‘he lead them a merry dance’. Outcome +6.80 Units.

🏆🏆🏆 RANDWICK R2 #5 Whiskey Shooter @ $5.00  (1.25 UNITS WIN). A classy looking girl in very good hands. A good win back in Jan 18 after blowing the start. She has had 3 good trials after a break and may just be one of the best of the day IMO abd has had smart money this AM.

Result: 1st at SP $8.50, Best Tote $7.50. Betfair $11.00. Rated at $8.43. Settled in first on the rails though got no peace up front. Was headed in the straight but kicked back well and ended up winning by about a length. Good win and defied the drift. Outcome +6.25 Units.

NARACOORTE R4 #8 Pellina @ $2.50  (2.50 UNITS WIN). Most impressive winner here last meeting when worked to the front and burned off a Maiden field to win by 7l in smart time. That was first run for over 2 years so obviously has overcome some problems and can go on with it.  Stays at 1000m in higher grade and can repeat, with significant smart money this AM as well.

Result: 3rd at SP $3.50. Rated at $12.30. Settled in the lead though tired late to just hold onto third. Outcome -2.50 Units.

RANDWICK R4 #2 Nicochet @ $4.60  (1.39 UNITS WIN). Fitter for two runs and has won 3rd up. There is some class in this race but IMO he is better value and won at this distance range.

Result: 2nd at SP $3.70. Rated at $7.08. Settled towards the back in the small compact field. Was the widest on the turn and found the line well, just found one better today. Can’t knock the winner at all, was three wide majority of the trip - just too good. Outcome -1.39 Units.

NARACOORTE R6 #4 Casino Magic @ $6.00  (1 UNIT WIN). A number of non winners in this field points to last start winner Casino Magic being the best positioned to salute here. Was a solid win by 4l at 8th start to gain maiden after consistent placings in previous three runs. Now she has broken through looks well able to go on with it here. #mareinform

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated at $7.60. Settled towards the back in the small field. Stayed to the inside on the straight and was quite a fair way back that it wasn’t in the picture for the last 200m or so. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

RANDWICK R6 #5 Regent @ $4.80  (1.32 UNITS WIN). He’s ready to show his best here third up and powering home here last start to run an eye catching 3rd.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.00. Rated at $8.97. Settled in the last part of the field. Was just too far back to make an impact on the winner who lead from start to finish and won by about a length. Even though finished in fifth, this was only about half a length from coming second. Outcome -1.32 Unit

NARACOORTE R8 #1 Dangle Lad @ $9.50 (0.59 UNITS WIN). Paul Preusker runner travelling here and has some good market support which is always a good sign with this stable.

Result: Unplaced at SP $19.00. Rated at $14.51. Settled in the last part of the field. On the turn stayed on the rails, made ground initially and then dropped back while the rest of the field ran on from a couple off the rails to the middle of the track. Outcome -0.59 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Bendigo Race 2 No.10 Veloucher @ $16 - unlikely price

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $13.00

📫Bendigo Race 3 No. 2 Mr Genoa @ $2.20 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.30. Hard ridden in the straight, its run was taken just off the rails but was most likely not good enough to take it anway. Outcome -2.50 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Bendigo Race 3 No.3 No Emotion @ $9 - watch price (0.71 Units)

Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $9.00, Betfair $10.50. Came from the back and widest on the turn to finish too good for the small field. Outcome +5.71 Units.

Bendigo Race 3 No.5 Masterbrax @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN) - watch price

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Made it move on the turn though unable to run despite having every chance. Outcome -0.84 Units.

Bendigo Race 4 No.3 Sarkozy @ $13 - unlikely price

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $17.00

🏆🏆🏆Bendigo Race 4 No.6 Dennis @ $9.50 - watch price

Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $8.10, Betfair $9.49. Had the run of the race and took full advantage of it to hit the front with just under 200m to go and held on for the win. Outccome +5.71 Units.

Bendigo Race 6 No.6 Won Ball @ $2.90 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.40. Every chance from the back, possibly hit a bit of a flat spot at about the 200m mark, though picked up and ran through the line. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Bendigo Race 8 No.6 Furrion @ $2 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.70. Late drift. Came from the back and battled up much of the straight with 2nd race favourite though unable to run down winner. Outcome -2.50 Units

Bendigo Race 10 No.11 Akkadian @ $7.50 (0.84 UNIT WIN) - watch price

Result: 2nd at SP $5.00. Good market support. Ran on from the back though unable to run down the winner who gave a late kick. Good run considering it was hard to make ground from the back for most of the day. Outcome -0.84 Units.


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Tue 30 October

{Selections and prices @ 10 am Tue}

Daily Summary:

SSSS: Outlay 2.84 Units. Return 17.88 Units. Profit of 15.04 Units. Best Tote your return / profit was 24.65 Units / 21.81 Units and Betfair 29.63 Units / 26.79 Units.

Rocktober: Outlay 7.39 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 7.39 Units.

Well aren’t we ending the month well!!!!! After an ordinary few weeks, we are starting to see some good returns on the selections. Even though our early SSSS overlay for Tuesday drifted from $16.00 to Best Tote $21.00 and Betfair $25.06, it saluted and also did one of Mr Pretium selections at the advertised price of $13.00, Best Tote $9.40 and Betfair $9.05. You can share your success stories like one member did on our Facebook page, who profited approximately $1,000 on today selections alone. Well done!!!!!!

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

🏆🏆🏆Tuesday: Early Tip: GRAFTON R7 #1 Chloride @ $16.00 Rated 7.50 (0.33 Units Win) (we have personally backed this E/W)

Result: 1st at SP $21.00, Best Tote $21.20, Betfair $25.06; Mid Tote Place at $5.40. Outcome +5.33 Units.

🏆🏆🏆GRAFTON R2 #3 Indian Rocks @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Down is class for this and we can go off his previous two runs rather than his last. Should run well.

Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $6.90, Betfair $9.35. Rated at $6.99. From the wide gate, started well and settled in the lead, eventually finding the rails after a couple of hundred meters. In the straight, had a kick at the 200m mark and kept on extending that lead, winning by over two lengths. Outcome +6.39 Units.

🏆🏆🏆GRAFTON R8 #4 Landmarks @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Can and probably will (with a repeat of the Casino Cup win) get to the lead and give them something to catch, with the winning Jockey M Paget back in the saddle.

Result: 1st at SP $5.50, Best Tote $7.20, Betfair $7.40. Rated at $10.57. Settled about midfield in the run. On the turn was on of the widest runners and hit the line hard with one of the front runners. Ended up a photo finish, watching live didn’t think we go there but our number went in the frame and we collected. Outcome +6.16 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Stawell Race 1 No.3 Punchbowl @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Hard ridden from the home turn and dropped out to finish a number of lengths from the winner. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

Stawell Race 2 No.1 Anythings Possible @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Went for inside runs coming from the tail. Even though uninterrupted run to the line, didn’t threaten the leaders and didn’t look a winning hope throughout. Outcome -1.39 Units.

Stawell Race 3 No.10 Dunmam @ $1.65 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP 1.35. Went speed went on at the home turn, left flat footed. Did pick up late, but too late. Disappointing for short priced favorite. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Stawell Race 4 No.5 Kragle @ $17 (unlikely on price)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $26.00

Stawell Race 4 No.6 Midas Prince @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN) (watch)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $14.00

Stawell Race 4 No.8 Westham @ $9.50 (watch price)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $12.00

Stawell Race 4 No.13 Amon @ $19 (unlikely on price)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $31.00

Stawell Race 5 No.7 Allspice @ $2.70 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.30. Hard ridden from the back before the turn and did little in the straight. Outcome -2.50 Units.

BONUS: A few Mr Pretium selections for today (some of these may drift late, so could be more value later).

Grafton R1 #7 Bromach @ $4.40

Result: 3rd at SP $2.70

Grafton R3 #1 Deubank @ $3.80

Result: 4th at SP $3.50

Grafton R4 #13 Red Raffle @ $8.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50

Grafton R5 #6 Polly A Dor @ $6.50

Result: 3rd at SP $6.50

Stawell R6 #4 Our Dexter @ $15

Result: 3rd at SP 13.00

🏆🏆🏆Grafton R6 #9 They Call Me Rose @ $13

Result: 1st at SP $8.50, Best Tote $9.40, Betfair $9.05

Stawell R7 #10 Leila’s Star @ $6

Result: 2nd at SP $5.50

Stawell R8 #8 Born Magic @ $12

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00


Mon 29 Oct

Tuesday: Early Overlay: GRAFTON R7 #1 Chloride @ $16.00 Rated 7.50 (we have backed this E/W)

Daily Summary: No official SSSS plays today.

But we supplied the ‘Mr Pretium’ plays which produced three winners today from the the six selections given. Based on a 5 Unit profit, for an outlay of 7.65 Units, your return / profit on Given Prices was 17.09 Units / 9.44 Units, Best Tote 21.75 Units / 14.10 Units and Betfair 29.70 Units / 22.05 Units. One of those winners drifted from the Given Price of $9.50 to Best Tote of $17.00 and Betfair at $30.00.

Monday Market Service. We found lots of value yesterday using one of the ‘Mr Pretium’ plays - he has a few. Today we’ll use a different one (The “LTM Play”) of his which is very special - and one of our favs, especially on mid-week racing.

[Selections and Prices at 9:30 am Monday]

🏆🏆🏆Tamworth R2 #5 Power Of Wexford @ $2.40

Result: 1st at SP $2.50, Best Tote $2.50, Betfair at $2.66

🏆🏆🏆Benalla R2 #6 Vindex @ $9.50

Result: 1st at SP $17.00, Best Tote $17.00, Betfair at $30.00

🏆🏆🏆Tamworth R5 #1 Continuation @ $2.20

Result: 1st at SP $1.90, Best Tote $2.20, Betfair at $2.16

Benalla R7 #3 Tourniquet @ $4.20

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.60

Tamworth R7 #11 Star Of Zizou @ $31 (TAB/UBET)

Result: Unplaced at SP $41.00

Benalla R8 #5 Deal Master @ $16

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00

NO Rocktober qualifiers today.


Sun 28 Oct

Daily Summary:
SSSS - Outlay 0.55 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 0.55 Units.

Rocktober - No qualifiers.

In terms of official selections, a quiet day with only the one SSSS selection from our SA Analyst. In terms of the extra selections based on ‘Mr Pretium’ who provides good long price selections, value and numerous winners, only one was first past the post but as you will see below many of the selections started well below the advertised price.

Sunday Market Service. Today, we will provide our market analysis selections - not strictly overlays, but one of the methods of Mr Pretium who specialises in finding value winners. Stake to win a set amount.

[Selections and Prices at 9 am Sunday]

QUEANBEYAN R1 #4 Tag and Release @ $5.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.50

QUEANBEYAN R2 #9 Save A Match @ $12

Result: 3rd at SP $14.00

PORT MACQUARIE R1 #7 Totten @ $17

Result: 3rd at SP $9.00

SALE R4 #6 @ Elam @ $7

Result: 2nd at SP $5.50

PORT MACQUARIE R2 #11 Charging Clear @ $12

Result: 4th at SP $26.00

PORT LINCOLN R3 #11 Puzzlist @ $18

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00

🏆🏆🏆QUEANBEYAN R5 #6 Original Prankster @ $9

Result: 1st at SP $5.00, Best Tote $6.20, Betfair at $6.80

SALE R6 #6 Party Ola @ $26

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00

QUEANBEYAN R7 #8 Keep Me Posted @ $11

Result: 3rd at SP $5.50

SALE R8 #6 Californiagrandcru @ $4.60

Result: 2nd at SP $4.80

PORT LINCOLN R6 #10 Locks Well @ $12

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00

QUEANBEYAN R8 #6 Magic Over The Bay @ $9

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00

SALE R9 # 15 Northkape @ $21

Result: Unplaced at SP $51.00

SUNSHINE COAST R7 #3 Craiglea Wandoo @ $21

Result: 3rd at SP $31.00

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Sale Race 7 No.11 Romancer @ $26 *** unlikely to hit our price ***

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $12.00

Sale Race 8 No.8 Donndubhan @ $13 *** watch price ***

Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $31.00

PLUS a BONUS TIP from our SA Analyst

Port Lincoln R3 #5 Get Pronto @ $10 (0.55 UNIT WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $12.00. Was three wide the entire trip, was gone before the final turn. Outcome -0.55 Units.


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Sat 27 October

{Selections and prices @ 10:30 am Sat}

NB: Bookie offers: Beteasy: All MV $25; SportsBet & TAB: MV 1-6 $50; UBET MV 1-4 $50 .. plus others!

Daily Summary:
SSSS - Outlay 8.70 Units. Return 11.17 Units. Profit of 2.47 Units. For Best Tote players, return / profit was 9.42 Units / 0.72 Units and Betfair was 11.84 Units / 3.14 Units. For the week, we had a loss of 1.41 Units and 20.18 Units for the month.

Rocktober - Outlay 4.09 Units. Return 7.19 Units. Profit of 3.10 Units. For Best Tote and Betfair players, return / profit was 6.32 Units / 2.23 Units. For the week, we had a loss of 13.52 Units and 14.62 Units for the month.

A day where Winx proved herself as not only one of the best in history in Australia, but the world, we had a second straight day of profit on both the SSSS and Rocktober selections. Return and profit could have been greater as we where on the wrong side of two photo finishes, including one where the jockey was given permission to ride 1KG over its allocated weight.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

RANDWICK R1 #1 Nicco Lad @ $4.20  (1.57 UNITS WIN). Jumps up a grade but loses some weight on last couple of wins. Berry & Snowden should be able to get him over the line here today for a win.

Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Rated at $4.95. Settled fifth which was midfield in the small field. Unable to make ground on the leading pack and eventual winners, never a real winning hope. Outcome -1.57 Units.

MOONEE VALLEY R5 #5 Charge @ $11.00  (0.50 UNITS WIN). Does not perform well in the heavy but a different story on the dry going and at these nice overs he is a good win bet being scr from last night for today. Had support from $14 this AM from the 'cash boys'.

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $7.50, Best Tote of $8.00, Betfair at $8.21. Rated at $7.85. Continued market support to jump. Straight to the lead on the rail from the wide gate. Thought the the favourite was going to swoop past it, though Charge kept on running to the line and refused to give up. Outcome +5.50 Units.

ALBURY R4 #7 Lord Denman @ $3.40  (2.09 UNITS WIN) A BB i have to put in as i reckon he is ready to win. Had some bad luck being caught up last start and drops 6kg here today.

Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Rated at $4.95. Constant Drift. Settled fourth in the strung out field. Came to the middle of the track from theturn, jockey worked him hard though couldn’t finish it off as well as the one on the outside and eventual winner. Outcome -2.09 Units.

MOONEE VALLEY R7 #10 Octabello @ $11.00  (0.50 UNITS WIN). I BB this fella last run. A bumping dual to the post last start for a gutsy ride & win. Likes to go back and come home like a bullet unless he uses the B1 and gets a bit closer and a nice price here.

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00. Rated $9.03, nice overlay. Settled towards the tail. On the turn was midfield and kept running to the line though never a winning hope. Outcome -0.50 Units.

🏆🏆🏆RANDWICK R6 #2 Single Bullet @ $9  (0.63 UNITS WIN). Has won 3 bar trials since July and a bad ride last start cost him a place at least IMO. Pretty quick fella with T Berry aboard today may just be the key for a win in a tricky race, this is a good price.

Result: 1st at SP $8.50 Best Tote $8.60, Betfair at $12.28. Settled towards the back. Went to the outside and went bang, came from nowhere and with big strides from the 150m mark and in the end easily beat the well supported favourite. Outcome +5.67 Units.

MORPHETTVILLE R6 #4 Flying Krupt @ $ 5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN).  Resumes here at BM64 grade after 4 month break. Last time 2nd 1st up at Bm70 and lower grade with inside Barrier sets her up well to sit on the pace and finish strongly for a win here at overs.

Result: 2nd at SP $4.20. Rated at $3.46. Settlted towards the front just behind the speed. Unable to run down leader who extended margin then held on comfortably. Outcome -1.25 Units.

RANDWICK R7 #7 Chaussure @ $5  (1.25 UNITS WIN). Scr WF last wed where i wrote; Proven fresh and that he is here with a record of 2 wins and a second. Berry & Waller and a nice win price.

Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Rated at $6.67. Settled fourth on the rails, number of lengths from the leaders who put speed into the race. On the turn, as field came together, Chaussure was left flat footed. Even though it picked back up and hit the line well, lost its winning chance on the turn. Outcome -1.25 Units.

St ARNAUD R6 #3 Chu Chu Charlie @ $6.50  (0.91 UNITS WIN). A BB who knows how to win and beat some recent subsequent winners. Jumps up a class but has the ability to win here at nicely rated price and a little support already today from the pros.

Result: 2nd at SP $8.00. Rated at $9.68. Settled fourth on the rails, a number of lengths from the field which was stretched out with the fast speed. Jockey was hard riding before the turn, Chu Chu Charlie responded and was the widest and hit the line very well in a photo finish. Head up, head down, we had the head up and lost in the photo. To make matters worse, jockey was given permission to ride 1KG over its allocated weight - that could easily have been the difference between winning and losing in this photo. Outcome -0.91 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Moonee Valley Race 1 No.4 True Serendipity @ $6.50 (0.91 UNIT WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Didn’t handle the turn at all, possibly got on the wrong leg – went to the carpark and that where its race ended. Outcome – 0.91 Units.

Moonee Valley Race 3 No.3 Mrs Gardenia @ $8.50 *** WATCH PRICE *** (0.72 UNIT @ $8)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $8.50

Yarra Valley Race 3 No.4 Champagne On Roses @ $8.50 *** WATCH PRICE *** (0.72 UNIT @ $8)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $15.00

Moonee Valley Race 5 No.6 Ringerdingding @ $13 *** WATCH PRICE ***

Result: Non Qualifier – 3rd at SP $13.00

🏆🏆🏆Moonee Valley Race 7 No.8 Cliffs Edge @ $3.30 (2.18 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $2.80, Best Tote $2.90, Betfair  at $2.90. Good market support. On the home turn, peeled out from behind the leader, once level brushed with the leader and head was to the side. Jockey straightened him up and from there was too strong to the line. Outcome +7.19 Units.

Moonee Valley Race 10 No.5 Savoie @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $4.00. Before the turn, pinched a couple length lead. Looked to have it won though a fast finishing Stars of Carrum came down the outside and won at SP $51.00 in a close photo finish. Outcome -1.00 Units.

Moonee Valley Race 10 No.8 Approach Discreet @ $17 *** WATCH PRICE, UNLIKELY *** [worth a e/w ticket using a bookie bonus maybe, not out of it on our ratings and Williams on]

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $26.00


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Fri 26 October

{Selections and prices @ 10:25 am Fri}

As we’ve had some time to watch the market this AM, we’ve added some value savers that have had support where appropriate.

Daily Summary:

SSSS - Outlay 7.18 Units. Return 12.26 Units. Profit of 5.08 Units. Thanks to the alarming drift in the Scone selection, Best Tote players had a return / profit of 14.85 Units / 7.67 Units and Betfair 18.22 Units / 11.04 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 10.77 Units. Return 13.00 Units. Profit of 2.23 Units. For Best Tote players, your return / profit was 11.50 Units / 0.73 Units and Betfair 13.38 Units / 2.61 Units.

Thats more like it!!!!!!! Good day today with both the SSSS and Rocktober selections finishing in profit and the Overlay providing a nice winner at advertised $11.00 and Best Tote of $17.90. Hopefully you were able to collect the additional funding on the SSSS tips thanks to the drift on Disgraceful in Scone and the Bonus Bet at the Valley for Rocktober. Onto hopefully a good Saturday, don’t forget where possible to utilise Bonus Bets and Money Back for any Valley and Randwick selections.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

🏆🏆🏆SCONE R2 #1 Disgraceful @ $6.00  (1 UNITS WIN). Will appreciate the class drop here and jumping from B1. Can give this lot a shake. Danger: #6 Cinema Paradiso @ $12 (0.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $10.00, Best Tote at $11.10, Betfair at $14.34. Rated at $5.53, nice overlay opportunity. Concerning drifter. Settled on the rails in third, behind the leaders. Blocked for a run until the 200m when gap opened up on the rails. Went home best and saluated by about the length despite the drift. Danger, Unplaced at SP $17.00, Rated at $17.11. Outcome +6.00 Units.

ECHUCA R5 #5 Got The Moves @ $5.00  (1.25 UNITS WIN). The name says it all and with Meech & Corstens the team today he’s looking good IMO. Value: #3 Roycey @ $26. (0.1 UNIT WIN)

Result: Main Selection - Unplaced at SP $4.80, Rated at $7.71. Settled at the tail and never looked a hope, fininshing at the tail. Value, Unplaced at SP $41.00. Outcome -1.35 Units.

GAWLER R4 #5 Bronski @ $4.40  (1.48 UNITS WIN). Just missed last start after well backed. Yet to miss a place form five starts and has the early speed to set this race up for a win. Value Danger: #4 Wicked Rhythm @ $9 (0.2 UNIT WIN)

Result: Main selection - Unplaced at SP $4.80. Rated at $8.78 Settled towards the tail of the field and stayed there in the run home, never a winning chance. Danger came 2nd at SP $9.00, Rated at $5.45, went down in a photo finish. Outcome -1.68 Units.

ECHUCA R9 #6 Latest Bentley @ $26.00 (0.20 UNIT WIN).  In with a sneaky chance this fella with a win and 3 palings from last 5, two as fav. Is down from Darwin and is worth a tickle at these juicy overs IMO. Value danger: #9 Hurricane Jack @ $13 (0.20 UNIT WIN)

Result: Main selection - Unplaced at SP $31.00 Rated at $14.44. Nice overlay opportunity. Settled in 2nd, one off the rails outside the leader. Ridden hard from before the turn, unable to run down leader. Did well to finish midfield, looked like it would slip back and finish towards the tail. Danger, finished Unplaced at SP $17.00, Rated at $10.12. Outcome -0.40 Units.

🏆🏆🏆CANTERBURY R2 #5 Tell Me @ $4.50  (1.39 UNITS WIN). A BB that should be winning very soon and IMO it will be sooner than later. Has had good pro support today as well and Avdulla rides. Tick.

Result: 1st at SP $2.70, Best Tote of $2.70, Betfair at $2.79. Rated at $6.18. Constant market support. Lead all the way from start to finish, comfortable win in the end. Outcome +6.26 Units.

GAWLER R8 #9 Sizzling Bullet @ $6.50  (0.91 UNITS WIN). Has won third up and up to a suitable distance for a win, been supported this AM from $9 when we found it but that's a good sign.

Result: 2nd at SP $6.50. Rated at $11.13. Settled on the rails worse than midfield. From the turn, tried to be one of the wider runners, gap closed. Then went towards the inside, found a gap accelerated though leader already established winning break. Outcome -0.91 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Echuca Race 7 No.8 Write Your Name @ $2.60 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $2.15. Unable to find clear room until final 150m mark and went down by half a length, finishing hard. If got out earlier, would have made it very interesting. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Echuca Race 7 No.9 My Boss @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN) *** WATCH PRICE ***

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Always out the back, never a winning hope. Outcome -0.77 Units.

Moonee Valley Race 2 No.2 Pleasuring @ $3 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $2.40. Nice cart into the race; couldn't let down fully, tad disappointing. Outcome -2.50 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Moonee Valley Race 3 No.3 Iconoclasm @ $2.20 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $1.70, Best Tote $1.70, Betfair at $1.75. Fought hard for the win after sitting just behind the leader and taking the lead on the turn. Outcome +5.50 Units.

Moonee Valley Race 4 No.8 Last Week @ $16 *** WATCH PRICE ***

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $15.00

Moonee Valley Race 4 No.10 Andrea Mantegna @ $14 *** WATCH PRICE ***

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $13.00

🏆🏆🏆Moonee Valley Race 8 No.5 Tamasa @ $3 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $3.00, Best Tote at $2.90, Betfair at $3.60. Got cover, three wide. Looked good on the turn, joined the leaders at about the 300m mark and raced away for a nice victory. Outcome +7.50 Units.

SAT 27/10/2018 OVERLAYS

MOONEE VALLEY R2 #5 Desert Lashes @ $7.50 Rated 3.70

Result: 2nd at SP $4.60

RANDWICK R3 #15 Red Heat @ $12.00 Rated 6.50

Result: Scratched

RANDWICK R5 #2 Zafonic Dancer @ $8.50 Rated 3.60

Result: 4th at SP $4.00

ASCOT R6 #2 Taxagano @ $23.00 Rated 12.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $19.00


Thu 25 October

{Selections and prices @ 10:15 am Thu}

Daily Summary:
SSS - Outlay 3.16 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.16 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 1.67 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.67 Units.

We just can’t buy a winner during this very lean trot, even when they are smashed in the market. Would like to wish Greg (The Leader and Boss) a very happy birthday!!!!!! Hopefully you all saw the birthday gift you received today, a free month of the service.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

HAWKESBURY R2 #7 Chamfer @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN). A good maiden win last start. A little stronger here but less weight and should be able to get the job done.

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Rated at $6.35. Three wide until pushed forward for the lead. Just after the home turn slipped back through the field and finished towards the tail. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

👿👿👿ROCKHAMPTON R1 #3 Frugal @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN). A BB from July that had a couple of minor issues and bad luck but with a good barrier and good speed and 1100m we reckon today may be the day at overs for a win.

Result: 2nd at SP $1.40. Rated at $2.97. Absolutely crunched in betting. Settled in the lead on the rails. Jockey had a big hold of Frugal, let go at just after the 400m mark, wondered around a little and just ran down in final strides. No excuses, looked good and should have won. Outcome -1.32 Units.

BALLARAT R9 #5 Cape Sounion @ $7.00  (0.84 UNITS WIN). A short back up of 5 days after a last start win with a lot in his favor IMO. Over the rated price for a win bet here today and some pro support this AM.

Result: Unplaced at SP $10.00. Rated at $6.42. Overlay opportunity. Sat just behind the speed, one off the rails in fourth. Presented just after the home turn, but couldn’t run on and challenge for the lead. Outcome -0.84 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Ballarat Race 4 No.5 Peta Rose @ $4 (1.67 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Vetted prior to the start at the request of jockey, something happened in the barriers. Passed fit though never looked a winning hope in the run. Outcome -1.67 Units.

📫Ballarat Race 4 No.4 Lope De Field @ $8.50 *** Watch Price ***

Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $9.50

Ballarat Race 9 No.12 Our Chiquilla @ $11 *** Watch Price, has been in and out already this AM ***

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $10.00

FRI 26/10/2018 OVERLAYS

🏆🏆🏆GATTON R2 #1 Comesidice @ $11.00 Rated 7.00

Result: 1st at SP $19.00, Best Tote at $17.90.

GATTON R4 #2 Greynomad @ $14.00 Rated 9.50

Result: 3rd at SP $10.00

GATTON R6 #4 By The Law @ $19.00 Rated 13.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00

BATHURST R7 #4 Ribbon Of Choice @ $23.00 Rated 11.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $19.00

MOONEE VALLEY R2 #6 Patricia Anne @ $12.00 Rated 7.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00

MOONEE VALLEY R5 #11 Nodoubtaboutit @ $11.00 Rated 6.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $19.00

CANTERBURY R6 #4 Plagiarist @ $5.50 Rated 3.40

Result: 4th at SP $3.20

CANTERBURY R8 #3 All Stand @ $16.00 Rated 4.80

Result: Unplaced at SP $14.00



Wed 24 October

{Selections and prices @ 10:15 am Wed}

NB: We lost 60% of our selections via scratching overnight! However, we have a strong book of Rocktobers so we’ll leave it with those to provide some action as well.

Daily Summary:

SSSS - Outlay 3.05 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.05 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 7.76 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 7.76 Units.

Another day of finding value selections, minor placings yet no winners which is hurting our bottom line. We will keep to the plan and the winners will come.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

WARWICK FARM R4 #8 Beware @ $4.80  (1.32 UNITS WIN). Smart gelding this fella and strong all the way win here on debut, forget the run after. Just won a recent barrier trial and ready for this FU and we like Tommy Berry on it.

Result: 4th at SP $9.00. Rated at $7.73. Settled in third, just behind the leaders in the small field. Went to the outside but couldn’t pick up the leader and was swamped late. Outcome -1.32 Units.

OAKBANK R5 #7 First Kiss @ $3.90  (1.73 UNITS WIN). Looks progressive on strength of 3L win last start when having 3rd race start. Expect she will jump straight to front here from good draw and prove hard to catch.

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.50. Rated at $8.29. Settled three wide in third basically on the speed. Tough run which told in the straight and finished at the tail of the field. Outcome -1.73 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections: (SportsBet Offer Geelong R1,2,3)

Geelong Race 1 No.6 Truly High @ $2.50 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $2.80. Hard ridden from the turn but no match for the winner. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Geelong Race 2 No.15 Ocean Essence @ $8.50 *** Maybe, watch price ***

Result: 3rd at SP $7.00. Late support. Straightened well and ran on to just claim third. Outcome -0.83 Units.

Geelong Race 3 No.16 Tigeen @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Just battled to the line after switch early from going for the lead to taking a sit behind the leaders. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

Geelong Race 5 No.8 Satori @ $3.30 (2.18 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $3.20. Battling for lead in the straight until one from the back with softer run swooped and won by just under a length. Outcome -2.18 Units.

Geelong Race 7 No.9 Yogi @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $9.50

Geelong Race 8 No.4 Split Lip @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN) ** watch price **

Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $13.00

Geelong Race 8 No.7 Leathernlace @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $3.80. Every chance when a run presented on the inside, just not good enough. Outcome -1.25 Units.

Thursday 25/10/2018 Overlays

BALLARAT R6 #4 Oracabessa @ $13.00 Rated 8.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80

BALLARAT R7 #4 Raiding Party @ $7.00 Rated 3.20

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50

BALLARAT R9 #5 Cape Sounion @ $12.00 Rated 6.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $10.00

GERALDTON R6 #1 Juendis @ $15.00 Rated 7.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.50


Tue 23 October

{Selections and prices @ 9:30 am Tue}

Daily Summary:

SSSS - Outlay 2.75 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.75 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 2.57 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.57 Units.

Disappointing day with only minor placings and no returns from either SSSS or Rocktober selections. Though overlay opportunites on the SSSS selections were available. As a result, overlays for Wednesday have been provided. Don’t forget to read about the recent additions to the Rocktober selections which can be found on our Facebook page along with Daily Five Point specials which generally perform strongly.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

MUSWELLBROOK R6 #7 Toast @ $6.00  (1.00 UNITS WIN). No luck the last few runs but watching his last campaign he won and placed in stronger races. Rated nicely for a win bet here today.

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50. Rated at $6.56. Settled in the last quarter of the field, one off the rails. When running in the straight had its head to the side until the last 100m when hit the line really well in a very close finish - within half a length of the winner. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

MUSWELLBROOK R7 #1 Delete @ $7.00  (0.84 UNIT WIN). I BB him on a win this prep before he had a short break, if he can stay out of trouble and comes home like he does we may have a collect. SAVER RB Banker 1,4>3,5,10,11

Result: Unplaced at SP $10.00. Rated at $9.57. Bit slow out of the gates and settled third last, one off the rails. Never in the hunt, couldn’t make up much ground on the main pack. Saver bet had no return. Outcome -0.84 Units.

KILMORE R8 #7 Replay @ $6.50  (0.91 UNIT WIN). Rolled forward to take the lead and come away with her maiden win with a bit to spare. Where there is smoke...SAVER RB BANKER 7,8>2,3,5,10.

Result: Unplaced at SP $15.00. Rated at $7.74. Big overlay and big drifter in the market. Settled towards the tail of the field. Always out the back, never in the hunt. Saver bet had the winner in the extended numbers Outcome -0.91 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Kilmore Race 1 No.3 High Done @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $5.00. Mixed run - struggled when put under pressure, should have performed better and even possibly won. Outcome -1.25 Units.

Kilmore Race 4 No.1 Inala Max @ $11 *** watch price ***

Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $20.00

Kilmore Race 6 No.10 No Reward @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $6.00. Ran on from the back and hit the line really well, just too far back to make impression on the leaders. Outcome -1.32 Units.

WED 24/10/2018 OVERLAYS

IPSWICH R1 #3 Show ‘em @ $8.50 Rated 4.60

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60

GEELONG R3 #10 Nangawooka @ $12.00 Rated 7.00

Result: Scratched

GEELONG R4 #2 Gold Fields @ $14.00 Rated 4.40

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00

OAKBANK R2 #8 Double Burner @ $21.00 Rated 6.50

Result: 4th at SP $21.00

WARWICK FARM R3 #4 Every Girl @ $23.00 Rated 11.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00

GEELONG R7 #8 Northwest Passage @ $10.00 Rated 5.50

Result: 2nd at SP $9.50

IPSWICH R6 #3 Splitter @ $10.00 Rated 5.00

Result: 4th at SP $3.00

GEELONG R9 #2 Reilmartini @ $12.00 Rated 6.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $14.00

IPSWICH R8 #7 Beat The Beast @ $6.50 Rated 3.20

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00

OAKBANK R7 #3 Ogunde @ $7.00 Rated 4.40

Result: Scratched

IPSWICH R9 #1 Beau Arrow @ $4.40 Rated 2.60

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.90


🏆🏆🏆

Mon 22 Oct

Daily Summary: Rocktober - Outlay 6.67 Units, Return 5.88 Units, Loss of 0.79 Units.

Being a Monday, Overlay and Rocktober selections with one saluting on each end so hopefully you finished in front for the day. For Best Tote players, based on official Rocktober selctions, your return was 5.75 Units for a Loss of 0.92 Units and Betfair your return was 5.98 Units for a Loss of 0.69 Units.

Monday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

[Selections and Prices at 9pm Sunday]

COONABARABRAN R3 #5 All Ellie @ $6.00 Rated 3.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00

🏆🏆🏆COONABARABRAN R4 #3 Dreamnomore @ $5.00 Rated 2.90

Result: 1st at SP $4.20, Best Tote $4.70, Betfair $5.45

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Stawell Race 3 No.2 Bellum @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Lost touch with the first two with about 200m out. Still hit the line well and may have a little to learn watching it race. Outcome -1.39 Units.

Stawell Race 3 No.3 Berry Dangerous @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $6.00. Hit the line soundly without ever really looking threating. Outcome -1.39 Units.

NB: Two in same race. I’ve taken Best of Four here as there’s another runner who is favourite so the market could be all over the place come post time. Also the QQ is worth taking.

Stawell Race 4 No.2 Beetobee @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $5.50. Struggled to find room when needed at the top of the straight. When found a gap, did pounce and only run down on the last couple of strides. Could consider itself a bit unlucky. Outcome -1.39 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Stawell Race 7 No.12 Egyptian Gold @ $2.35 (use bet boost if you can) (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $2.30, Best Tote of $2.30, Betfair at $2.39. Wide run majority of the way, joined the lead at the 200m, kept on going and won well and comfortably in the end. Outcome +5.88 Units.

Stawell Race 8 No.12 Zoey Lass @ $10 *** watch price ***

Result: Non qualifier - Unplaced at SP $11.00


🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

Sun 21 Oct

Daily Summary: Only Rocktober selections in play today. Based on official rules, Outlay 11.98 Units, Return 11.25 Units, Loss of 0.73 Units. Though if you took the advice provided for Race 2 and 3 (given the multiple selections and prices available), you would have had a nice profit with your Outlay of 8.37 Units, Return 11.25 Units, Profit of 2.88 Units. For a second day in a row, it pays to follow additional advice on the selections. For Best Tote players, official return of 13.00 Units and profit of 1.12 Units, while for Betfair, official return of 13.73 and profit of 1.75 Units. For the Sunday outlays, no returns.

Sunday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

Our personal rules: If it is a double overlay; we bet it to profit 5 units. If the rated price is > $15, then we will go each-way (same stake as you used for the WIN bet). If it is not a double overlay, we bet them to win profit 1.5 units. 

[Selections and Prices at 11am Sunday]

SUNSHINE COAST R4 #10 Doom @ $12, rated $8

Result: 3rd at SP $16.00.

NOWRA R5 #6 Son Of A Fox @ $10, rated $6

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00

SUNSHINE COAST R8 #2 Zofonic Dancer @ $4.40, rated $3.50

Abandoned

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Horsham Race 2 No.2 Declares War @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $8.00. Was chasing the leader from just before the turn and unable to keep up with the leaders and eventual winners. Outcome -1.39 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Horsham Race 2 No.7 Triguboff @ $2 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $2.05, Best Tote $2.20, Betfair $2.24. Jockey bided his time, from the home turn got the space and room he needed and went on to win the race comfortably. Outcome +5.00 Units.

NB: Two in the same race here making it a very tight bet. I’d suggest backing the #7 and taking a 0.5 UNIT QQ with the #2. Every-time we’ve had two in the same race, they have run the quinella (small sample though)

🏆🏆🏆Horsham Race 3 No.2 Ocean Walzer @ $2.50 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $2.60, Best Tote $3.00, Betfair $3.25. Made its move from the tail of the small field just before the home and from then was able to hold on to win comfortably in the end by about a length. Outcome +6.25 Units.

Horsham Race 3 No.3 Penthouse Playboy @ $3 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. When pace was injected into the race just prior to the home turn, Penthouse Playboy left a little flat footed and never able to recover. Outcome -2.50 Units

Horsham Race 3 No.5 Hifranc @ 8 (0.72 UNIT WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $5.00. When pace injected, lost a little ground and never able to reduced the margin. Outcome -0.72 Units.

NB: Three in same race with #5 right on our price border (so watch). The percentages of these two/three don’t allow for a profitable bet so you may just want to back the #2 and put the other qualifiers into an RB QQ/TRI. which is what we’ll do. On our ratings, #2 is an overlay as well.

Horsham Race 5 No.6 Mr Quickie @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $6.00. Got squeezed for room at about the 200m as making its run home which ruined its chance of winning. Did pick up again to hit the line respectably. Outcome -1.25 Units.

Horsham Race 6 No.8 Top Prospect @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $4.60. Just before the home turn went up five, six wide though had too much of a margin to make up. Hit the line well. Outcome -1.12 Units.


Sat 20 October

{Selections at 10am Sat}

Daily Summary: Overall - Outlay 17.97 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 17.97 Units.

SSSS - Outlay 8.12 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 8.12 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 9.85 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 9.85 Units.

Not the best way to finish the week with another reverse sweep. Taking the bookie specials, you may have finished with a bonus bet / money back on a race or two but that doesn’t make up for the reverse sweep.

Unfortunately the results of the past week has meant we are in negative for the month of October by 34.80 Units.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

CAULFIELD R2 #6 Ringerdingding @ $7.00  (0.84 UNITS WIN). Changed trainers from O’rourke to Weir after a spell and a place then a win and a good win it was and can go on with it here today at a good win price IMO. Weir told us it is has been targeted. With the bonus bets available, a safe bet IMO. Saver RB Banker 6,9>1,3,5,7,12

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Rated at $8.80 Settled towards the tail of the field. From the turn, ridden hard though couldn’t cut into the margin and finished towards the tail. Saver bet had no return. Outcome -0.84 Units.

RANDWICK R2 #4 Lucky Helmet @ $7.00  (0.84 UNITS WIN). I BB this Filly from her Wyong last start win as before the bend she didn’t look a hope. With this smaller field and a touch of overs she looks a good win bet today IMO and bonus offers on this race too.

Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Rated at $7.70 Settled 4th in the small field. Labored to the line and stayed in fourth – didn’t make up any ground on any of the runners on the soft track. Outcome -0.84 Units.

CAULFIELD R3 #2 Quilista @ $6.00  (1 UNIT WIN). Weir has set her for this race and from barrier 2, the plan is to go flat out over the 1000m. With the rain overnight and this morning, it may make it harder to make ground and hoping it can hold on.

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Rated at $8.12. Settled just off the speed. From the turn, had a nice break but couldn’t finish it off and drifted back from the 200m. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

MORPHETTVILLE R2 #6 Rizski @ $26.00  (0.20 UNITS WIN). I BB this fella. Sent out fav last start at FU from spell but i reckon he needed that run. Had his fair share of bumps and heels to bounce off for a 4th. Fitter here at over the odds for one at value and to follow IMO.

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00. Rated at $16.00 Settled midfield. Battled to the line without ever threatening. Outcome -0.20 Units.

CAULFIELD R4 #5 Soothing @ $4.40  (1.48 UNITS WIN). We did like Grey Shadow, but the inside word from the stable is that it had a setback during the week when injured getting back on the float, and may not be as good as it could be, otherwise. So as this is largely unknown to the market, it provides a bit of value on the other runners, such as Soothing with five wins from eleven and one of the best chances in this race today. Rated for the win. SAVER RB Banker 5,6>1,4,8,10,12

Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Rated at $4.04. Settled midfield. From the turn went to the middle part of the track and for a moment or two thought we could run down the leader and eventual winner, From Within, though the winner was going too well. Saver bet had first three in extended numbers only. Outcome -1.48 Units.

Morphettville R4 #7 Duquessa @$ 9.00 0.63u Win. This race has fallen away somewhat to a field of six only. However I think the door is open for Duquessa stepping up to 2600m and gaining services of J Kah for the first time. Finished on ok last start over 2250m and can race closer in the small field. Has won 3 at this distance.

Result: 4th at SP $9.00. Rated at $9.54. Settled in fourth one off the rails. Pushed three wide by the winner just before the turn. Got going late when the race was all over and hit the line well. Outcome -0.63 Units.

CAULFIELD R7 #4 Life Less Ordinary @ $7.00  (0.84 UNITS WIN). Has won third up and ready to bounce with Zac Purton in the pig skin IMO and a nice price to boot.

Result: 3rd at SP $8.00. Rated at $6.70. Settled towards the back on the rails in the small compacted field. Found the line well after changing its run from the middle to the rails after not finding the appropriate gaps – still a couple of lengths from the winner. Outcome -0.84 Units.

CAULFIELD R10 #6 Dreamforce @ $4.60  (1.39 UNITS WIN). He has been extremely consistent since being gelded and wasn’t far off the winner when resuming last start. Rated for a nice win bet today i reckon.

Result: 2nd at SP $6.00. Rated at $3.23 - nice overlay opportunity. Settled in second on the rails. From the turn held the lead but was joined by the winner Sirconi soon after and Sirconi took the lead and ran away in the last 100m while we were able to hold on for second. Outcome -1.39 Units.

Morphettville R9 #6 With a Bit Of Dash @$6.50 0.9u Win   Found the BM75 a little too strong last start 6th/13 here 2 weeks ago. Comes back to BM64 grade here and has again drawn well in Br1. Can sit behind leaders for G Cartwright with 3Kg Claim and prove too strong in final stages.

Result: 2nd at SP $8.50. Rated at $5.06. Settled midfield on the rails. Got off the rails just prior to the turn as it looked to make it run. Had to go from the outside to inside to find suitable gaps. When found the gap, hit the lead and maintained it until the final few strides when run down. Outcome -0.90 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Caulfield Race 2 No.6 Ringerdingding @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. From the turn, ridden hard though couldn’t cut into the margin and finished towards the tail. Outcome -0.84 Units.

Bendigo Race 2 No.2 Garbo @ $3.10 (2.39 UNITS WIN).

NB: When walking the Weir stables with him on Thursday, he noticed Garbo wasn’t very settled in his stall - so he put him out to the paddock. He commented that “it isn’t ideal” for him so close to a race and he hoped he could fix that by Saturday. There has been support for him today, hence I’m hoping he’s been fixed with Brad riding.

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.00. Found clean air just after turn but unable to run on and never posed a threat. Outcome -2.39 Units.

Caulfield Race 4 No.4 Grey Shadow @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN).

NB: As noted above, Grey Shadow has had an issue during the week. Personally, I’m going to not bet him, but for the sake of not manipulating these selections - it still stands as a selection although I doubt I’ll be on it.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. A little plain, given every  chance though couldn’t run down the winners from the rails. Outcome -1.39 Units.

Caulfield Race 6 No.3 Extra Brut @ $2.25 (2.5 UNITS WIN).

NB: Is rock hard fit and the stable is extremely confident. Money consistently all week.

Result: Unplaced at SP 2.30. Ridden hard just before the turn as pace slowed a bit. Unable to make up appropriate ground and finished where it was about all race. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Caulfield Race 8 No.14 Kings Will Dream @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. In a slowly run race to about 800m from home, found a little trouble on the turn coming from the back though once clear did hit the line well. Result -1.25 Units.

Caulfield Race 10 No.5 Peaceful State @ $4.60 (1.48 UNITS WIN)

NB: Darren commented on Thursday that his horse “has issues” but he’s got his best horseman on him, John Allen.

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Squeezed for room from turn for a bout 100m to 200m, though once clear did hit the line well but never able to threaten the leaders. Outcome -1.48 Units.


Fri 19 October

{📫Selections added at 12:30pm Fri}

Daily Summary: Overall Outlay 11.07 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 11.07 Units.

SSSS - Outlay 4.55 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 4.55 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 6.52 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 6.52 Units.

Very disappointing day results wise as we experienced a reverse sweep, in that we couldn’t land a winner from either of the services. Hopefully Saturday brings us better results. Don’t forgot to utilise cash back / bonus bets where possible on Saturday selections.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

MURRAY BRIDGE R5 #14 Spirited Match @ $8.50  (0.67 UNITS WIN). Was $19 when we identified this and has had a lot of support overnight - Loves to get out in front and try his best but last two starts just run down. Well has 3kg less and down to 1200 and nicely over his rated odds for a win bet.

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00 which was also its rated price. Settled in fourth after doing a little bit of work early. Presented on the home turn but couldn’t match the speed and drifted through the field to finish sixth a fair way off the leaders. Outcome -0.67 Units.

WARRNAMBOOL R4 #8 Duecourse @ $3.40  (2.09 UNITS WIN). Has won second up and Linda Meech in top form for this camp and short back up suggests a win may be imminent IMO.

Result: 2nd at SP $4.20 and rated at $7.20. Settled in fourth, just off the speed. Got into the clear from just off the turn but couldn’t hit the lead despite having the easier and inside running on the eventual winner. A little disappointing outcome. Outcome -2.09 Units.

CANBERRA R5 #5 Lord Denman @ $5.50  (1.12 UNITS WIN). Heavily back and flew home just to be pipped on the post last start. Down in grade and weight for this and at overs for a win.

Late Scratching

MURRAY BRIDGE R6 #3 Counter Pulse @ $5.50  (1.12 UNITS WIN). Opened up the lungs last start with a quick 1250m second. Drops 0.5kg and 250m and is a nice overs price for a win bet.

Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Was rated at $2.70 so nice overlay. Settled at the tail of the field, a number of lengths from the leader in the small field. Stuck to the inside runs, never a winning hope and a number of lengths from the leader and eventual winner. Outcome -1.12 Units.

WARRNAMBOOL R7 #8 Smokin’ Pierro @ $8.50  (0.67 UNITS WIN). Did not have very good loading manners and hung in down the straight but when he let go he did show them what he's made of. Will go ni with it IMO at a touch of overs for the win.

Result: 2nd at SP $5.50 which close to its rated price of $5.65. Settled in fourth, on the rails, just off the speed. Leader and eventual winner controlled the race and speed from the beginning in a nice ride and we couldn’t eat into the margin. Outcome -0.67 Units

ROCKTOBER Selections:

📫WARRNAMBOOL Race 2 No. 7 Periscope @ $2.20 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $1.90. Was paired with the winner Vow and Declare throughout the race, with Vow and Declare being just too good on the day. Outcome -2.50 Units.

📫WARRNAMBOOL Race 3 No. 11 Tricky Mix @ $3.80 (1.79 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at $3.70.Three wide no cover just off the speed for the majority of the race, which told towards the end of the race. Outcome -1.79 Units.

📫Warrnambool Race 6 No.13 Bossy Rose @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $3.40. Little excuses despite the wide run with cover as winner trailled until peeled and put a gap on us with about 300m to go. Outcome -1.32 Units.

📫Pakenham Race 5 No.13 Zelsignoret ** Watch price only bet if UNDER $8.50)**

Result: Non Qualifier - SP $11.00. Finished 4th.

Pakenham Race 8 No.11 So You Leica ** Watch price, only bet if UNDER $8.50) ** (0.91 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Late move to qualify as official selection. Wide with cover throughout, presented on the turn and whacked away to the line without ever being a real threat to the winner. Outcome -0.91 Units.


🏆🏆🏆

Thu 18 October

{📫 Extra Selection: 12:15pm Thu}

Daily Summary: Overall - Outlay 7.25 Units. Return 6.51 Units. Loss of 0.74 Units.

SSSS: Outlay 1.27 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.27 Units.

Rocktober: Outlay 5.98 Units. Return 6.51 Units. Profit of 0.53 Units.

One winner again today courtesy of Rocktober. The two other Rocktober selections that qualified ran 2nd and with a bit of luck one or both could have saluted. From the SSSS selections, one doubled up with Rocktober (though didn’t qualify as SP greater than $8.00) which finished third and a second. From the overlays provided, while value was provided and all four selections shortened, none could hit the line first. For Best Tote players your overall return / loss was the same as official results, while for Betfair your return / loss was 6.05 Units / 1.20 Units.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

MOE R8 #9 Benny Goes Berzerk @ $7.50  (0.77 UNITS WIN). Has been looking for a wet track to get a win and today may just be his day.

Result: 3rd at SP $8.50. Rated at $12.00. Drifted to last from the jump, and was detached by a number of lengths from the main group. Tacked on with about 800m to go. Tracked three wide on the turn and got the back of the winner but couldn’t match his pace though ran okay to the line in finishing 3rd. Outcome -0.77 Units.

MACKAY R5 #4 Lamerican @ $10  (0.50 UNITS WIN). She finds the line well in the last couple of bounds and this race sits her here today at a nice overs for the win.  

Result: 2nd at SP $8.00. Rated at $5.00. Settled just behind the speed in fourth. Took the rails run and ran okay to the line but couldn’t overhaul the leader who ran on speed and finished down the centre of the track. Outcome -0.50 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Moe Race 6 No.10 Superhard @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $4.20, Best Tote of $4.40, Betfair at $4.09. Bided its time and just off the turn made its move and fought hard to win by half a length. Outcome + 6.51 Units.

Moe Race 7 No.6 Snitzepeg @ $2.00 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $3.30. Pace was on from the wide turn which helped Sntizepeg from the back and we finished hard to just miss. Winner Sixties Groove just too good with a bit too much luck for us. Outcome -2.50 Units.

Moe Race 8 No.6 Peruggia @ $9 - Need < $8.50 ** watch **

Result: Non Qualifier - SP $12.00. Finished unplaced.

📫Moe Race 8 No.9 Benny Goes Berzerk @ $7.00 (0.84 UNITS WIN)

Result: Non Qualifier - SP $8.50. Finished 3rd.

📫Moe Race 9 No.12 The Gatting Ball @ $3.50 (2 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $3.50. Tried to lead from start to finish but was run down in final 50m. Outcome -2.00 Units.


🏆🏆🏆

Wed 17 October

{Prices at 10am Wed}

Daily Summary: Overall - Outlay 14.23 Units. Return 5.76 Units. Loss of 8.47 Units.

SSSS Tips - Outlay 2.60 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.60 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 11.63 Units. Return 5.76 Units. Loss of 5.87 Units.

Tough day at the races, with only the one winner from the late Rocktober selection. Hopefully a few people took the quinella / exacta bet on Caufield Race 1 as it paid on Super Tab $14.20 and $30.80. For Best Tote players, your overall return and loss was 6.62 Units / 7.61 Units and Betfair 6.80 Units / 7.43 Units.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

PORT LINCOLN R3 #9 Wine Dance @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Strong finishing 3rd here last start after being held up early in the straight, Is a winner from just 5 starts and change of rider to T Pannell indicates she is ready to salute again.

Result: 4th at SP $6.50. Was rated at $10. Settled just behind the leaders, one off the rails. Was battling for the lead but unfortunately fell away in the last 100m to finish in 4th. Outcome -1.12 Units.

PORT LINCOLN R4 # 1 My Lesson @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN). Led and faded in straight when 1st up last start at BM80 level. Was able to put 2 wins together 2nd and 3rd up last prep leading all the way over 1000m. Gets a 3kg claim here and drawn Br 2 to lead all way again here in this much easier BM60 race. Is Ok on soft as well with 3 wins and a place from 7 tries.

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Rated at $5.79. Lead on the rails with the $2 favourite. Unfortunately the $2 favourite, Nippy Lippy, had too much class and speed and took off just after the turn while we whacked away to the line. Outcome -0.77 Units.

CAULFIELD R7 #11 Man From Uncle @ $21.00 (0.25 UNITS WIN). Was held up last run just when he needed to bounce. A clear run at them here may have a closer ending IMO. Combine it with our Rocktober selection, #12 in RewardBet with 3,8,5,2 for 2nd/3rd as a bonus bet.

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00. Settled towards the back of the field and ran on without threating. Saver bet had 1st and 2nd in extended numbers only. Outcome -0.25 Units.

CAULFIELD R8 #1 Laughing Heir @ $12.00 (0.46 UNITS WIN). Will appreciate a class drop here after a cracker second in the Bairnsdale Cup. A repeat of that performance and he should fight for the finish to the post.

Result: Unplaced at SP $19.00. Rated at $11.61. Settled towards the back. Ran okay to the line but never threatend the leaders and finished midfield. Outcome -0.46 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections: (NB: Offers at SportsBet, TAB, Beteasy for most of these races!)

📫Caulfield Race 1 No.5 Steel Prince @ $2.90 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $3.40. Settled in 2nd, hit the line about 200m out but just out paced to the line by Azuro. Outcome -2.5 Units.

🏆🏆🏆#4 Azuro (if below $8.50) 0.72 UNIT WIN

Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $9.20, Betfair at $9.45. First to last victory - too strong at the finish for the favourite. Outcome +5.76 Units.

First two Rocktober selections came 1st and 2nd, on Super Tab, Quinella paid $14.20 and Exacta $30.80.

Caulfield Race 2 No.7 Junipal @ $2.50 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $3.70. Bit of drift out. Made its move on turn, moving up four wide but no match for the winner. Outcome -2.5 Units.

Caulfield Race 3 No.7 Fifty Stars @ $1.95 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $1.85. Chased all the way to the line, just couldn’t overhaul winner Manuel who lead all the way. Outcome -2.5 Units.

Caulfield Race 6 No.7 Mrs Gardenia @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Laboured home, never a threat, not the greatest run. Outcome -1.32 Units.

Caulfield Race 7 No.12 Addictive Nature @ $3.40 (2.09 UNITS WIN)

Result: 2nd at SP $2.80. Was involved in a bit of a bumping jewel at the top of the straight and finished half a length from the winner. Outcome -2.09 Units.

BDG Overlays for Thursday:

MOE R7 #7 Curragh @ $31.00 Rated 9.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00

MOE R8 #2 Top Of The Range @ $9.50 Rated 5.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50

MACKAY R5 #4 Lamerican @ $9.50 Rated 5.00

Result: 2nd at SP $8.00

MACKAY R7 #6 Charlie Rocket @ $21.00 Rated 6.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00


🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

Tue 16 October

{📫Rocktober updated 12:50pm}

It’s a hard day with many questions about the weather at those tracks that haven’t been abandoned. Just be wary of Kyneton in that regard if the weather turns. It is currently good4/storms.

Daily Summary: Overall - Outlay 2.58 Units. Return 6.88 Units. Profit of 4.30 Units.

SSSS - Outlay 0.72 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 0.72 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 1.86 Units. Return 6.88 Units. Profit of 5.02 Units.

Only two of our selections actually raced today - the others were abandoned due to the weather. Of the two selections, Rocktober selection won comfortably while our SSSS tip didn’t handle the deteriorating conditions. This meant we finished in a nice profit. If you are a Best Tote or Betfair player, this profit was higher - Best Tote Return 8.56 Units / Profit of 5.98 Units, Betfair Return 9.30 Units / Profit of 6.72 Units. For Wednesday selections, remember to use Bookie specials (Cash Back and Bonus Bets) where available.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

KYNETON R4 #2 Mosarbe @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN). I’m hoping it will lead from the good barrier and potentially steal this race. There was a little go at it from a professional I noticed just after 9am … and we have it rated around $5.50.

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Rated at $6.00. Settled on the rails in second / first. From the turn was under pressure and in the final 200m wiltered to finish a long last after being eased out from the 100m mark. Outcome -0.72 Units.

KYNETON R6 #11 Our Long Sail @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Had some dominant wins in Tasmania and now over here. The bookies are keeping it tight and we have it rated under this price.

Abandoned

KYNETON R7 #2 Skyfire @ $9 (0.62 UNIT WIN). Untried at the distance but a strong 5 len win last start. We have it rated at $5 and I think the Weir trained favourite, one of only two mares in the race is a risk.

Abandoned

ROCKTOBER Selections:

🏆🏆🏆Kyneton Race 3 No.12 Shiranda @ $3.70 (1.86 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $4.00, Best Tote of $4.60, Betfair of $5.00. Quickly gobbled up the leaders in the straight after sitting just off the speed and ran away for a comfortable victory. Outcome +6.88 Units.

📫KYNETON Race 7 No. 9 Pollinator @ $3.80 (1.79 UNITS WIN)

Abandoned

📫MAYBE: Watch price to be $8 or less: KYNETON Race 8 No. 14 Zoey Lass

Abandoned


Mon 15 October

{Prices and selections at 9:45am Mon}

Being a Monday, we usually just provide our best ratings overlays. But we couldn’t find any worthy of posting.

However, we do have an official selection for you:

Daily Summary: Outlay 3.34 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.34 Units. Quiet Monday, with one official selection and one Rocktober selection and they both finished out of the money.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

Toowoomba R10 #7 Staying Black @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN). My blackbook note on this runner is “classy, follow up in its career”. So today let’s see how good my eye is and take the $7 available!

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00 which was its rated price. Settled just behind the leaders on the rails. When asked to go, did not pick up on the deteriorating track and finished at the tail of the field. Outcome -0.84 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Echuca Race 2 No.4 Triguboff @ $3.80 (1.79 UNITS WIN)

Result: Late Scratching

Echuca Race 3 No.6 Florida Mist @ $2.80 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.70. When it mattered, found behinds and couldn’t get a run until race was over. This may not have mattered considering the impressive nature and margin of approximately four lengths by the winner. Outcome -2.5 Units.


🏆🏆🏆

Sun 14 Oct

Daily Summary: Rocktober selections were in place today. Outlay 5.62 Units. Return 7.30 Units. Profit of 1.68 Units. For Best Tote players your return / profit was 5.93 Units / 0.31 Units and for Betfair 6.41 Units / 0.79 Units. Of the five selections that were in contention, two were knocked out because the starting Price was greater than $8.00 and as per the official rules when the Starting Price is greater than $8.00 - NO BET!!!!! The one winner from Rocktober was also the sole Overlay winner and a Five Point Special. Of course the Five Point Specials are available everyday on the Facebook page. Hopefully you took advantage of the Bookie offers today and scored yourselves either Money Back or a Bonus Bet for Furion.

Sunday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

Our personal rules: If it is a double overlay; we bet it to profit 5 units. If the rated price is > $15, then we will go each-way (same stake as you used for the WIN bet). If it is not a double overlay, we bet them to win profit 1.5 units. 

[Selections and Prices at 11:50am Sunday]

CRANBOURNE R6 #6 Nangawooka @ $16.00 Rated 5.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00

PENOLA R6 #5 Atomic Knight @ $12.00 Rated 7.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.50

MORUYA R6 #2 Mossy Girl @ $11.00 Rated 5.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.00

PENOLA R7 #5 Mista Knowitall @ $11.00 Rated 8.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $17.00

ARMIDALE R8 #4 Rosetta’s Comet @ $5.50 Rated 3.80

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00

🏆🏆🏆CRANBOURNE R10 #9 Tamasa @ $3.20 Rated 1.90

Result: 1st at SP $2.30, Best Tote of $2.60, Betfair at $2.81. This was also a Five Point and Rocktober selection.

ROCKTOBER Selections: (NB: A few bookie offers on these races today)

Cranbourne Race 1 No.4 Masterbrax @$7 (0.84 UNIT WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $7.50. Considering it was three / four wide the entire trip, good run. Outcome -0.84 Units.

Cranbourne Race 5 No.13 Our Chiquilla @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN). Note this is right on our threshold so watch the market price.

Result: No Bet as SP was $11.00 and this is greater than $8.00 as per the offical Rocktober rules. Finished 3rd.

Cranbourne Race 7 No.6 Broadway And First @ $10 - over our price at the moment, but if it gets support to $8 or below it will be a selection.

Result: No Bet as SP was $15.00 and this is greater than $8.00 as per the official Rocktober rules. Finished Unplaced

Cranbourne Race 8 No.4 Furrion @ $1.90 (use bet-boost if you can). (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: 3rd at SP $1.80. Blocked for a run just before the turn then got into a bumping duel with the winner Octabello for half of the straight. Outcome -2.5 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Cranbourne Race 10 No.9 Tamasa @ $3.20 (2.28 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $2.30, Best Tote $2.60, Betfair $2.81. Looked like it would win easy at the top of the straight - end up winning by half a head. Outcome +5.02 Units


🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

Sat 13 October

{Prices and selections at 9:15am Sat}

Note: We have decided to avoid Randwick today - the track is too risky for us. We are sticking with the Caulfield and Morphettville meetings. Remember there are MANY bookie offers out there on Caulfield - use them!

Daily Summary: SSSS - Outlay 8.39 Units. Return 12.90 Units. Profit of 4.51 Units.

Rocktober - Outlay 19.10 Units. Return 12.39 Units. Loss of 6.71 Units.

Overall - Outlay of 27.49 Units. Return 25.29 Units. Loss of 2.20 Units.

Overall for the week - we recorded a loss of 0.68 Units but still in front for the month of October by 2.49 Units. Rocktober was a strong performer for the week, recording 4.35 Unit profit.

The 2nd at Caufield was enjoyable as the SSSS and Rocktober selection lined up and duly saluted. SSSS Tips overall performed strongly today with a couple of nice winners and the saver bet in the fourth at Caufield getting the quniella / exacta at Super Tab $27.00 and $41.90. Well done to those that followed those selections. Unfortunately a number of ‘shorties’ in Rocktober didn’t salute which hurt our overall result. For Best Tote players, your overall Return / Loss was 27.49 Units / 3.67 Units and Betfair 27.49 / 0.75 Units.

On a side, must say that Yucatan put in a serious performance today and Nick Williams was very bullish about its chances for a major race on the first Tuesday of November.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

🏆🏆🏆CAULFIELD R2 #9 Iconoclasm @ $4.60  (1.39 UNITS WIN).  Last campaign suggests he will win better races than this and had excuses last run. Has had a month to recoup and is expected to bounce here today.

Result: 1st at SP $5.00, Best Tote of $4.70, Betfair of $5.13. Settled just behind the leaders. On the turn, joined the leaders three wide and made the winning move kicking at the 300m and won well, easing down just before the line. Outcome +6.39 Units.

🏆🏆🏆CAULFIELD R4 #3 Winter Bride @ $4.40  (1.48 UNITS WIN). Resumed with a win in Group 3 company after a spell from the Brisbane winter racing. No reason here why she cant go on with her winning record at a nice price. SAVER RB Banker 3,14>1,9,14,16

Result: 1st at SP $4.80, Best Tote of $4.70, Betfair at $5.60. Settled one off the rails, just behind the leaders. Bided its time and went for it at the 300m and held off the big challenge from Booker who came from the back. I was thinking Booker would go straight past, but Winter Bride was too tough and wanted it more. Saver bet, had the quinella / exacta which paid $27.00 and $41.90 on Super Tab. Outcome 6.51 Units.

Morphettville R2 #3 Igitur @$ 8  (0.72 UNIT WIN). Drops back in Class here after a good run last start when hampered in the straight and just 2.6l from winner. Gets a 3kg claim  and is overs. Feel the fav is unders and hence the price available for Igitur. Fav will need to be good to jump to BM64 here after just 1 win even if it was a 7l win but some of these could have won that race by 10l imo. Prepared to take the overs here to find out. SAVER RB: 1,3 for first with 4 and 9 for 2nd, 3rd only.

Result: Dead heat for 2nd at SP $7.00. Did a bit of work early including being three wide for most of the run to settle in 3rd - three way battle for the lead. Despite its tough run and being under pressure, hit the line really well and with an easier run, could well have won. No return on the saver bet - extended numbers did have the winner. Outcome -0.72 Units.

CAULFIELD R5 #13 Snitty Kitty @ $4.00  (1.67 UNITS WIN). She battled on well for fourth when resuming last start. Easier task today and she tends to run well at her home course, distance and when second up previously. SAVER RB Banker 13,3>2,4,6,8,11

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Was on the rails in the front with two others including eventual winner Ball of Muscle. Despite having an easier run, we couldn’t match the speed of Ball Of Muscle who made its just after the turn and won by about a length while we held on for 5th. Saver bet - winner at SP $9.50. Outcome -1.67 Units.

CAULFIELD R6 #4 Thrillster @ $6.00  (1 UNIT WIN). We blackbooked Smart Melody with this comment as soon as it crossed the line on debut: “very promising. smashed records on debut”. Certainly has lived up to our observation. However, sometimes you have to look for value and Thrillster provides this, considering you can take bookie offers here. With a win and 2 placings from 3 starts this prep and Callow steering, it’s between her and SM IMO. SAVER RB Banker 4,5>1,2,3,7,10.

Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Late drifter. Settled one of the rail vying for the lead with the favourite. Field compacted by the home turn. Still in the lead at the 300m mark but tired late and swamped and eventually finished in 5th. Saver had the winner (#7 Amphtrite) in the placing numbers at SP $13.00. Outcome -1.00 Unit.

CAULFIELD R7 #10 Noire @ $10.00  (0.55 UNITS WIN). Came from last to win the Shannon last start and drops 1 ½ k for this. Drawn to get a soft run and is a little over her rated odds to win this. Just needs a bit of luck and is halfway there with MD in the saddle.

Result: Unplaced at SP $12.00. Settled in the last quarter of the field. Seemed to not handle the turn well - became a little unbalanced but after the turn stayed towards the inside and hit the line well to finish seventh, four lengths from the winner. Outcome -0.55 Units.

Morphettville R6 #5 Sizzling Bullet @$12 (0.46 UNIT WIN). First up last start took on a BM86 field and finished right with them after being held up in the straight. Back to BM75 here and Appren L Riordan takes 3Kg claim . Drawn well to sit behind pace and finish on. Record is 2 from 3 2nd up and looks well placed.

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00. Steady drifter. Settled towards the tail of the field, three wide with cover. Not a lot of room in the straight with horses on the inside and outside. Considering the circumstanced despite finishing towards the back, hit the line okay. Outcome -0.46 Units.

CAULFIELD R10 #8 Brimham Rocks @ $5.50  (1.12 UNITS WIN). He continues to race well without winning this campaign and just found one better again last start when runner up in the Group 1 Metropolitan. Needs a bit of luck from the wide draw today but is in terrific form and will be hard to beat.

Result: 2nd at SP $9.50. Steady drift out. Settled a little worse than midfield , three wide. Presented on the turn, but leader and eventual winner, Yucatan, made a winning move just before the turn putting a number of lengths on the field and we couldn’t run it down. We did run to the line well though please note margin between 1st and 2nd was exaggerated as leader eased down last 100 or so. Yucatan was very impressive. Outcome -1.12 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

🏆🏆🏆Caulfield Race 2 No.9 Iconoclasm @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $5.00, Best Tote of $4.70, Betfair of $5.13. Outcome +6.39 Units.

Caulfield Race 4 No.14 Leathernlace @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Tough run throughout being three / four wide the trip and finished off decently considering the run. Outcome -1.12 Units.

Hamilton Race 3 No.10 Predicated @ $3.30 (2.18 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $5.00. Tried hard but couldn’t make ground on the leader pack. Outcome -2.18 Units.

Caulfield Race 5 No.2 Voodoo Lad @ $3.50 (2 UNITS WIN)

Result: 4th at SP $2.70. Missed the start which possibly proved costly. Outcome -2.00 Units.

Morphettville Race 4 No.1 Approach Discreet @ $1.75 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $1.65. On the turn, thought it would win comfortably, didn’t turn out like that and despite the close finish, finished unplaced. Outcome -2.5 Units.

🏆🏆🏆Caulfield Race 7 No.5 Land Of Plenty @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)

Result: 1st at SP $4.20, Best Tote of $3.80, Betfair at $4.20. Looked promising on the turn and won well - by over a length on the line. Outcome +6.00 Unit.

Caulfield Race 9 No.2 Native Soldier @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN),

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Tried to put pressure on the hot favourite by taking the race to him, but couldn’t sustain its run. Outcome -0.77 Units.

Randwick Race 9 No.10 Haripour @ $3.00 (2.5 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.30. Looked as though didn’t appreciated the heavy conditions. Outcome -2.5 Units.

Morphettville Race 8 No.14 Sworn Evidence @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Drifted slightly and ran accordingly to finish around midfield. Outcome -1.25 Units.


🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

Fri 12 October

{Prices and selections at 12:15am Fri}

Daily Summary: On SSSS tips, Outlay 2.27 Units, Return 0.00 Units, Loss of 2.27 Units. Rocktober tips, Outlay 5.84 Units, Return 6.25 Units, Profit of 0.41 Units. Overall, Outlay 8.11 Units, Return 6.25 Units, Loss of 1.86 Units. While no luck on SSSS Tips, though Overlay opportunity especially with Party Pies, Rocktober selections continued to perform well, with a quinella / exacta in the first at Bendigo - this paid $9.70 and $20.90 on Super Tab. Hope a few were on. Return / overall loss on Best Tote was 7.25 Units / 0.86 Units or Betfair 7.50 Units / 0.61 Units, thanks to the late drift on No Emotion.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

TOWNSVILLE R2 #7 Bold Kingston @ $9.50  (0.59 UNITS WIN). Just missed by a photo finish at Townsville when slow to start. This time same jockey,1/2k lighter and barrier 1. Should be right there in the finish.

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50. Jumped well from the inside barrier and held the lead on the rails, though had company. Tried hard but couldn’t hold off the challenges and finished about midfield about 2 lengths from the winner. Outcome -0.59 Units.

GRAFTON R4 #6 @ Miss Zodiac $7.50  (0.77 UNITS WIN). Not the best of barriers but has the whole circuit to get around them and come home like a bullet. Came out as fav last start and should be there to fight out the finish at an overs win bet.

Result: Unplaced at SP $13.00. Was a steady drifter. Settled towards the tail of the field in a strung out field, a number of lengths of the lead. Field did compact by the home turn and we whacked away to the line, never threating to finish in the money and finished towards the back. Outcome -0.77 Units.

TOWNSVILLE R5 #1 Party Pies @ $6.50  (0.91 UNITS WIN). Drops down a grade that will suit this fella. Has been very consistent winning two before last start 9/10 and is a nice overs win bet today.

Result: 4th at SP $14.00, was rated at $4.80 so massive overlay. Was a steady drift out. Settled around midfield off a hot pace. Made it move on the turn and tracked deeped, had clear running and really hit the line well but was no match for top three, though also a decent gap to the 5th placed horse. Outcome -0.91 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections:

Ballarat Race 1 No.4 Dunmam @ $5 1.25 UNITS

Result: 2nd at SP $3.40 to our other Rocktober selection.

🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Ballarat Race 1 No.8 No Emotion @ $5 1.25 UNITS WIN (*late price move)

Result: 1st at SP $5.00, Best Tote $5.80, Betfair at $6.60. Had the quinella / exacta in the race which paid $9.70 and $20.90 respectively on Super Tab.

Ballarat Race 2 No.7 Pentian @ $3.40 2.09 UNITS

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.30

Cranbourne Race 7 No.3 Pleasuring @ $5 1.25 UNITS

Result: 3rd at SP $6.50. Finished hard the outside to miss by just under a length.


Thu 11 October

{Prices and selections at 11:30 pm Wed}

Daily Summary: Outlay 1.47 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.47 Units. Quiet Thursday as we had into a big big weekend of racing, mainly in Sydney and Melbourne. While providing some overlay opportunities, there was no winning selections. Three main selections which finished unplaced, two overlays from Wednesday finished 4th and unplaced and no Rocktober selections. Speaking of Rocktober, don’t forget to view the rules and results via the Official Rocktober page.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

MORNINGTON R4 #9 She’s A Pluck @ $9.50  (0.59 UNITS WIN). Had terrible luck last start but still ran second after being collared late. Suited here and should be an excellent chance with better luck. Overs for the win bet.

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50. An overlay opportunity as was rated $6.67. From the wide draw, did some work early to sit 2nd, one off the rails, outside the leader. From the home turn it started putting in the shorter strides and quickly dropped back through the field to finish a bit worse than midfield. Outcome -0.59 Units.

MORNINGTON R5 #2 Dominant Witness @ $10.00  (0.56 UNITS WIN). Ran on hard when FU after a spell and will be fitter for this at an overs win price.

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50 which was about its rated price. Settled one of the rails, just a little worse than midfield. On the turn, went wide and gave a little kick for a couple of strides where excitment levels rised just that little bit before quickly coming back down as the leaders had to much of break and we didn’t have enough acceleration. Outcome -0.56 Units.

YORK R4 #5 We Accept @ $17.00  (0.32 UNITS WIN). Unusual that i tip these maidens but i spotted this fellas turn of foot in a recent trial and reckon he is worth a bet at these odds for a win.

Result: Unplaced at SP $10.00. Settled about midfield, three deep. Being three wide the trip took its toll over the last couple of hundred meters when ran down & swamped by the pack. Outcome -0.32 Units.

No Rocktober Selections Thursday.

BDG Overlays for Thursday: (We will provide our best Rocktober selections for FRI - snap up the early prices!)

Ballarat Race 1 No.4 Dunmam @ $5 1.25 UNITS

Ballarat Race 2 No.7 Pentian @ $3.40 2.09 UNITS

Cranbourne Race 7 No.3 Pleasuring @ $5 1.25 UNITS


Wed 10 October

THU 11/10/2018 EARLY OVERLAYS

MORNINGTON R8 #4 Trigger Point @ $8.50 Rated 4.80

Result: 4th at SP $5.50

ROCKHAMPTON R7 #6 Now Ask Me @ $3.80 Rated 1.80

Result: Unplaced at SP $2.70

{Updated with extra selections + Rocktober at 9:50am Wed}

Daily Summary: Outlay 3.65 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.65 Units. Warwick Farm, at the time when the selections were sent out was a Slow 6 / 7, but by the first race was downgraded to heavy and our three selections at Warwick Farm didn’t look like they enjoyed the conditions at all. Rocktober selections, on the other hand again performed very well with two winners from the five selections. On advertised prices and once again looking for a five unit profit on each selection, the outlay was around 13.5 Units, Return of 16 Units, meaning a profit of 2.5 Units. Unfortunately that still would have meant a loss on the day of 1.15 Units.

Lesson: It is difficult, sometimes, if you have bet early to see deteriorated tracks and bias like we saw today. For those who bet race-to-race, you can make your own mind up whether conditions are suitable.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

WARWICK FARM R3 #5 Morpheus @ $4.00  (1.67 UNITS WIN). Forgive his last run, wide all the way. Drops in class here today and better suited.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.00 which was about its rated price.. Did a little work early from the wide gate to settle second, one off the rails. Jockey working hard on turn but soon after dropped out to finish at the tail. Outcome -1.67 Units.

WARWICK FARM R4 #5 Red Chandelier @ $8.00  (0.72 UNITS WIN). Does have a good turn of foot and can get to the line. She is very close to a win and today may be the day.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.00 well below its rated price of around $9.50. Settled just worse than midfield in the smallish field. Improved to be just behind the leaders and eventual winning packs on the turn but couldn’t keep up with them in the conditions when the whips were cracking. Heavy market support too but money remained with the bookies. Outcome -0.72 Units.

BENDIGO R8 #11 Indenile @ $13 (0.42 UNIT WIN). We have been watching this one and I like where it’s placed today and to back-it up, there has been some support in the market today at odds.

Result: Unplaced at SP $14.00 which was about its market price. Missed the start by a length or so and settled third last and a fair way of the lead. Field was compacted at the home turn though finished towards the back. Race taken out by a horse at SP $151. Outcome -0.42 Units.

WARWICK FARM R8 #1 Bombarding @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN - try Top Fluc). Natural early speed could allow an easy cross for our black-booker and potential to win if it achieves that at a god price.

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.60 well below its rated price of around $9.50. From the wide gate, jumped well and settled in first / second position but was quite wide on the turn. Just after the home turn, had nothing to match the prize winners and finished midfield about four lengths off them. Once again, nice market support but bookies kept the cash. Outcome -0.84 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections: 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

🏆🏆🏆BENDIGO R1 #9 My Boss @ $6

Result: 1st at SP $3.70, Best Tote of $3.50, Betfair at $3.98

BENDIGO R4 #8 Subraise @ $1.90

Result: 2nd at SP $1.70

BENDIGO R5 #7 Egyptian Gold @$6

Result: 2nd at SP $6.00

🏆🏆🏆BENDIGO R6 #10 Ringerdingding @ $2

Result: 1st at SP $1.90, Best Tote of $2.00, Betfair at $1.92

BENDIGO R7 #10 Imperial Edition @ $6.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00


Tue 9 October

{Prices and selections at 9:45am, with the latest market info}

Daily Summary: Outlay 1.61 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.61 Units for the day. Best place finish on the official selections was a third who looked good on the turn but just couldn’t go on with it on the soft track. Due to the rain and deteriorating track at Donald, the meeting was abandoned and our last two selections didn’t get on the track. The Rocktober selections continue to perform strongly with two winners from the three selections. Combining the official selections and Rocktober, based on the advertised prices you would have finished approximately 6 units in front (Outlay 11 Units, Return 17 Units, Profit of 6 Units).

Don’t forgot to check out the Facebook page, for full details of the Weir Stable Tour on Thursday 18 October in Melbourne. Places are limited.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

KILCOY R1 #4 Produce Me Late @ $9 (0.63 UNIT WIN). Think the two favs are too short here and in a small field, that provides some value here. SAVER: #6 Cartagena @ $11 (0.20 UNIT WIN).

Result: Unplaced at SP $5.50. Settled 5th or second last, one off the rails in the seven horse field. Jockey was hard at work before the turn but making no ground and ended up finishing at tail. The saver Cartagena finished second last. Outcome - 0.83 Units.

DONALD R5 #8 Lone Soldier @ $71/$15 PLACE (0.08 UNIT WIN / 0.18 UNIT PLACE). With the continued support for Ocean Essence (see below), this has now drifted to twice our rated price for a WIN … for the PLACE! Worth a little speculative bet here for minimal outlay.

Result: Unplaced at SP $101. Settled towards the back of the field. Whacked away to the line and didn’t really look at home on the deteriorating track. Outcome -0.28 Units.

GOULBURN R6 #12 Boom Queen @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN). Unlucky last start, drops a bit in weight and looks much better value on our ratings than the favorite here.

Result: 3rd at SP $10.00. Settled towards the back, a little wide early then one off the rails in closely compacted field. Presented on the turn, got a nice gap and looked good but just didn’t have the needed acceleration on the soft 5 track to finish off in style and salute. Favourite started at $1.90, finished 4th. Outcome -0.72 Units.

DONALD R7 #3 Ameriwin @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN). Originally I was looking at Shock Shock whom we have rated evens ($3.20 available) but Ameriwin ultimately appeals with Meech riding and a potential fitness edge here and a much better price (so a lower outlay). I’ll probably play those two plus a few others in a RB.

Abandoned

DONALD R8 #2 Bold Missile @ $5 (1.25 UNIT WIN). Moved away from our ratings here and applying some market observations which to me makes BM look like it could lead and be too speedy from the inside gate here, like it’s done before.

Abandoned

ROCKTOBER Selections: 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

🏆🏆🏆DONALD R2 #6 D’Aguiler @ $6

Result: 1st at SP $4.60, Best Tote of $4.80, Betfair at $5.09

🏆🏆🏆DONALD R3 #11 Junipal @ $1.50 (Too short for us, we’d want $1.80 or more).

Result: 1st at SP $1.35, Best Tote of $1.40, Betfair at $1.44

DONALD R5 #12 Ocean Essence @ $3.30 (was $4.80 last night!)

Result: 3rd at SP $2.50 Units


Mon 8 Oct

Daily Summary: Monday non-official selections provided two winners, one overlay winner at SP $4.20 which was $8.20 and one Rocktober winner at SP $4.30 or the $3.70 advertised. As a result, hopefully all had a winning day.

Monday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

[Selections and Prices at 9am Monday]

LEETON R5 #2 My Zaramadila @ $8.50 (rated $5)

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $4.20, Best Tote of $4.40, Betfair at $5.00

KILMORE R6 #6 Cheeky Reward @ $7.50 (rated $5)

Result: 3rd at SP $7.50

LEETON R7 #13 Dream On Stan @ $15 (rated $12)

Result: 4th at SP $31.00

ROCKTOBER Selections: 🏆🏆🏆

Kilmore R2 #6 True Gent @ $3.70

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $4.60, Best Tote of $5.30, Betfair at $6.28

KILMORE Race 3 No. 4 Lope De Field @ $6.50

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00


Sun 7 Oct

Daily Summary: Sunday is rest day on the official selections. From the overlay, which provided numerous value, a number of runners had good market support, two very close finishes for three seconds and one third though no winners. The sole Rocktober selection for the day also came second.

Sunday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

Our personal rules: If it is a double overlay; we bet it to profit 5 units. If the rated price is > $15, then we will go each-way (same stake as you used for the WIN bet). If it is not a double overlay, we bet them to win profit 1.5 units. 

[Selections and Prices at 9pm Sat night]

COONAMBLE R2 #3 Yeas And Nays @ $13.00 Rated 6.00

Result: 2nd at SP $13.00

TATURA R5 #5 Bossy Rose @ $6.00 Rated 3.80

Result: 2nd at SP $3.50

TATURA R6 #8 Magic Pegasus @ $21.00 Rated 9.50

Result: 2nd at SP $10.00

GAWLER R5 #3 Hurricanes @ $16.00 Rated 11.00

Result: 4th at SP $7.50

SUNSHINE COAST R5 #2 Currumbin Craft @ $14.00 Rated 6.00

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.50

COONAMBLE R8 #6 We Love Rugby @ $10.00 Rated 4.80

Result: 4th at SP $9.00

SUNSHINE COAST R8 #5 Visona Playboy @ $19.00 Rated 5.00

Result: 3rd at SP $4.20

ROCKTOBER Selection:

Tatura Race 3 No.1 Garbo @ $2.90

Result: 2nd at SP $2.50


🏆🏆🏆

Sat 6 October

Selections as of 10pm Friday night 5 Oct.

Look through those Bookie Specials today to take advantage of some great offers.

Daily Summary: Outlay 6.83 Units. Return of 6.16 Units. Loss of 0.67 Units. Today results meant we finished the week on official result in front by 3.17 Units. A day where on the east coast, the weather played a part in the results and field sizes. Doomben started a Slow 6 and was downgraded to a Heavy 9, while Randwick had rain overnight and started a Heavy 9 but the windy day meant it finished a Slow 6. Should you have played Best Tote, your return / loss was 4.82 Units / 2.01 Units or for Betfair 6.06 Units / 0.77 Units. Rocktober continues to perform well with three winners from the ten selections that raced. Based on a an approximate five unit profit for each runner, based on the prices available at midday, you may have finished four units in front (Outlay 23 Units, Return 27 Units) and this would have meant you finished in front for the day. Hopefully you took advantage of the bookie specials available being the cash back option or bonus bets available at Doomben, Randwick and Flemington.

On a side note, did anyone get slightly worried the champ was going down in race 5 at Flemington - mainly because she wasn’t going to get a clean run? In addition, over the past couple of years, this was the day we saw the Melbourne Cup winner go around. Was it the same case this year? At this stage, I’m thinking yes.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

DOOMBEN R1 #3 Fairlighting @ $7.50  (0.77 UNIT WIN). Drops in class for this after two good wins as fav. Going into this a little over the rated odds at a good win price.   

Result: 4th at SP $6.50. Initially settled 4th, 1 off the rails. Drifted to mid race last. Went to the outside, made up ground and tried to hit the front, just couldn’t rain them in. Outcome -0.77 Units.

RANDWICK R2 #1 Saxton Rock @  $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN). Likes the wet, racing well and is value here 3rd up over 1600m. SCRATCHED!!

DOOMBEN R4 #9 Lulu Express @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN). Looks like a promising one and ratedhighly by us. Looks to map well and with the offers about, not a lot of downside.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Settled in 4th, about 5 lengths from the leader. In the end, couldn’t take much ground off the leading group in the run to the line and didn’t really look like winning during the race. Outcome -1.39 Units.

DOOMBEN R5 #5 Dream Finnish @ $17.00  (0.32 UNIT WIN). Has come back in fine form and has won second up, won at the distance and track and is a respectful double overs odds for a win bet.

Result: 3rd at SP $15.50. Settled last in the small field. Kept to the rails in the run to the line and while took some ground off the top two, didn’t look like winning. Outcome -0.32 Units.

DOOMBEN R6 #1 Volkoff @ $6.00  (1.00 UNIT WIN). Up 2kg from her last run win but is rock hard fit and maps well again in this with an over the odds win price.

Result: 2nd at SP $3.80. Settled last in the four horse field. On the home turn, the field was bunched and it was a race to the line and the outsider (SP $10.00) held on to win. Respectable run. Outcome -1.00 Units.

RANDWICK R6 #2 Aylmerton @ $10.00  (0.56 UNIT WIN). Unbeaten this T&D and has won SU. Missed the kick last start at CFD and run wasn't as bad as it looks on paper. A nice price coming into this race for a win.

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50. Was keen early on and challenged for the lead, one off the rails. Couldn’t maintain this speed from the home turn and quickly dropped out of contention. Outcome -0.56 Units.

MORPHETTVILLE R7 #1 He's A Moral @ $8.50  (0.67 UNITS WIN). Drops back in grade to come here where he has won previously. Follows the tried and trusted Weir formula here where he places better performed horses back in lower grade to pick up another win and this one looks to do this here.

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00. Settled in 4th / 5th, one off the rails, just off the speed in the small field. On the home turn, He’s A Moral just couldn’t match the speed of the other horses, dropped back and thats where we finished. Outcome -0.67 Units.

🏆🏆🏆DOOMBEN R9 #6 Zafonic Dancer @ $5.50  (1.12 UNIT WIN). He loves the mile this fella and will be much fitter fourth up. Does have a tricky gate but willing to take the win bet with the overs.

Result: 1st at SP $4.20, Best Tote of $4.30, Betfair at $5.41. Settle midfield, on the fence. Stayed inside, then gap presented middle of the track took it and was challenged massively by El Campedar who probably hit the front for a stride or two but Zafonic Dancer fought back and won by a head on the line. Outcome 6.16 Units.

MORPHETTVILLE R9 #14 With A Bit Of Dash @ $6.00 (1.00 UNITS WIN).  Won well last start here over 1600m from Br 3 with 3kg claim for Georgina Cartwright. Same jockey here and up one grade but again drawn Br2 to have run of race and finish too well with light weight.

Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Settled about midfield on the fence. Peeled to the outside on the home turn, but only whacked home to the line and finished midfield. Nothing made ground from the back in this race. Outcome -1.00 Units.

UPDATE as from 9am 6 Oct

RANDWICK R2 #1 Saxton Rock SCRATCHED

DOOMBEN R6 #1 Volkoff @ $4.40

RANDWICK R6 #2 Aylmerton @ $7.50

ROCKTOBER SELECTIONS - 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

6/10/2018 1316 MORPHETTVILLE P Race 2 No. 2 Snitzepeg @ $1.40

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $1.45, Best Tote of $1.50, Betfair at $1.56. Also had the quinella / exacta which paid $1.30 and $1.60 on Super Tab.

6/10/2018 1316 MORPHETTVILLE P Race 2 No. 5 Calibration @ $3.40

Result: 2nd at SP $3.10.

6/10/2018 1321 MURTOA Race 2 No. 10 Mr Quickie @ $2.60

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $2.90, Best Tote of $3.00, Betfair at $3.65.

6/10/2018 1340 FLEMINGTON Race 3 No. 4 Plein Ciel @ $5.50

Result: 3rd at SP $6.50

6/10/2018 1420 FLEMINGTON Race 4 No. 2 Extra Brut @ $5.50

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $4.60, Best Tote of $5.00, Betfair at $6.69. Not far off the quinella / exacta in this race too.

6/10/2018 1420 FLEMINGTON Race 4 No. 5 Savoie @ $2.60

Result: 3rd at SP $2.70

6/10/2018 1511 MORPHETTVILLE P Race 5 No. 8 The Gatting Ball @ $7.50

Result: 2nd at SP $8.50

6/10/2018 1540 FLEMINGTON Race 6 No. 7 First Among Equals @ $6

Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00

6/10/2018 1620 FLEMINGTON Race 7 No. 10 Yogi @ $5

Result: 3rd at SP $5.50

6/10/2018 1636 MURTOA Race 7 No. 10 Egyptian Gold @ $5

Abandoned

6/10/2018 1740 FLEMINGTON Race 9 No. 13 Platinum Angel @ $8

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.0


Fri 5 October

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

Daily Summary: Outlay 4.45 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss on the day 4.45 Units. While the value and overlay where there today, unfortunately the winners were not in the official selections with a couple of 4th our best result. The Rocktober selections on the other hand provided two winners, one at SP $2.80 and another at SP $7.00. Should you have followed the staking plan to win approximately Five units on these selections based on advertised prices, overall on the day you would have approximately finished just behind (total outlay 13.83 Units, Return 13.00, loss of 0.83 Units).

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

IPSWICH R2 #4 Omorfos @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN). This looks like a ‘dodgy’ maiden to me and the favourit, Ridgway, doesn’t deserve to be evens. I can’t put it better than this: “Race revolves around RIDGWAY. Glass half full = Lloyd/Vandyke combo, lack of opposition, and that really nice trial win on Sep 11. Glass half empty is his record to date, plus fact is they've scratched twice since the trial (issue?) and the outside alley is rarely cause for opening your best bottle.” - So do we take the risk at evens or do we take the triple overlay on our ratings? I know which way is value!

Result: Unplaced at SP $21.00. Settled as the marginal leader on the rails. Field compacted by the home turn and shortly after was overtaken and slowly dropped down through the placings. Eventually finished about 5 length from the winner (Ridgway at SP $2.20) to finish midfield. Outcome -0.84 Units.

IPSWICH R4 #5 Greywolf @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN). Seems to be a little ignored by the tipsters and that’s what we like. With Jim Byrne riding and a double overlay on our rated price, we’ll take it thanks!

Result: 4th at SP $6.50. Settled on the rails midfield position. Finished off alright after making its move on the home turn but was no match for the winner ‘We Built This City’ who in the end won easily. Outcome -0.84 Units.

PORT MACQUARIE R7 #9 Lady Evelyn @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN). LADY EVELYN held off VALENTINO ROSSA in town last start and the horse that finished between them (Scratches) franked the form by winning at Warwick Farm on Wednesday. We have this a double overlay and looks great value to me.

Result: 4th at SP $8.50. Settled slightly better than midfield, one off the rails. On the home turn, lost touch with the leaders and from then the race was over though did run the race out in an acceptable manner. Outcome -0.77 Units.

CANBERRA R7 #6 Rinviata @ $6.50 (0.91 UNIT WIN). Terrific record this track and form is strong for this, and another double overlay on our ratings. Go well.

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.50. Settled in the last quarter of the field, one off the rails. Was tightened for the room when the jockey wanted to make its move, even considering this was no match for the first two to the post who were towards the front of the race. Outcome -0.91 Units.

KYNETON R10 #6 VIV Said No @ $11 (0.5 UNIT WIN). Well named - see link there, hilarious (Helmet x Majestic Harmony) for all you World Series Cricket fans from the 70s … first up here and ran well last campaign in a similar situation. Think worth a ticket at the value odds here.

Unplaced at SP $13.00. Settled in the last part of the field and that where it finished. Never a winning chance in the run. Outcome -0.50 Units.

CANBERRA R8 #2 Orrstar @ $31/$7 (0.17 UNIT WIN/0.42 UNIT PLACE). Looks like a sneaky value bet here and we are going win/place at the price.

Result: Unplaced at SP $31.00. Settled on the rails in a pack of five or so just behind the leaders. When the race was there to be won, Orrstar was just not good enough and from then on plugged away on its run to the line. Outcome -0.59 Units.

ROCKTOBER Selections: 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆

Kyneton R7 #8 Zelsignoret @ $2.90

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $2.80, Best Tote of $3.10, Betfair at $3.04.

M.VALLEY (N) Race 1 No. 3 Kaplumpich @ $6

🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $7.00, Best Tote of $7.30, Betfair at $8.78.

M.VALLEY (N) Race 3 No. 7 Open The Hatch @ $2.70

Result: 3rd at SP $3.80.

M.VALLEY (N) Race 7 No. 10 Friar Fox @ $3.70

Result: Unplaced at SP $3.60.

M.VALLEY (N) Race 8 No. 10 Double The Magic @ $4.20

Result: 3rd at SP $4.40.


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Thu 4 October

Daily Summary: Outlay 4.67 Units. Return 20.69 Units. Profit for the day 16.02 Units!!!!! Isn’t it good to see the number of cups across the top and didn’t we deserve it after being on the wrong end of a number of close finishes over the past few days. Three good winners, including one from the wild west at advertised price of $23.00 that eventually jumped at the SP of $12.00 - both well in front of its rated price. Should you have taken Best Tote (mid tote for the place) your return was 18.94 Units or Profit of 14.27 Units or for Betfair 22.91 Units / 18.24 Units. There were no Rocktober selections today and the black bookers provided both finished unplaced but when you finish in double figure profit for the day, we can quickly move on. Let the good times roll boys and girls!!!!!!!

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

🏆🏆🏆WANGARATTA R6 #7 Reigning In Paris @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN). Looks suited back to the turf here and is a good price ($6.50 with bet-boost) … from the inside barrier is much better value than the favourite.

Result: 1st at SP $7.00, Best Tote of $6.80, Betfair at $9.57. Started well, settled on the rail in 2nd just behind the leader. Speed injected at the half way mark, we drifted back to midfield and bided our time. On the turn we made our move and eventually ran down the leader in the last few strides and defied the steady drift to salute. Outcome + 6.16 Units.

WANGARATTA R7 #3 Hard Got @ $15 (0.36 UNIT WIN). Resuming and although not showing much in a barrier trial, there’s been significant market support already which is a very positive indicator with Luke BC Nolan riding. Worth the small risk - you may want to go E/W - up to you.

Result: Unplaced at SP $26.00. Settled towards the tail of the field. Stuck to inside run while winners where coming from the middle of the track and only plugged away to the line to finish in the last quarter of the field. Take no credit away from the favorite who won - was in a three way challenge for the lead early and won the race in good fashion. Outcome -0.36 Units.

🏆🏆🏆WANGARATTA R8 #3 Bonney @ $5 (1.25 UNIT WIN). Disappointed last start but if you dismiss that run, is the winner here on ratings. The danger is probably the Weir favourite, but it looks unders to me (like many of his horses … you have to pick the eyes out of his runners). Take a bet-boost if you can, of course!

Result: 1st at SP $4.60, Best Tote of $5.60, Betfair at $5.10. From the widest gate, started well, settled in 1st, one off the rails. At the turn, lead by a length and maintained that margin over the majority of the field apart from the fast finishing Liberty’s Gift who came from well back to run a close 2nd. Outcome +6.25 Units.

TOWNSVILLE R7 #4 Allround Glory @ $5 (1.25 UNIT WIN). Has very good form, is a double overlay on our ratings and hopefully can settle forward and be too strong.

Result: 4th at SP $3.10. Started well from the wide gate and settled in 2nd, one off the rails. Couldn’t run the down the leader who eventually came 3rd despite having our chance. Winners came from just off the speed. Outcome -1.25 Units.

🏆🏆🏆GERALDTON R6 #11 Rosa Filente @ $23/$6.50 (0.23 UNIT WIN; 0.46 UNIT PLACE). I don’t usually tip early in the ‘cowboy’ state … very difficult without looking at the market. However, I can’t pass this triple-overlay up … hopefully it can fly home at odds here, we’ve take the juicy place price (close to our WIN rated price as well).

Result: 1st at SP $12.00, Best Tote of $12.60, Betfair at $17.50. Mid Tote place was $3.10, Betfair at $3.92. Settled towards the tail on the rails. Got off the rails to the middle of the track as it made its move just before the turn. Found a nice gap, took it and burst through to win by a length on the line to prove the money correct even though it still started well in front of its rated price. Outcome +8.28 Units.

ROCKTOBER SELECTIONS: None Today.

BONUS: Two personal Blackbookers (from Greg)

Gosford R1 #2 Line Up Girls. Has run some very fast sectionals and just needs to put it all together. @ $5.50.

Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00

Wangaratta R1 #7 Ruby’s Jewel @ $9.50. Is a backmarker who hasn’t had the best of luck in running yet - but with Mr Walker on-board - it looks a good price to me.

Result: Unplaced at SP $11.00


Wed 3 October

Daily Summary: Outlay 3.11 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.11 Units for the day. Unfortunately another day of minor placings with no winners. Almost equals zero especially for Won Ball who despite being wide the whole race was in front a stride after the line. Won Ball was not only a Smart Punter tip but a tip as part of our new feature - Rocktober. Full details including a very impressive profit graph on Rocktober selections is available on our Facebook page.

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

GOLD COAST R6 #2 Remlaps Rock @ $11 (0.5 UNIT WIN). Only had the four starts and hoping it can lead them here at a value double overlay to our ratings.

Result: Unplaced at SP $9.00. Settled towards the tail in the small field. Never a winning hope in the run and finished a long way off them - eased out of the race. Outcome 0.50 Units.

Strathalbyn R7 #11 Spirited Match @ $8.50 (.67 UNIT WIN). Unfortunately this was $23 (before scratchings when we found it, but still a fair price). Ran a good 6/16 at this course and distance 3 starts ago. Racing consistently and has inside draw and will carry 3Kg below the minimum after claim for Alice Lindsay. Can jump straight to the lead and be hard to run down.

Result: 2nd at SP $5.50. Some good market support from available price of $8.50. Led the field by as much as 3 lengths. On the home turn, the horse trailing us and favourite took the lead comfortably and ran away with the victory by about 3 lengths. The gap between us and third was a further two lengths. Outcome -0.67 Units.

BALLARAT R8 #11 Won Ball @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN). We identified this yesterday - it has the John Allen/Weir ticks and there’s been further good support from the pros since 9am. Back to his home track and a bet-boost or even TopBetta’s Margin Butt of 0.24 length are worthwhile promos to use here.

Result: 2nd at SP $3.70. Settled midfield, 4 / 5 wide. Was wide throughout the run and sprouted wings in the last 100m and absolutely flew home to just miss. One stride over the line we salute victorious. Good run considering it was 4 / 5 wide the whole trip. Outcome -1.48 Units.

GOLD COAST R8 #17 P’artie Town @ $12 (0.46 UNIT). The emergency gets a run here (which we like) and has a big finish and rates very good value here IMO.

Result: 2nd at SP $13.00. Settled at the tail of the field. Made its move on the home town and started to make good progression. Kept on gaining on the winner but the winner was just that little too good for us. Result -0.46 Units.

ROCKTOBER SELECTIONS:

BALLARAT Race 8 No. 11 Won Ball @ $4.20

Result: 2nd at SP $3.70


Tue 2 October

Daily Summary: Outlay 4.62 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 4.62 Units for the day. Four selections for the day though unfortunately we couldn’t open the month with a winner and profit - instead we came away with a second, two thirds and a fourth meaning a small loss. As noted on our Facebook page, added extras will be put up tomorrow after the boss hurt his back - get well soon boss!!!!!!!!!

Value Singles: Our best single selections (and savers/second bets).

IPSWICH R3 #2 Boiling @ $4 (1.67 UNITS WIN). Racing consistently, maps well and is a double overlay on our ratings and we think the favourite is unders, providing value here. See if you can get a bet-boost on this one.

Result: 2nd at SP $3.80. Settled in 2nd, about a length behind the leader and eventual winner. Leader gave a kick on the turn and that was the winning move, we did come late though the post came about two strides too soon. Outcome -1.67 Units.

SWAN HILL R6 #3 Dennis @ $4 (1.67 UNITS WIN). The only Weir trained runner in this race, it has some strong franked form from its previous races and hopefully can lead without being pressured and can steal a winning break with the Weir polish.

Result: 3rd at SP $3.90. Settled in the last part of the field. Took inside runs, gaps appeared for an uninterrupted run to the line. Looked for a few strides that we may make it close though it wasn’t to be. Outcome -1.67 Units.

SWAN HILL R7 #5 Curragh King @ $10 (0.56 UNIT WIN). This race looks a little tricky to me and we are following some early professional interest on this runner this morning.

Result: 4th at SP $15.00. Settled in 1st on the rails. Slow pace, though we had company in the close compacted field. We kept on plugging to the line though the horse that sat outside us was good and eventually took out the race. Outcome -0.56 Units.

COFFS HARBOUR R6 #3 Like A Ruler @ $8 (0.72 UNIT WIN). Although we have the favourite at a value price (rated 2.90), I’m going wider for some better value with LAR here. The soft 5 suits it and hopefully it can slot about 3 back on the rails and run into the money for us. Look for a bet-boost if you can (BetEasy is offering 2, today).

Result: 3rd at SP $6.00. Settled in the last part of the field. Slowly came into the race from the 600m and made its ultimate move with the winner on the turn. It seemed that Like A Ruler didn’t want to run straight though the winner was too good, winning by about 2 lengths. Outcome -0.72 Units.


Mon 1 October

Daily Summary: Quiet Public Holiday for some states, one overlay which came 4th.

Monday Overlay Service. In order to provide a break for our team, on Sundays and Mondays, we will just provide our overlay selections without write-ups. These are generally big prices so we urge caution with staking.

Our personal rules: If it is a double overlay; we bet it to profit 5 units. If the rated price is > $15, then we will go each-way (same stake as you used for the WIN bet). If it is not a double overlay, we bet them to win profit 1.5 units. 

NARRACOORTE R6 #3 Queen’s Palace @ $3.80 - rated $3.20

Results: 4th at SP $3.70.