Over 780 bets in our analysis (since Dec 2017) produces steady and consistent profits which are exceptional with a strike rate of around 30% (the red line) and profit of around 20% on turnover (POT).
Rocktober Selections
Race Key: ↗️Market Drift past our threshold of $8 (ie: should be NO bet)
👿=Bad Beat 🏆 = Units profit
Results based on betting to PROFIT 5 units per selection (with max outlay of 2.5 units).
Betting rule: We don’t bet these if the price is OVER $8 (SP). Of course, it is hard to predict price movements, but if you DO bet late and the price has drifted OUT past this threshold, we suggest NOT BETTING. Official results WILL take this rule into account.
NB: You can set a price-limit in Betfair SP (remember to take into account your commission when working it out, it’ll be something above $8 due to this fact).
About These Selections
A totally NEW service and an industry first, we have been providing to our SSSS subscribers since October 3 2018, are our Rocktober selections.
These selections are derived from some inside intelligence we’ve gathered from speaking to fellow professional punters, some trainers and finally by painstakingly delving into our extensive database to see if our theory holds up.
It certainly does! Look at the profits that our theory has produced since we started the analysis.
These profits put most professional punters to shame! We are not sure how long this profitable theory will hold up for (as you need to keep evolving to be successful and things change in racing) but we are certainly making hay whilst the sun shines!
Until the END OF OCTOBER - you can have complimentary access to these selections if you are an SSSS tips member.
NB: Click on the image to access the video replay of the race
December Monthly Summary
Outlay 109.32 Units. Return 75.92 Units. Loss of 33.40 Units (31% LOT)
Disappointing month results wise. John Allen seems to be off his game a bit after his amazing November and he rides a lot of them. Also Weir has been quoted as many of the tracks are too hard which his horses are not trained on. The Rocktobers are based on specific fundamentals to do with some training methods and insights we received from and shared with a few industry types. They have been consistently going well all year so expect that to return. .
🏆
Mon 31 December
Outlay 6.02 Units. Return 6.25 Units. Profit of 0.23 Units (4% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 419.49 Units Return: 368.74 Units Loss: 50.75 UNITS 12% LOT
Echuca Race 3 No.4 Freestyler @ $7.50 (0.77 UNIT WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $6.00. Coming from midfield, did encounter a little traffic in the home straight and ran home well for third but was absolutely no match for the winner, Star Of Man ($19.00 SP) who won by over five lengths. Outcome -0.77 Units.
Warrnambool Race 1 No.3 Magnus Royale @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $4.80. Leaders, which included the winner Valenica Missile ($5.50 SP), pinched a couple length lead on the turn which Magnus Royale couldn’t fully make up despite finishing very strongly. Outcome -1.00 Unit.
Warrnambool Race 2 No.7 Wild Moon @ $3 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. Coming from the back in the tightly compacted field, made early ground before tiring in the final 100m to finish out of the placings. Outcome -1.50 Units.
🏆🏆🏆Warrnambool Race 3 No.8 Yulong August @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.80, Best Tote $4.00, Betfair $4.10. Following the leader, Tulpar majority of the trip. Tulpar got a break of about two lengths at the top of the straight which Yulong August was able to just run down very nicely to win in a close photo finish. Outcome +6.25 Units
Warrnambool Race 4 No.2 San Remo @ $1.85 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $1.80. After leading for the majority of the trip, tired in the final stages to finish approximately seven lengths from the winner. Disappointing for a short price favorite. Outcome -1.50 Units
Warrnambool Race 7 No.8 Euroman @ $15 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $17.00
Sun 30 December
Outlay 4.41 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 4.41 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 413.47 Units Return: 362.49 Units Loss: 50.98 UNITS 12% LOT
SEYMOUR Race 1 No. 2 Clap Chap @ $5.00 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.50. Coming from the back straightened well but didn’t make a real threat on the leaders as was never a real winning chance. Outcome -1.25 Units.
SEYMOUR Race 1 No. 7 Romaiya @ $9.50 (0.59 UNITS WIN). Although slightly outside our usual price range, we think this is worth a shot with a whisper around.
Result: Unplaced at SP $12.00. Ran on nicely from the back to finish midfield but was still about five lengths from the winner. Outcome -0.59 Units.
SEYMOUR Race 2 No. 9 Lamington Drive @ $17 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $26.00
SEYMOUR Race 3 No. 3 Croatian @ $4.20 (1.5 UNITS WIN) - also a SSSS tip
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.10. Settled in sixth around one off the rails. Ridden along prior to the turn but just battled home never a winning chance. Outcome -1.57 Units.
SEYMOUR Race 8 No. 12 Keysor @ $6 - (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $8.00. Got a nice trail into the race in about fourth and found an opening at the top of the straight, though couldn’t run on sufficiently to be a real winning threat. Outcome -1.00 Unit
Sat 29 December
Outlay 2.15 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.15 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 409.06 Units Return: 362.49 Units Loss: 46.57 UNITS 11% LOT
Morphettville Race 1 No.1 Ocean King @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Settled behind the leader but quickly after it was asked for an effort, horse had enough and finished 4th a number of lengths from the winners. Outcome -1.32 Units.
Doomben Race 4 No.9 Snitzkraft @ $14 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $21.00
Doomben Race 4 No.14 Oberland @ $16 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $20.00
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.6 The Gatting Ball @ $8.50 - watch price, Oliver rides - may come in, rated at $5.50.
Result: 2nd at SP $5.00. From midfield, just before the turn, horse stoked up and found a run on the rails; hit the the lead at the top of the straight though couldn’t hold off the challenge of the fast finishing Khartoum in the final 100m or so. Outcome -0.83 Units
Fri 28 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 406.91 Units Return: 362.49 Units Loss: 44.42 UNITS 11% LOT
Thu 27 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 406.91 Units Return: 362.49 Units Loss: 44.42 UNITS 11% LOT
🏆🏆
Wed 26 December
Outlay 13.87 Units. Return 15.86 Units. Profit of 1.99 Units (14% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 406.91 Units Return: 362.49 Units Loss: 44.42 UNITS 11% LOT
Geelong Race 1 No.5 Titan I Am @ $3.90 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.80. Three wide for some for about half of the trip in about third. Weakened in the last 200m to finish midfield. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Caulfield Race 1 No.6 Sworn Evidence @ $7 (0.84 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. Sat three wide with cover during the run. In the straight ran without necessary dash and finished midfield. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Caulfield Race 1 No.7 No Reward @ $15 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier – 4th at SP $17.00
Geelong Race 2 No.7 Veloucher @ $4.20 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. After sitting behind the leaders in the run, went three / four wide in the run, though from the point of the turn was immediately placed under pressure and dropped through the field. Outcome -1.50 Units
Geelong Race 2 No.11 Maunahost @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.00. Joined into the race nicely from the turn though couldn’t maintain its pace in the final 200m or so. Outcome -1.32 Units
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Geelong Race 4 No.7 Mosh Music @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $7.50, Best Tote $8.10, Betfair $8.93. Coming from the tail of the field, joined in the race nicely and really exploded away in the final 250m or so to win easily along way out from home. Outcome +6.16 Units
Caulfield Race 4 No.6 Indian Thunder @ $9 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $10.00
Caulfield Race 5 No.8 Chippenham @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Three wide from just prior to the turn. Just plain in the straight, not really doing much. Outcome -1.39 Units
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Geelong Race 7 No.12 Pelonomena @ $5 (1.25 UNIT WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $6.50, Best Tote $6.70, Betfair $9.66. Coming from the back, joined into race as it was one of the widest runners. Really drove home the especially the last 100m to nab victory. Outcome +6.25 Units
🏆🏆🏆Caulfield Race 7 No.3 Native Soldier @ $2.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $2.35, Best Tote $2.50, Betfair $2.51. Early battle for the lead but decided to sit outside. Top of the straight had a kick and got a 2 length lead which was able to be maintained as it saluted. Too much class for this lot. Outcome +3.45 Units
Caulfield Race 7 No.5 Platinum Angel @ $7 (0.84 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $6.00. Coming from the tail of the field and ran home nicely though was always too far back to be a winning threat. Outcome -0.84 Units
Caulfield Race 8 No.6 Casino Fourteen @ $3.70 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.30. Coming from outside the leader, took over on the turn but dropped back through the field in the last 100m or so. Outcome -1.50 Units
Mon 24 December
Outlay 1.50 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.50 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 393.04 Units Return: 346.63 Units Loss: 46.40 UNITS 12% LOT
Werribee Race 2 No.5 Monarch Court @ $14 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $9.00
Werribee Race 2 No.7 Wishful Realizer @ $10 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - 4th at SP $14.00
Werribee Race 5 No.6 Malawi Gold @ $2.80 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $2.00. From a forward position took a narrow lead on the turn and held that lead until the line when the winner, Betty Of Grable, collared it and won. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Werribee Race 5 No.7 Swiss Hero @ $26 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $41.00
Werribee Race 7 No.9 Cheeky Reward @ $11 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $11.00
Geelong Race 5 No.13 Zuers @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Coming from midfield on the rails, trapped for room in the straight and even when found clean air, never ran on. Outcome -1.12 Units
Sun 23 December
Outlay 3.22 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.22 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 391.54 Units Return: 346.63 Units Loss: 44.90 UNITS 11% LOT
Sale Race 2 No.6 Destined To Boom @ $3.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.50. From midfield, lacked dash in the straight and just held its ground. Outcome -1.50 Units
Sale Race 3 No.12 Yulong Awesome @ $8 (0.72 UNITS WIN). Right on price but with Allen on, will probably receive support.
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. From mid field, was ridden along on in the turn but didn’t have the acceleration required. Outcome -0.72 Units
Sale Race 5 No.3 Cullingworth @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Sat behind the leaders though when entered the straight was immediately under pressure and did not respond accordingly. Outcome -1.00 Unit
Sat 22 December
Outlay 6.66 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 6.66 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 388.32 Units Return: 346.63 Units Loss: 41.68 UNITS 11% LOT
Colac Race 1 No.1 Aurora Charm @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $5.00. From midfield, stuck to the inside run and while had clean air in the straight, unable to haul in the leaders. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Colac Race 1 No.5 Malevolent @ $9 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $16.00
Colac Race 2 No.7 Here De Fox @ $3.50 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $3.30. After settling in the lead, unable to hold on in the final 200m. Outcome -1.50 Units
Flemington Race 3 No.7 Teodora @ $9.50 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $9.00
Colac Race 3 No.2 Deeling Us In @ $13 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $9.50
Colac Race 3 No.3 Offsett @ $3.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $6.50. Was three wide prior to the turn under hard riding and never really reducing the margin to the leaders and eventual winners. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Flemington Race 4 No.9 Azurite @ $15 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $21.00
Morphettville Race 5 No.4 Civil Disobedience @ $2.20 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $2.50. Came from the back and rails run all the way through though unable to finish the job in the straight while also being a bit wayward and tiring late. Outcome -1.50 Units
Flemington Race 7 No.11 Broadway And First @ $26 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $71.00
Flemington Race 8 No.9 Savaheat @ $6.50 (0.91 UNIT WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.50. Loomed to win briefly in the straight on the inside which was its peak in its run and ended up 5th. Outcome -0.91 Units.
Flemington Race 8 No.13 Prinz Hlodowig @ $31 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $12.00
Fri 21 December
Outlay 2.70 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 2.70 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 381.66 Units Return: 346.63 Units Loss: 35.03 UNITS 9% LOT
Moonee Valley Race 1 No.4 Cozhecancan @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Settled in third, though the leader and eventual winner, Beerz With Clint, made a winning break on the turn and was never headed from there on while we just held our ground in the straight. Outcome -1.39 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 2 No.6 Yulong August @ $15 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $17.00
Moonee Valley Race 6 No.10 Man Alive @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.40. Settled just behind the speed then drifted back through the field prior to the turn while coming again in the straight to finish midfield. Outcome -1.32 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 6 No.13 True Gent @ $14 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $21.00
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.11 Beetobee @ $8 - right on price (0.72 UNITS WIN). As the only Weir runner and with Allen riding and being Friday night at Valley, will probably have some interest support from punters.
Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $11.00
Moonee Valley Race 8 No.13 Phoenix Dane @ $34 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $41.00
🏆
Thu 20 December
Outlay 3.83 Units. Return 3.93 Units. Profit of 0.10 Units (3% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 378.95 Units Return: 346.63 Units Loss: 32.32 UNITS 9% LOT
Seymour Race 3 No.6 Rocky Road @ $2 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $1.90. After settling midfield, was under pressure on the turn and even though gained a couple of placing did not run on as expected especially considering its run in transit. Outcome -1.965 Units (based on advice below).
🏆🏆🏆🏆Seymour Race 3 No.7 Six Sigma @ $3.80 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.10, Best Tote $3.40, Betfair $3.50. Nice trail into the race and was wide on the turn as it unleashed its run to win by about 1/4 of a length. Outcome +3.93 Units (based on advice below)
NB: The prices of these two selections make the flat staking here (with outlay limits) problematic. I suggest a better approach is to bet them like RewardBet suggests - Rocky Road (1.965 UNITS) and Six Sigma (1.035 UNITS) to return 3.933 UNITS if either one wins (for an outlay of 3 units)
Seymour Race 4 No.10 Veloucher @ $9 - watch price
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Heavily supported in the market prior to jump. Unfortunately did not live up to this support despite following the winner but dropped off with about 200m to go to finish towards the tail. Outcome -0.83 Units.
Wed 19 December
No Qualifiers Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 375.12 Units Return: 342.70 Units Loss: 32.41 UNITS 9% LOT
Caulfield Race 1 No.3 Poony @ $26 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $51.00
Caulfield Race 8 No.8 Grosvenor Bridge @ $12 - watch price (quite an open race, with Allen on board, could be worth an E/W ticket IMO)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $14.00
Tue 18 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 375.12 Units Return: 342.70 Units Loss: 32.41 UNITS 9% LOT
Mon 17 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 375.12 Units Return: 342.70 Units Loss: 32.41 UNITS 9% LOT
Sun 16 December
Outlay 6.00 Units. Return 5.78 Units. Loss of 0.23 Units (4% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 375.12 Units Return: 342.70 Units Loss: 32.41 UNITS 9% LOT
🏆🏆Horsham Race 1 No.4 Ocean King @ $1.55 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $1.30, Best Tote $1.70, Betfair $1.53. Joined the leader on the turn and took over the race to win comfortably in the four horse field. Outcome +2.33 Units
Horsham Race 2 No.1 Anythings Possible @ $4 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.00. When the speed went on just before the turn, was immediately under pressure and dropped back through the field to finish a long last. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Horsham Race 4 No.6 Keysor @ $2.90 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.80. After sitting behind the leaders, just touch on the turn though did run home respectfully to run third. Outcome -1.50 Units.
🏆🏆🏆Bendigo Race 5 No.6 Casino Fourteen @ $2.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $1.95, Best Tote $2.10, Betfair $2.07. Jockey looked very confident at the turn as he strode up to join the lead, released the breaks when straightening up and cruised away for an easy win. Outcome +3.45 Units
Bendigo Race 8 No.4 Blanco Cara @ $7 (0.84 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $13.00
Bendigo Race 8 No.7 Sarkozy @ $9 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $12.00
🏆
Sat 15 December
Outlay 8.51 Units. Return 9.15 Units. Profit of 0.64 Units (8% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 369.12 Units Return: 336.93 Units Loss: 32.19 UNITS 9% LOT
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Flemington Race 1 No.4 Yes Yes Yes @ $3.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $4.80, Best Tote $3.70, Betfair $6.13. Took a seat behind them and made its move with about 600m to go, took the lead at the 400m and won well on the line with a decent margin to 2nd. Outcome +4.95 Units
Gawler Race 1 No.5 Perfect Rhyme @ $3.80 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $3.80. After settling in 2nd was off the bit and chasing before the turn and winning hopes lost soon after. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Flemington Race 2 No.5 Kaplumpich @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - 3rd at SP $8.50
Flemington Race 4 No.16 Cash Affair @ $7 (0.84 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $9.00
Flemington Race 7 No.5 Holy Blade @ $19
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $13.00
Flemington Race 7 No.6 Native Soldier @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $4.80. One of the widest runners, despite being under pressure, kept on running and tired late to finish just out of the placings. Outcome -1.39 Units.
Flemington Race 8 No.6 The Gatting Ball @ $8.50 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $8.50
Flemington Race 9 No.12 Twitchy Frank @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $5.50. Up near the lead for the majority of the race until swamped late to finish just out of the placings. Outcome -1.12 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Cranbourne Race 3 No.3 San Remo @ $3.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $1.90, Best Tote $1.90, Betfair $1.96. Strong market support. Controlled the race from start to finish and won very very easily. Outcome +4.20 Units (after deduction of 33c per unit, Official Price $2.80).
Cranbourne Race 6 No.11 River Jewel @ $2.70 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $3.70. After settling three wide with cover, presented in the straight to win but just didn’t finish off as one would hope. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Fri 14 December
Outlay 1.48 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.48 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 360.61 Units Return: 327.78 Units Loss: 32.83 UNITS 9% LOT
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.7 Freehearted @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $3.80. Despite having the back and a nice cart into the race from the 2nd placed horse, Sherrif John Stone, was never able to run on and finish the way we would have hoped. Outcome -1.48 Units.
↗️Moonee Valley Race 8 No.11 Our Chiquilla @ $6.50 (0.91 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $9.30
Thu 13 December
Outlay 4.25 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 4.25 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 359.13 Units Return: 327.78 Units Loss: 31.35 UNITS 9% LOT
Warrnambool Race 1 No.6 Wild Moon @ $1.65 (1.50 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $1.45. Despite sitting right behind and getting a nice cart into the race by Astrobite, Wild Moon took too long in the straight to get going and get past Astrobite. Outcome -1.50 Units.
↗️Warrnambool Race 7 No.7 Silentz @ $8 (0.72 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $12.00
Warrnambool Race 7 No.10 Broadway And First @ $19 - price unlikely
Result: Scratched
📫WARRNAMBOOL Race 8 No. 7 Indian Thunder @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $6.50. While everyone went wide at the turn, Indian Thunder cut the corner and hit the lead. Unfortunately couldn’t hold on in the inferior ground going down by a nose in a close photo finish. Outcome -1.25 Units.
📫WARRNAMBOOL Race 8 No. 8 Wetakemanhattan @ $3.40 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.80. Was leading on he turn though went to the middle of the track and lost track of the leaders to finish midfield. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Wed 12 December
Outlay 6.24 Units. Return 6.68 Units. Profit of 0.44 Units (7% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 354.88 Units Return: 327.78 Units Loss: 27.10 UNITS 8% LOT
Terang Race 4 No.11 Raffine @ $1.90 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $1.60. After sitting behind the speed, kept to the rails and may have been tightened for room but still had it chances and didn’t take them. Outcome -1.50 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Sandown Race 2 No.9 Yulong September @ $4 (1.67 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $4.60, Best Tote and Betfair $4.70. Was still last with about 300m to go but got going late & came from the clouds to make it interesting on the line and won by a nose in a close photo finish. Outcome +6.68 Units
Sandown Race 3 No.5 Write Your Name @ $1.55 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $1.65. Caught in a pocket and by time it got out and found clean air at the 100m mark, it was all too late. Outcome -1.50 Units
Sandown Race 8 No.3 Bringit @ $4.20 (1.57 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.80. From the midfield, was one of widest on the turn and ran on well to reduce the back but was a little too far back to make an impression on the winners. Outcome -1.57 Units.
Tue 11 December
Outlay 1.73 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 1.73 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 348.64 Units Return: 321.10 Units Loss: 27.54 UNITS 8% LOT
Ararat Race 2 No.2 Freestyler @ $3.90 (1.73 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. After being asked for an effort from the turn, found little and quickly lost touch with the leaders and winning group after sitting fourth. Outcome -1.73 Units.
Mon 10 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 346.91 Units Return: 321.10 Units Loss: 25.81 UNITS 7% LOT
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆
Sun 09 December
Outlay 5.58 Units. Return 11.46 Units. Profit of 5.88 Units (105% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 346.91 Units Return: 321.10 Units Loss: 25.81 UNITS 7% LOT
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Werribee Race 1 No.2 Inala Max @ $3.30 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.40, Best Tote $3.40, Betfair $4.10. In the four horse field, was hard ridden on the turn not responding but when it straightened, its mind got on the job and cruised away for a comfortable victory. Outcome +4.95 Units
Werribee Race 2 No.3 Aurora Charm @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $6.50. Ran on well from the back in the five horse field though too far back and the winner, Delvecchio, was way too good. Outcome -1.12 Units.
Werribee Race 5 No.3 Spicer @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: 2nd at SP $6.50. Spicer hit the front marginly until Crimson Tears was released. Though Spicer continued through the line and ran well to hold 2nd. Outcome -1.48 Units.
🏆🏆 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Werribee Race 5 No.4 Crimson Tears @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.30, Best Tote $3.30, Betfair $3.78. On the turn as the jockey made its move, looked good and being held. When got into the straight, jockey released the reins and Crimson Tears ran away for a comfortable victory on the line. Outcome +6.51 Units
Side Note - Quinella paid $2.90, Exacta $4.40 on the local tote (Super Tab).
Werribee Race 6 No.5 Andrea Mantegna @ $10 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – 4th at SP $16.00
Werribee Race 6 No.6 Master Zephyr - @ $18 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $21.00
Sat 08 December
Outlay 11.70 Units. Return 5.40 Units. Loss of 5.40 Units (54% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 341.53 Units Return: 309.63 Units Loss: 31.69 UNITS 9% LOT
Stawell Race 2 No.3 Destination Rocks @ $11 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – 2nd at SP $19.00
Stawell Race 2 No.7 Yulong August @ $4 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $3.90. Got going from the back too late to cause trouble at the finish despite hitting the line hard. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Pakenham Race 3 No.10 Teodora @ $12 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $16.00
Stawell Race 3 No.9 Malawi Gold @ $2.70 (1.50 Units)
Result: 3rd at SP $2.70. Sitting behind the leader, got room to peel out on the turn. Though leader and eventual winner, Lord Of Darkness, had a kick on the turn and produced a winning break. Outcome –1.50 Units.
Pakenham Race 4 No.5 Golden Authority @ $31 - unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $21.00
Pakenham Race 4 No.7 Savaheat @ $12 - watch price, Allen aboard.
Result: Non Qualifier – 4th at SP $13.00
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Pakenham Race 4 No.9 Mr Quickie @ $3.60 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $4.00, Best Tote $3.90, Betfair $4.40. Settled midfield with cover. Jointed in wide top of the straight and kept on giving to grind out a good close tough win also partly thanks to the 2nd place horse, Creedance, not running straight when it counted. Outcome +5.40 Units.
Pakenham Race 4 No.10 Junior Burger @ $34 - unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $51.00
Stawell Race 4 No.8 Maheera @ $9.50 - watch price
Result: Unplaced at SP $7.00. From the back had a little traffic on the turn though gaps appeared soon after and had every chance, just not good enough. Outcome -0.83 Units.
Pakenham Race 6 No.10 Civil Disobedience @ $14 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $20.00
Pakenham Race 8 No.4 Choisborder @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $8.00. Followed the winner, Amadeus, though never came on. Disappointing considering the result. Outcome -1.00 Units.
Pakenham Race 8 No.8 Chippenham @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Went forward though was joined and headed by the winner at the top of the straight. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Morphettville Race 7 No.6 Platinum Angel @2.60 (1.50 Units Win)
Result: 3rd at SP 2.60. Coming from the back, encountered traffic trying to come down the middle of the track and changed course back to the rails where it finished hard for 3rd. Outcome -1.50 Units.
Stawell Race 6 No.8 Sea Of Stars @ $10 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $10.00
Pakenham Race 9 No.7 Sylpheed @ $5.00 (1.25 Units Win)
Result: 3rd at SP $5.00. Coming from the back, stayed to the inside and despite finishing well, never looked like winning. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Ascot Race 5 No.3 Junipal @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.20. Went right back after sitting three wide early on. Presented on the turn for its run as the widest runner though never came into the race. Outcome -1.48 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆
Fri 07 December
Outlay 2.03 Units. Return 6.16 Units. Profit of 4.13 Units (204% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 329.62 Units Return: 304.23 Units Loss: 25.39 UNITS 8% LOT)
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Mornington Race 4 No.9 Greyazz @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $6.00, Best Tote $6.10, Betfair $6.60. Decent run in transit. Hard ridden from the turn but found the gaps and burst through to score a length victory. Outcome +6.16 Units
Moonee Valley Race 4 No.2 Mia Georgia @ $17.00 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $21.00
Moonee Valley Race 4 No.5 Beetobee @ $6.50 (0.91 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.80. Never made ground until it was too late coming from towards the back of the field as it made its run and finished around midfield. Outcome -0.91 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.9 No Reward @ $10.00 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $11.00
Thu 06 December
No Qualifiers today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 327.59 Units Return: 298.07 Units Loss: 29.52 UNITS 9% LOT)
Kyneton Race 3 No.1 Croatian @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - 2nd at SP $11.00
🏆🏆
Wed 05 December
Outlay 3.66 Units. Return 5.25 Units. Profit of 1.59 Units (43% POT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 327.59 Units Return: 298.07 Units Loss: 29.52 UNITS 9% LOT)
Echuca Race 2 No.5 Ocean King @ $6.50 (0.91 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $4.80. Bit shaky /green on the turn but once straightened up and got its rhythm ran on nicely to the line to finish a close third. Outcome -0.91 Units.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆Echuca Race 4 No.9 Lope De Field @ $3.50 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 1st at SP $3.20, Best Tote $3.50, Betfair $4.12. Coming from just behind the speed, found a gap when straightening, took it and able to drive out to the line to record a narrow victory. Outcome +5.25 Units
Sandown Race 5 No.6 Sarkozy @ $16 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $26.00
Sandown Race 6 No.6 Waking Moment @ $13 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $13.00
Sandown Race 7 No.10 Zelsignoret @ $5 (1.25 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $4.60. Settled in fourth but tired late after being off the bit early trying to chase the leader and eventual winner, Saucy Jack who pinched an early lead and never surrendered it. Tired late. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Tue 04 December
Outlay 4.10 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 4.10 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 323.93 Units Return: 292.82 Units Loss: 31.11 UNITS 10% LOT)
Hamilton Race 1 No.10 Maunahost @ $11 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – 2nd at SP $14.00
Hamilton Race 2 No.4 Offsett @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.60. Even though made late ground coming from the back, was too far back to be a winning hope. Outcome -1.48 Units.
Hamilton Race 3 No.3 Poony @ $51 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $31.00
Hamilton Race 3 No.7 Yulong Awesome @ $20 - price unlikely
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $16.00
Hamilton Race 4 No.8 Veloucher @ $5.50 (1.12 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $2.80. From the back, went wide on the turn, encountered a little traffic though despite never lookiing like winning, hit the line well. Outcome -1.12 Units.
NB: Additional selection for Tuesday:
📫HAMILTON Race 4 No. 6 Westham @ $3.50 (1.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $3.80. One of the widest on the turn coming from the back, had clear running just no match for the winner. Outcome - 1.50 Units.
Hamilton Race 6 No.8 Cheeky Reward @ $7.50 (0.77 UNITS WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier - 1st at SP $8.50, Best Tote $9.70, Best Tote $9.69
Mon 03 December
No Selections Today
(Running Totals: Outlay: 319.83 Units Return: 292.82 Units Loss: 27.01 UNITS 8% LOT)
Sun 02 December
Outlay 6.10 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 6.10 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 319.83 Units Return: 292.82 Units Loss: 27.01 UNITS 8% LOT)
Warrnambool Race 1 No.2 Amon @ $151! John Allen rides, I might have $1 E/W!
Result: Non Qualifier - Unplaced at SP $51.00
Warrnambool Race 1 No.6 Wild Moon @ $2.50 (2.5 UNITS WIN)
Result: 3rd at SP $3.00. At the point of the turn, was held up looking for a run. Eventually got a split but couldn’t run down the leader and nabbed on the line for 2nd. Outcome -2.50 Units.
Warrnambool Race 8 No.4 Truly High @ $4.80 (1.32 UNITS WIN)
Result: 4th at SP $7.50. Eventual winner, High Mode, made its move on the home turn and entering the straight had it won as the others were too far back and off the bit chasing for minor placings. Outcome -1.32 Units
Warrnambool Race 8 No.8 Penthouse Playboy @ $3.20 (2.28 UNITS WIN).
NB: This is a 4600m race ... hopefully the typical Weir fitness prevails. John Allen started off as a jumps jockey, so is a great judge of pace. Probably worth the QQ here as well.
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.80. Eventual winner, High Mode, made its move on the home turn and entering the straight had it won as the others were too far back and off the bit chasing for minor placings. Outcome -1.32 Units
↗️Warrnambool Race 9 No.9 Spicer @ $6 (1 UNIT WIN)
Result: Non Qualifier. Unplaced at SP $10.00
Sat 01 December
Outlay 3.57 Units. Return 0.00 Units. Loss of 3.57 Units (100% LOT)
(Running Totals: Outlay: 313.73 Units Return: 292.82 Units Loss: 20.91 UNITS 7% LOT)
Moonee Valley Race 2 No.8 Yes Yes Yes @ $7 (0.84 UNITS WIN) NB: Beteasy; SportsBet; TAB offers here
Result: 2nd at SP $6.00. Made good ground from midfield to get 2nd but no match for the winner Brooklyn Hustle who came from the back and really let down to win easily. Outcome -0.84 Units.
Morphettville Race 3 No.5 Sickening @ $4.60 (1.39 UNITS WIN) NB: Dean Yendall is on this and as over a distance I’m undecided if I will back it right now. I will watch market prior to race and potentially provide my thoughts in Slack group.
Result: Advised a bet via our Official Communications channel after Adl R2. Vetted prior to the start after playing up in the barriers & was scratched.
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.2 Kens Dream @ $5 1.25 UNITS Win
Result: 2nd at SP $7.50. Stayed towards the inside and got tightened for a run at the top of the straight while the winner and favourite, Our Luca, two pairs wider got a clear run which was the difference at the end. When Kens Dream did have clear galloping room in the final 100m or so it was charging home but too late. Outcome -1.25 Units.
Moonee Valley Race 7 No.3 Holy Blade @ $9 - watch price
Result: Non Qualifier – Unplaced at SP $11.00
Moonee Valley Race 8 No.8 Top Prospect @ $4.40 (1.48 UNITS WIN)
Result: Unplaced at SP $2.90. Good late market support. Three wide the trip as it lost the position battle with eventual winner Al Galayel during the initial stages of the race. Ran out of steam come the home turn and slipped back through the field and finished at the tail. Outcome -1.48 Units.
