Over 780 bets in our analysis (since Dec 2017) produces steady and consistent profits which are exceptional with a strike rate of around 30% (the red line) and profit of around 20% on turnover (POT).
Rocktober Selections
Race Key: ↗️Market Drift past our threshold of $8 (ie: should be NO bet)
👿=Bad Beat 🏆 = Units profit
Results based on betting to PROFIT 5 units per selection (with max outlay of 2.5 units).
Betting rule: We don’t bet these if the price is OVER $8 (SP). Of course, it is hard to predict price movements, but if you DO bet late and the price has drifted OUT past this threshold, we suggest NOT BETTING. Official results WILL take this rule into account.
NB: You can set a price-limit in Betfair SP (remember to take into account your commission when working it out, it’ll be something above $8 due to this fact).
About These Selections
A totally NEW service and an industry first, we have been providing to our SSSS subscribers since October 3 2018, are our Rocktober selections.
These selections are derived from some inside intelligence we’ve gathered from speaking to fellow professional punters, some trainers and finally by painstakingly delving into our extensive database to see if our theory holds up.
It certainly does! Look at the profits that our theory has produced since we started the analysis.
These profits put most professional punters to shame! We are not sure how long this profitable theory will hold up for (as you need to keep evolving to be successful and things change in racing) but we are certainly making hay whilst the sun shines!
You can have complimentary access to these selections if you are an SSSS tips member.
NB: Click on the image to access the video replay of the race
October Monthly Summary
Our first month of the Rocktobers was mildly disappointing but we are learning every day and there’s areas where we can eliminate some poor selections.
Using bookie bonus bets and offers you should have done much better.
Oct Outlay: 167.09 units. Return: 150.80 units. Loss: 16.29 units (10%)
Wed 31 October 🏆
Outlay 10.61 Units. Return 11.43 Units. Profit of 0.82 Units (8% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 170.62 Units Return: 149.43 Units Loss: 21.19 UNITS 12% LOT)
📫Bendigo Race 3 No. 2 Mr Genoa @ $2.20 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.30. Hard ridden in the straight, its run was taken just off the rails but was most likely not good enough to take it anway. Outcome -2.50 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Bendigo Race 3 No.3 No Emotion @ $9 - watch price (0.71 Units)
Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $9.00, Betfair $10.50. Came from the back and widest on the turn to finish too good for the small field. Outcome +5.71 Units.
Bendigo Race 3 No.5 Masterbrax @ $7 (0.84 UNIT WIN) - watch price
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Made it move on the turn though unable to run despite having every chance. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Bendigo Race 4 No.3 Sarkozy @ $13 - unlikely price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $17.00
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Bendigo Race 4 No.6 Dennis @ $9.50 - watch price
Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $8.10, Betfair $9.49. Had the run of the race and took full advantage of it to hit the front with just under 200m to go and held on for the win. Outccome +5.71 Units.
Tue 30 October
Outlay 7.39 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 7.39 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 160.01 Units Return: 138.00 Units Loss: 22.01 UNITS 14% LOT)
Stawell Race 4 No.5 Kragle @ $17 (unlikely on price)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $26.00
↗️Stawell Race 4 No.6 Midas Prince @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN) (watch)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $14.00
Stawell Race 4 No.8 Westham @ $9.50 (watch price)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $12.00
Stawell Race 4 No.13 Amon @ $19 (unlikely on price)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $31.00
Mon 29 October
No selctions today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 152.62 Units Return: 138.00 Units Loss: 14.62 UNITS 10% LOT)
Sun 28 October
No qualifiers today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 152.62 Units Return: 138.00 Units Loss: 14.62 UNITS 10% LOT)
Sat 27 October🏆🏆🏆
Outlay 4.09 Units. Return 7.19 Units. Profit of 3.10 Units (76% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 152.62 Units Return: 138.00 Units Loss: 14.62 UNITS 10% LOT)
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Moonee Valley Race 7 No.8 Cliffs Edge @ $3.30 (2.18 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $2.80, Best Tote $2.90, Betfair at $2.90. Good market support. On the home turn, peeled out from behind the leader, once level brushed with the leader and head was to the side. Jockey straightened him up and from there was too strong to the line. Outcome +7.19 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 10 No.5 Savoie @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $4.00. Before the turn, pinched a couple length lead. Looked to have it won though a fast finishing Stars of Carrum came down the outside and won at SP $51.00 in a close photo finish. Outcome -1.00 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 10 No.8 Approach Discreet @ $17 *** WATCH PRICE, UNLIKELY *** [worth a e/w ticket using a bookie bonus maybe, not out of it on our ratings and Williams on]
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $26.00
Fri 26 October🏆🏆
Outlay 10.77 Units. Return 13.00 Units. Profit of 2.23 Units (21% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 148.53 Units Return: 130.81 Units Loss: 17.72 UNITS 12% LOT)
Echuca Race 7 No.8 Write Your Name @ $2.60 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $2.15. Unable to find clear room until final 150m mark and went down by half a length, finishing hard. If got out earlier, would have made it very interesting. Outcome -2.50 Units.
Echuca Race 7 No.9 My Boss @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN) *** WATCH PRICE ***
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Always out the back, never a winning hope. Outcome -0.77 Units.
Thu 25 October
Outlay 1.67 Units, Return 0.00 Units, Loss of 1.67 Units. (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 137.76 Units Return: 117.81 Units Loss: 19.95 UNITS 14% LOT)
Ballarat Race 4 No.5 Peta Rose @ $4 (1.67 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Vetted prior to the start at the request of jockey, something happened in the barriers. Passed fit though never looked a winning hope in the run. Outcome -1.67 Units.
📫Ballarat Race 4 No.4 Lope De Field @ $8.50 *** Watch Price ***
Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $9.50
Wed 24 October
Outlay 7.76 Units, Return 0.00 Units, Loss of 7.76 Units. (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 136.09 Units Return: 117.81 Units Loss: 18.28 UNITS 13% LOT)
Tue 23 October
Outlay 2.57 Units, Return 0.00 Units, Loss of 2.57 Units. (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 128.33 Units Return: 117.81 Units Loss: 10.52 UNITS 8% LOT)
Mon 22 October
Outlay 6.67 Units, Return 5.88 Units, Loss of 0.79 Units. (12% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 125.76 Units Return: 117.81 Units Loss: 7.95 UNITS 6% LOT)
Stawell Race 3 No.2 Bellum @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.60. Lost touch with the first two with about 200m out. Still hit the line well and may have a little to learn watching it race. Outcome -1.39 Units.
Stawell Race 3 No.3 Berry Dangerous @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $6.00. Hit the line soundly without ever really looking threating. Outcome -1.39 Units.
NB: Two in same race. I’ve taken Best of Four here as there’s another runner who is favourite so the market could be all over the place come post time. Also the QQ is worth taking.
Sun 21 October
Outlay 9.48 Units, Return 11.25 Units, Profit of 1.77 Units (19% POT)
Though if you took the advice provided for Race 2 and 3 (given the multiple selections and prices available), you would have had a nice profit with your Outlay of 8.37 Units, Return 11.25 Units, Profit of 2.88 Units (34% POT).
(Running Totals: Outlay: 119.09 Units Return: 111.93 Units Loss: 7.16 UNITS 6% LOT)
Horsham Race 2 No.2 Declares War @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $8.00. Was chasing the leader from just before the turn and unable to keep up with the leaders and eventual winners. Outcome -1.39 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Horsham Race 2 No.7 Triguboff @ $2 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $2.05, Best Tote $2.20, Betfair $2.24. Jockey bided his time, from the home turn got the space and room he needed and went on to win the race comfortably. Outcome +5.00 Units.
NB: Two in the same race here making it a very tight bet. I’d suggest backing the #7 and taking a 0.5 UNIT QQ with the #2. Every-time we’ve had two in the same race, they have run the quinella (small sample though)
Horsham Race 3 No.2 Ocean Walzer @ $2.50 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Result: 1st at SP $2.60, Best Tote $3.00, Betfair $3.25. Made its move from the tail of the small field just before the home and from then was able to hold on to win comfortably in the end by about a length. Outcome +6.25 Units.
Horsham Race 3 No.3 Penthouse Playboy @ $3 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. When pace was injected into the race just prior to the home turn, Penthouse Playboy left a little flat footed and never able to recover. Outcome -2.50 Units
Horsham Race 3 No.5 Hifranc @ 8 (0.72 UNIT WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $5.00. When pace injected, lost a little ground and never able to reduced the margin. Outcome -0.72 Units.
NB: Three in same race with #5 right on our price border (so watch). The percentages of these two/three don’t allow for a profitable bet so you may just want to back the #2 and put the other qualifiers into an RB QQ/TRI. which is what we’ll do. On our ratings, #2 is an overlay as well.
Sat 20 October
Outlay 9.85 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 9.85 Units(100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 107.11 Units Return: 100.68 Units Loss: 6.43 UNITS 6% LOT)
Bendigo Race 2 No.2 Garbo @ $3.10 (2.39 UNITS WIN)
NB: When walking the Weir stables with him on Thursday, he noticed Garbo wasn’t very settled in his stall - so he put him out to the paddock. He commented that “it isn’t ideal” for him so close to a race and he hoped he could fix that by Saturday. There has been support for him today, hence I’m hoping he’s been fixed with Brad riding.
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.00. Found clean air just after turn but unable to run on and never posed a threat. Outcome -2.39 Units.
Caulfield Race 4 No.4 Grey Shadow @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN).
NB: As noted above, Grey Shadow has had an issue during the week. Personally, I’m going to not bet him, but for the sake of not manipulating these selections - it still stands as a selection although I doubt I’ll be on it.
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. A little plain, given every chance though couldn’t run down the winners from the rails. Outcome -1.39 Units.
Caulfield Race 6 No.3 Extra Brut @ $2.25 (2.5 UNITS WIN).
NB: Is rock hard fit and the stable is extremely confident. Money consistently all week.
Result: Unplaced at SP 2.30. Ridden hard just before the turn as pace slowed a bit. Unable to make up appropriate ground and finished where it was about all race. Outcome -2.50 Units.
Caulfield Race 10 No.5 Peaceful State @ $4.60 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
NB: Darren commented on Thursday that his horse “has issues” but he’s got his best horseman on him, John Allen.
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Squeezed for room from turn for a bout 100m to 200m, though once clear did hit the line well but never able to threaten the leaders. Outcome -1.48 Units.
Fri 19 October
Outlay 6.52 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 6.52 Units.. (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 97.26 Units Return: 100.68 Units PROFIT: 2.92 UNITS 3% POT)
Thu 18 October🏆
Outlay 5.98 Units. Return 6.51 Units. Profit of 0.53 Units. (9% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 91.24 Units Return: 100.68 Units PROFIT: 9.44 UNITS 10% POT)
Wed 17 October
Outlay 11.63 Units. Return 5.76 Units. Loss of 5.87 Units (LOT 50%)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 85.26 Units Return: 94.17 Units PROFIT: 8.91 UNITS 10% POT)
📫Caulfield Race 1 No.5 Steel Prince @ $2.90 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $3.40. Settled in 2nd, hit the line about 200m out but just out paced to the line by Azuro. Outcome -2.5 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆#4 Azuro (if below $8.50) 0.72 UNIT WIN
Result: 1st at SP $8.00, Best Tote $9.20, Betfair at $9.45. First to last victory - too strong at the finish for the favourite. Outcome +5.76 Units.
First two Rocktober selections came 1st and 2nd, on Super Tab, Quinella paid $14.20 and Exacta $30.80.
Tue 16 October🏆🏆🏆🏆
Outlay 1.86 Units. Return 6.88 Units. Profit of 5.02 Units. (270% POT).
Only one selection today.
(Running Totals: Outlay: 73.63 Units Return: 88.41 Units PROFIT: 14.78 UNITS 20% POT)
Mon 15 October
Outlay 2.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.5 Units. (100% LOT).
Only one selection today.
(Running Totals: Outlay: 71.77 Units Return: 81.53 Units PROFIT: 9.76 UNITS 14% POT)
Sun 14 October 🏆🏆
Outlay 5.62 Units. Return 7.30 Units. Profit of 1.68 Units. (30% POT).
Please note the two no bets due to the SP being greater than $8.00 which means NO BET.
(Running Totals: Outlay: 69.27 Units Return: 81.53 Units PROFIT: 12.26 UNITS 18% POT)
Sat 13 October
Outlay 14.71 Units. Return 12.39 Units. Loss of 2.32 Units. (16% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 63.65 Return: 74.23 PROFIT: 10.58 UNITS 17% POT)
Fri 12 October 🏆🏆
Outlay:5.84. Return:6.25. Profit:0.41 units (7% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 44.55 Return: 61.84 PROFIT: 17.29 UNITS 39% POT)
Ballarat Race 1 No.4 Dunmam @ $5 1.25 UNITS
Result: 2nd at SP $3.40 (Comment: Great overlay for us)
Ballarat Race 1 No.8 No Emotion @ $5 1.25 UNITS WIN (*late inclusion due to price movement, not obvious this AM … went from $16!)
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 Result: 1st at SP $5, Best Tote of $5.80, Betfair at $6.60 (Comment: Massive, unpredictable firmer).
The EXACTA paid: $19-$37.20.
“I love the Rocktobers, they are so profitable - maybe not day by day, but week to week.”
Wed 10 October 🏆🏆🏆🏆
Outlay:7.90 Return:11 Profit:3.10units (39% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 39.96 Return: 55.95 PROFIT: 15.99 UNITS 40% POT)
“Whatever you’ve discovered ... you’re doing bloody well! It almost feels like cheating.”
Tue 9 October 🏆🏆🏆
Outlay:5.67 Return:9.75 Profit:4.08 units (72% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 32.96 Return: 44.95 PROFIT: 11.99 UNITS)
Mon 8 Oct 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆
Outlay: 1.85 Return: 6.85 Profit: 5 units (270% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 27.29 Return: 36.2 PROFIT: 8.91 UNITS)
Sun 7 Oct
Outlay: 2.5 Return: NIL Loss: 2.5
(Running Totals: Outlay: 25.44 Return: 29.35 PROFIT: 3.91 UNITS)
Sat 6 October 🏆🏆🏆🏆
Outlay: 12.69 Return: 16.1 Profit: 3.42 units (27% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 22.94 Return: 29.35 PROFIT: 6.41 UNITS)
MORPHETTVILLE Race 2 No. 2 Snitzepeg @ $1.40 2.5 UNITS WIN
🏆Result: 1st at SP $1.45, Best Tote of $1.50, Betfair at $1.56. Also had the quinella / exacta which paid $1.30 and $1.60 on Super Tab. NB: Due to prices, only recommended backing Snitzepeg
MORPHETTVILLE Race 2 No. 5 Calibration @ $3.40
Result: 2nd at SP $3.10.